Thunder to win 1st NBA title with Game 6 road victory over Indiana

What: NBA Picks
Who: Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers
When: Thursday, June 19, 8:30 p.m.

After being down by as many as 18 points, Indiana pulled within 2 with about eight minutes left in Game 5. But just when it looked like the Pacers might pull off another improbable comeback, the Thunder went on an 18-4 run to take control of the game and the series.

Needing just one more win to clinch its first championship in franchise history, Oklahoma City heads to Indiana for Game 6 on Thursday night. Let's look at the latest betting lines. Odds are subject to change.

	Spread	Money Line	Total Points
Oklahoma City Thunder	-5.0 (-110)	-200	Ov 225.0 (-110)
Indiana Pacers	+5.0 (-110)	+170	Un 225.0 (-110)

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Pacers vs Thunder Betting Trends

Indiana is a 5-point home underdog at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where they are 7-3 in the postseason. The Pacers are 23-25-3 against the spread on their home court in the regular season and playoffs combined. That includes a 6-7-1 ATS mark as home dogs.

Oklahoma City is 5-4 on the road this postseason. As away favorites, they are 24-20-2 ATS this year.

The over/under for Thursday's game is set at 225 points. Game 1 (221 combined points), Game 3 (223) and Game 4 (215) all would've hit the UNDER on that total while Game 2 (230) and Game 5 (229) went OVER. The OVER is 26-25 in Indiana home games, and 25-23-1 in Thunder road contests.

Jalen Williams and SGA are the first 𝙏𝙝𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙧 duo with 30+ Pts in the same Finals game 🔥 pic.twitter.com/HdnVWQCRaw

— ESPN (@espn) June 17, 2025

Jalen Williams emerges

Jalen Williams scored a career playoff-high 40 points with six rebounds and four assists in the Thunder's 120-109 Game 5 victory. And Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished with 31 points and 10 assists.

It was just the 14th time this 40-30 combination has happened in NBA Finals history as SGA and Williams joined some of the great all-time duos.

Winners of Game 5 in a NBA Finals that was tied at 2-2 went on to win the title 23 out of 31 times (74%), and clubs with a 3-2 series lead have claimed the championship in 40 of 49 opportunities (82%).

How hurt is Haliburton?

Tyrese Haliburton injured his leg in the first quarter on Monday, ending his night with just four points (0-of-6 shooting), seven rebounds and six assists. He also finished with three turnovers and a minus-13 mark.

T.J. McConnell almost saved the day, scoring 13 points in the third quarter to cut the Thunder's lead. But Rick Carlisle sat the veteran point guard in the final frame.

Injury or not, Haliburton has been badly outplayed by Gilgeous-Alexander in the NBA Finals. He's averaging 15 points, 7.2 assists, 6.2 rebounds and 1.2 steals per game versus SGA's 32.4 points, five assists, 4.6 rebounds and 2.4 steals.