NFL Betting News This Month | Latest Super Bowl Odds, Market Watch & MVP Favorites | August, 2026

By Seb Blasco, Updated on: Aug 17, 2026

If you lean into the NFL Super Bowl betting trends, you should be leaning toward the NFC. NFC teams have won four of the past six Super Bowl games. Despite that reality, this season, NFC teams are not dominating the early Super Bowl futures market.

The Los Angeles Rams are the +550 chalk to win it all. However, of the top 10 teams in Super Bowl odds, there are five from the AFC and five from the NFC. And four of the six teams with the shortest Super Bowl odds – Buffalo (+1000), Baltimore (+1100), Kansas City (+1600), and the Los Angeles Chargers (+1700) – are from the AFC.

It’s worth noting that since Denver played in Super Bowl 50, only New England and Kansas City have won Super Bowls for the AFC.

Futures markets are now reacting to roster moves, quarterback health, contract situations, rest advantages, and training camp reports. For all your news, views, and analysis, check out NFL betting.

Biggest NFL betting storylines this month

The work don’t stop. 😤 pic.twitter.com/CE0kacLk5g

— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) June 10, 2026

Latest NFL Betting News

Rams The Team To Beat

Mahomes Extension Boosts Chiefs

Falcons Super Bowl Odds Lengthening

Optimism In Cincinnati

With QB Matthew Stafford playing pitch and catch with WR Puka Nacua, and offseason addition and NFL DPOY favorite Myles Garrett wreaking havoc on the other side of the ball, the Rams look to be scary good. We haven't even mentioned the upgraded secondary or the persistent rumors that former NFL DPOY Aaron Donald could be back to play alongside Garrett in what could be a modern version of the Fearsome Foursome. The Rams are the +500 chalk in Super Bowl futures.

Patrick Mahomes has signed a historic extension that keeps him under contract with Kansas City through the 2033 season. The deal is significant not only because it keeps Mahomes tied to the Chiefs deep into his career, but because it shows the franchise has no major long-term concerns about his recovery from last season's knee injury. The Chiefs are currently priced at +1600 in the Super Bowl futures market, which feels unusual for a team led by Mahomes and Andy Reid. The obvious reason is uncertainty. Mahomes is coming off the ACL and LCL tear suffered late last season, and the Chiefs offense has not looked fully convincing for a couple of years. If Mahomes is close to himself by September, +1600 could quickly disappear. KC has played in five of the past seven Super Bowl games.

The QBs are not to be in Atlanta. Michael Penix Jr. has still not been cleared for full 11-on-11 work and may not be for another month. Tua Tagovailoa is out with an undisclosed injury. The expected QB battle for the Falcons has become an exercise in futility. From a betting perspective, Atlanta remains more of a long-shot proposition than a serious Super Bowl contender. The Falcons have lengthened from +6600 to +10000 in the futures market over the past month, which reflects both the talent on the roster and the uncertainty under center. If the quarterback situation doesn't clear up, Atlanta will remain a difficult team to trust.

The Bengals are another team attracting attention. QB Joe Burrow is healthy, confident, and talking like a quarterback who knows his team can be dangerous again. The issue, as always, is whether the defense can hold up. Cincinnati has been active in trying to fix a unit that has declined over recent seasons, but there is still plenty to prove. The positive angle for bettors is that the schedule looks manageable within the division, and Burrow entering the season healthy changes the feel around the entire franchise. In the past month, Cinci's Super Bowl odds shortened from +3000 to +2000.

Allen favored to win another MVP

When it comes to betting on the NFL MVP, the men under center are the center of attention. Quarterbacks have won 13 consecutive NFL MVPs and 18 of the last 19 awards.

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen was the 2024 MVP, and he's the +550 favorite to win it again in 2026. The first six players with the shortest NFL MVP odds are all AFC QBs. Every one of the lowest 22 players in this betting market is a QB. The first non-QB in the betting lines to win the NFL MVP is Los Angeles Rams WR Puka Nacua (+12500).

If you’re looking for value in NFL MVP futures, look no further than Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence. Last season was a coming-out party for Lawrence. He passed for 4,007 yards and 29 TDs against only 12 interceptions. His completion rate was 60.9%, and Lawrence rushed for a career-high nine TDs.

Lawrence is an absolute bargain in the NFL MVP betting markets at odds of +2200.

NFC South is NFL's most wide open division

In NFL divisional betting, no market offers greater value than the NFC South. Any team in this division could win it all. And any team could appropriately go south.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with QB Baker Mayfield playing out the final year of his contract, are the +175 chalk to win the division. Tampa Bay finished last season on a 2-7 skid and wound up 8-9.

