Portland Timbers to chop down San Diego FC in massive first round upset

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Nov 5, 2025 12:00 AM
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers Picks
  • What: Portland Timbers at San Diego FC- Game 3
  • Where: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA
  • When: Sunday, November 9th at 9:00 pm EST

The Portland Timbers stunned San Diego FC in Game 2, tying the contest in the eighth minute of stoppage time before winning in a penalty-kick shootout to force a rubber match in the best-of-three first-round series.

Who will advance to the Western Conference Semifinals? Let's look at the latest betting lines for San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers. Odds are subject to change.

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
San Diego FC-1.0 (-102)-170Ov 3 3.5 (-105)
Portland Timbers+1.0 (-118)+380Un 3 3.5 (-115)
Draw+345

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San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers

San Diego FC (-170) is a heavy money-line favorite in Snapdragon Stadium, where they maintained a 7-5-5 record this season. The first-year expansion team was actually much better on the road (12-4-1), finishing with the top record in the Western Conference with 63 points.

San Diego defeated the Timbers 4-0 on Decision Day and 2-1 in their playoff opener before losing in agonizing fashion on Sunday. Portland (+380) is a huge longshot to advance to the Conference Semifinals, but magic could be in the air following Gage Guerra’s Game 2 heroics.

Guerra plays the hero

After entering in the 86th minute, Gage Guerra headed in a cross eight minutes into stoppage time to tie the game at 2-2. Antony Alves Santos then scored the winner in a penalty-kick shootout after Jeppe Tverskov hit the crossbar.

Earlier in the match, Kristoffer Velde scored his second goal of the postseason for the Timbers. Antony has also registered an assist in consecutive games. Following the victory, Portland is 12-8-8 all time in the playoffs.

All the pressure on San Diego

San Diego FC set a new MLS record for expansion teams with the most points (63) and wins (19) in their inaugural season. Anders Dreyer was also named MLS Newcomer of the Year after collecting 38 goal contributions (19g/19a) during his debut season.

However, the pressure will be on the 27-year-old Danish international and all of his teammates in Game 3. “Tonight, we went into the game with no fear, and that’s what we’re going to do next week in San Diego,” said Timbers head coach Phil Neville.

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San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers Picks

San Diego FC is the deeper and more talented squad, but the Timbers are fighting hard. In addition to stealing Game 2 late, Portland only lost Game 1 by a 2-1 margin despite playing down a man for the final 24 minutes of the match.

San Diego FC has only been mediocre at home this season, and fans inside Snapdragon Stadium will most certainly be nervous on Sunday. At almost 4-1 odds, we'll roll the dice with the Portland Timbers (+380) in a massive round one upset.

Portland Timbers to defeat San Diego FC
Bovada
+380

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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