Yankees vs Blue Jays ALDS Game 3 Picks

Toronto will look to close out the AL Division Series in New York on Tuesday night after outscoring the Yankees 23-8 in games 1 and 2 combined. Eyeing their first ALCS appearance since 2016, the Blue Jays will turn to former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber while Carlos Rodón takes the hill for the Bronx Bombers.

Let's look at the latest betting picks for Yankees vs Blue Jays Game 3. Odds are subject to change.

	Spread	Money Line	Total Runs
Toronto Blue Jays	+1.5 (-175)	+125	Ov 7.5 (-110)
New York Yankees	-1.5 (+150)	-149	Un 7.5 (-110)

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Yankees favored in Game 3

New York is a -149 money line favorite at home in Game 3. The Yankees allowed 10 or more runs in back-to-back playoff games for the first time in their history. After their bats were silenced by Kevin Gausman in the opener, Jays rookie Trey Yesavage pitched 5.1 hitless innings with 11 strikeouts in Game 2.

Aaron Boone's club rebounded from an 0-1 series deficit to the Red Sox in the AL Wild Card series. However, in MLB postseason history, teams falling behind 0-2 in any best-of-five series have gone on to lose that series 80 of 90 times (88.9%).

Trey Yesavage had just three Major League starts entering today.

He just put together one of the most electric #Postseason pitching performances we've EVER seen! pic.twitter.com/AHkNTF7O42

— MLB (@MLB) October 5, 2025

Bieber starts for Blue Jays

Shane Bieber (4-2, 3.57 ERA) will make his second-career postseason appearance at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday night. While with the Cleveland Guardians, the 30-year-old right-hander struck out seven Yankees over 5 2/3 innings of two-run ball in Game 2 of the 2022 ALDS.

The Blue Jays acquired the former AL Cy Young winner at the trade deadline after Bieber missed most of the season after Tommy John surgery.

Rodon on hill for the Yankees

Carlos Rodón (18-9, 2.61 ERA) was solid for the Bronx Bombers in Game 2 of the AL Wild Card Series, permitting three runs on four hits with six strikeouts. The lefty veteran gave up four runs over 10.0 innings versus the Blue Jays this season, with New York losing both games.

Toronto's lineup teed off on fellow lefthander Max Fried on Sunday, scoring 13 runs.

This angle of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s grand slam bat flip. 🔥

(Via: @Sportsnet)pic.twitter.com/D6YKUuQ2bG

— Foul Territory (@FoulTerritoryTV) October 5, 2025

Guerrero Jr. vs Judge

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 6-for-9 with two home runs and six RBIs in the series while slugging the first grand slam in Blue Jays postseason history in Game 2.

While Aaron Judge is 8-for-18 (.444) with two RBIs this October, he's yet to hit a home run in the postseason.

Yankees vs Blue Jays ALDS Game 3 Picks

New York had the third-best record at home (50-31) during the regular season, but the Yankees don't have the pitching to cool off the red-hot Toronto bats.

Take the Blue Jays to win on the road (+125) and complete the sweep of New York with the OVER 7.5 runs.

Toronto Blue Jays to win Game 3

+125

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