- What: EFL Cup Picks
- When: Semi-Final First Leg Matches Tuesday, January 13 and Wednesday, January 14, 2026
- Where: St. James' Park and Stamford Bridge
- Watch: CBS, Paramount+
Manchester City and Arsenal are battling it out for top honors in the English Premier League, and these two sides are also the betting choices in the EFL Cup picks as the clubs enter the semifinal stage of the competition.
Arsenal is a +130 choice in the soccer betting picks to win its opening semifinal leg against Chelsea. Meanwhile, Manchester City is set as the +110 favorite in the soccer betting odds to get the better of visiting Newcastle United in the other semifinal opener.
Let's look at the latest English Football League Cup semi-final betting lines. Remember, the odds are always subject to change.
| EFL Cup Semi-Final Odds | The Pick | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United vs Manchester City | Man City | +110 | +115 | +118 |
| Chelsea vs Arsenal | Arsenal | +130 | +135 | +132 |
Second-leg matches in the semifinals will be played on February 3-4.
Best EFL Cup Betting Tips
If you're new to betting on soccer, not to worry. Our soccer betting page is chock full of the best wagering advice and handy betting tips. If you are a soccer bettor and you enjoy wagering on knockout cup competitions, the UK offers plenty of opportunities to do so. The FA Cup just completed the third round of that competition. You can find all the information you'll need to do so at our informative FA Cup betting page.
The EFL Cup is a months-long competition, but thanks to your mobile device, you'll never be more than moments away from placing your English League Cup wagers. Take advantage of the top mobile betting apps to place a bet wherever you might be in the course of your day.
EFL Cup SemiFinal Betting Picks
Newcastle United are the reigning EFL Cup winners.
The #CarabaoCup Semi-Finals are locked in! 🏆#EFL pic.twitter.com/D3JYLr6vdt
— Carabao Cup (@Carabao_Cup) December 23, 2025
The last club to win successive titles was Manchester City. Man City won four EFL Cups in a row from 2018-2021
Newcastle United vs Manchester City
The Cityzens are second in the English Premier League, six points behind Arsenal, but they are coming on like a freight train. Manchester City has nine wins and three draws over the club's past 12 matches. They will be coming into this match off a stunning 10-1 drubbing of Exeter City in the third round of the FA Cup.
In the offseason, Man City manager Pep Guardiola revamped his coaching staff. He believes that his club has rediscovered the energy and swagger that made it the scourge of the EPL for many seasons.
It's been an up-and-down campaign for the Cup holders. In the last two matches, Newcastle needed four goals to beat Leeds United and then 10 goals to topple Bournemouth on penalties in an FA Cup third-round match.
Newcastle has won four in a row. However, before that, the club won just once in five matches. That victory was a 2-1 verdict over Fulham in the EFL Cup quarter-finals.
Pick: Newcastle has lost just once in the last five home matches against Manchester City. That includes a 2-1 win at home in EPL play earlier this season. However, they haven't beaten Manchester City in two consecutive matches since 2003. Play the away side to win here.
Chelsea vs Arsenal
These old rivals clashed in the 2007 EFL Cup final, with Chelsea prevailing 2-1. Chelsea ended a five-match losing skid with a 5-1 rout of Charlton Athletic in FA Cup third-round play.
Arsenal is unbeaten in eight matches, with seven of those results being wins. The Gunners are also unbeaten in eight against Chelsea, with five wins and three draws. Chelsea's most recent win over Arsenal came in 2021.
Pick: Arsenal keeps finding ways to win this season. It's hard to bet against the Gunners, so don't. Arsenal is the play here.
Latest EFL Cup Soccer Futures
Manchester City is set in the soccer betting lines as the +160 favorite to win the 2026 EFL Cup. Since 2014, Man City has played in the final of this tournament six times and won the Cup every time.
Arsenal, the second betting choice at soccer betting odds of +175, have won the EFL only twice in eight final appearances, and not since 1993. Arsenal's last appearance in the Cup final was in 2018.
⏪ Last time they met...#EFL | #CarabaoCup pic.twitter.com/UhMNnJh7RQ
— Carabao Cup (@Carabao_Cup) January 8, 2026
Chelsea (+400) has won this competition five times, most recently in 2015. Chelsea has lost its last three appearances in the final in 2024, 2022, and 2019.
Newcastle United (+600) is the current EFL Cup holder, but that holds no weight with the oddsmakers. The win by the Geordies last year over Liverpool came in Newcastle's third appearance in the final. They were losing finalists in 2023 and 1976.
Best Bet To Win The EFL Cup
Manchester City has won eight EFL Cup titles, second only to the 10 titles Liverpool has won. City has played in five of the past 10 EFL Cup finals, but none over the past four years.
Oddsmakers believe that this is the year that Man City climbs back to the top, setting the side as the betting choice. If this is indeed to be Pep Guardiola's last year as manager, as has been speculated in the media, there's certainly incentive for the club to win it all. Go with Manchester City to win in the EFL Cup picks.
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