Thunder to roar back with Game 2 victory over Nuggets on Wednesday night

What: NBA Picks
Who: Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder
When: Wednesday, May 7, 9:30 p.m.

Denver overcame an 11-point deficit late in the 4th quarter to defeat Oklahoma City in Game 1. Nikola Jokic scored 42-points and hauled in 22 rebounds in the 121-119 comeback win while fellow MVP finalist Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had 33 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists.

Can the Thunder bounce back in Game 2 to avoid a second straight exit in the western conference semifinals? Let's look at the latest betting lines. Odds are subject to change.

	Spread	Money Line	Total Points
Denver Nuggets	+11.0 (-110)	+425	Ov 230.5 (-110)
Oklahoma City Thunder	-11.0 (-110)	-600	Un 230.5 (110)

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Thunder vs Nuggets Betting Trends

Oklahoma City is a 11-point favorite at Paycom Center, where they have a league-best 37-7 record despite a Game 1 loss to Denver. The Thunder are also 29-13-2 against the spread at home, for a NBA-best 69.1% cover percentage.

Denver is 26-19 on the road this season, losing 2 of 3 away games to the Clippers in Round 1 before topping OKC in the series opener. The Nuggets are 11-8-1 ATS as an away underdog.

The over/under for Wednesday's game is set at 230.5 points. The OVER hits in 60.5% of Thunder home contests - the 4th-highest mark in the league - and 25-20 in Denver road games.

NIKOLA JOKIĆ WAS SPECTACULAR IN GAME 1 🤯🔥

🃏 42 PTS (26 in 2H)
🃏 22 REB
🃏 6 AST
🃏 2 BLK

Only the fourth player to record 40/20/5 in the playoffs in NBA history! pic.twitter.com/fABhE9ZIbw

— NBA (@NBA) May 6, 2025

Can Denver do it again?

Denver became the first team in NBA history to win a postseason game on one day of rest against an opponent with at least eight days of rest. The Nuggets won Game 1 thanks to holding a 20-rebound edge on OKC. They also benefited from a failed strategy by Thunder coach Mark Daigneault, who fouled intentionally down the stretch, helping their opponent narrow the gap.

Nikola Jokic became just the fourth player in league history to record at least 40 points, 20 rebounds and five assists in a playoff game.

Jamal Murray added 21 points and Aaron Gordon scored 22 with 14 boards, hitting a game-winning 3-pointer with 2.8 seconds remaining.

Thunder still heavy favorites

Despite their surprise Game 1 defeat, Oklahoma City is still a -320 favorite to advance to the Western Conference Finals. This is mostly due to the Nuggets' lack of depth, which may cause them to wear down over a seven-game series.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander almost had a triple-double in Game 1, recording 33 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. However, he'll need more help from Jalen Williams, who shot just 5-of-20 from the field, and Chet Holmgren, who finished with 12 points.

"Should be good, should be fun. We're gonna find out what we're really made of. It's the game of life. It's about how you respond to getting knocked down"

-Shai Gilgeous Alexander after the Game 1 loss pic.twitter.com/KLWY9Wa6b0

— Ahmed/The Ears/IG: BigBizTheGod 🇸🇴 (@big_business_) May 6, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets NBA Picks

If they were to lose Game 2, Oklahoma City would be well on their way to one of the most disappointing Round 2 exits in NBA history after pacing the league with 68 wins in the regular season.

That's why we're picking the Thunder to roar back, covering the spread (-11) in Game 2 with the OVER 230.5.

OKC Thunder To cover vs Denver Nuggets