Led by young QB Tyler Shough, the New Orleans Saints won four of their last five games to finish 6-11. They are +265 to win the division.

The defending divisional champion Carolina Panthers (8-9) can be had for +310. Injury-riddled at QB, the Atlanta Falcons (8-9) are the longest shot to be NFC South winners at +360.

Super Bowl odds movers: biggest risers, fallers and value bets

Biggest risers

Los Angeles Rams (+550)

The biggest risers on the board are the Rams. Already viewed as one of the strongest teams in the NFC, the Rams have now moved to the top of the Super Bowl market after a huge offseason. Their price has shortened to around +550, with BetNow listing them as the team leading both ticket count and money in the Super Bowl futures market. On paper, the Rams now look like the most complete roster in football.

Cincinnati Bengals (+2000)

The betting line on the Bengals is coming down in the Super Bowl futures book at a rapid pace. Last month, you could get Cincinnati at +3000 to win the Super Bowl. Joe Burrow’s health changes everything, and if the defense improves even slightly, Cincinnati could become one of the most dangerous teams outside the top tier.

Chicago Bears (+2500)

The Bears are another team gaining attention. At around +2500, they still sit outside the top tier, but Caleb Williams gives them a ceiling that is hard to ignore. If he takes another step in training camp, Chicago’s current price may not last long.

Biggest fallers

Seattle Seahawks (+1100)

The defending champion Seahawks have drifted slightly despite last season’s Super Bowl win. They remain a serious NFC contender, but the market has clearly reacted to the Rams strengthening. Repeating is never easy, and bettors appear less convinced that Seattle should still be viewed as the team to beat, especially in the rugged NFC West. It doesn't help that at RB Kenneth Walker III is gone, and Zach Charbonnet is recovering from a late-season ACL tear.

Philadelphia Eagles (+1800)

The Eagles have lost even more momentum in the market. Philly was +1600 in Super Bowl futures a month ago. Their roster still has plenty of quality, but after a disruptive offseason, they no longer feel like one of the safest NFC plays. Unless their new-look offense settles quickly in camp, they may remain in that awkward middle ground between contender and question mark.

Denver Broncos (+2000)

The Broncos had shortened to +1800, but it felt like fool's gold. They are not being priced like one of the elite teams, but their movement in both ticket count and money suggests bettors were buying into their upside. However, it would appear now that the market has fully caught up and Denver futures are once more lengthening.

Best value left on the board

Kansas City Chiefs (+1600)

The most interesting value may still be the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are rarely available at this kind of number, with Kansas City sitting outside the very top group of favourites. The concern is Mahomes’ health, and whether the offense can rediscover its rhythm, but if camp reports are positive and Mahomes is looking like himself, the Chiefs could shorten very quickly. Remember, KC has played in five of the past seven Super Bowls.

Minnesota Vikings (+4500)

The Vikings have shortened from +5000 since last month, but this remains a terrific price to get on a team that certainly could win the NFC Central. Elite defensive play in all areas on that side of the ball makes the Vikings a contender to win each week of the season. If Kyler Murray can give them even a slight bump at QB over last year's starter, JJ McCarthy, Minnesota could be dangerous. Seattle, last season’s champs, were +6000 to win the Super Bowl in the NFL preseason.

NFL previous news updates

[July 2026]: NFL training camps are in full swing and the preseason games will soon be getting underway.
[June 2026]: Patrick Mahomes has signed a historic extension with the Kansas City Chiefs.
[June 2026]: The Los Angeles Rams are the early-season favourites to win Super Bowl LXIII.
[May 2026]: The Atlanta Falcons have emerged as one of the league’s most talked-about teams following an aggressive offseason, and their Monday Night Football clash with the Los Angeles Rams is already generating a buzz.
[April 2026]: The NFL Draft wrapped up, and betting boards reacted quickly. Teams that added impact talent across all seven rounds saw their futures adjust, while additional free-agent moves continued to influence the market.
[March 2026]: Trade activity across the NFL began moving the odds, with several major player deals creating immediate changes in division races and Super Bowl pricing.
[March 2026]: Free agency had a major effect on futures markets, as teams that landed top quarterbacks or key defensive stars saw their odds improve sharply, in some cases moving from around +2000 to +1200.
[February 2026]: Super Bowl LX brought the market to a close, with the Seattle Seahawks beating the New England Patriots 29–13 and Kenneth Walker earning Super Bowl MVP.

NFL Betting News FAQ

Meet the author

Seb Blasco

Seb Blasco has a background spanning journalism, sports betting, and filmmaking. After earning a degree in sports business with a focus on European football, he began his career as a sport betting analyst, working with major broadcasters and sports betting firms. More r...