Dan Favale | Tue 20/08/2019 - 04:45 EDT

Travers Stakes Betting Odds: Predictions for Saratoga’s Midsummer Derby 2020

Travers Stakes Betting Odds: Predictions for Saratoga’s Midsummer Derby 2020

The 2019 Travers Stakes will mark the 150th running of Saratoga’s midsummer derby, and oh, what a race it is shaping up to be. Tacitus and Code of Honor enter as heavy co-favorites, but this one-and-quarter-mile heat is known for its underdog-friendly track. Which horses represent this year’s best bets? Let’s find out, together!

Here are the Travers Stakes current odds for the top-five horses, courtesy of the fine folks over at MyBookie.ag: 

  • Code of Honor (+275)
  • Tacitus (+275)
  • Mucho Gusto (+550)
  • Tax (+800)
  • Highest Honors (+900)

Free horse racing picks can be dime-a-dozen. Ours are an exception. We have parsed the odds. We have researched the horses and their riders. We have taken course conditions into account. And in turn, we are ready to deliver our 2019 Travers Stakes picks. Prepare to cover all of the following:

  • Complete 2019 Travers Stakes Odds
  • 2019 Travers Stakes post time
  • Analysis on the most notable horses
  • List of the best possible bets
  • 2019 Travers Stakes expert picks

2019 Travers Stakes Betting Breakdown

  • When: Saturday, August 24
  • Where: Saratoga Race Course
  • Gates Open: 7:00 a.m. EST
  • First Post: 11:35 a.m. EST
  • Final Post: 5:44 p.m. EST

Complete 2019 Travers Stakes Betting Odds

Below are the odds for every horse entering Saturday’s just-for-three-year-olds race:

  • Code of Honor (+275)
  • Tacitus (+275)
  • Mucho Gusto (+550)
  • Tax (+800)
  • Highest Honors (+900)
  • Global Campaign, Owendale (+1200)
  • Endorsed (+1400)
  • Looking at Bikinis, Spinoff (+2000)
  • Everfast, Rowayton (+2500)
  • Chess Chief (+3000)
  • Scars are Cool (+4000)
  • Laughing Fox (+5000)

Best Value Bets for 2019 Travers Stakes

Tacitus (+275)

At least one of the two primary favorites has to make the good value section. It’s basically a rule. The honor belongs to Tacitus this time around.

Almost everyone is encouraged by his second-place finish at the Jim Dandy Stakes. They should be. Tacitus was actually slow out of the gate and forfeited inside positioning down the stretch—and he still bagged the runner-up distinction.

Some have worried about his endurance in past races. That shouldn’t be an issue anymore. Tacitus backed up his fast-rising stock with a strong second-place run at the Belmont Stakes. Saratoga’s track is a quarter-mile shorter. Tacitus shouldn’t have a problem maintaining his pace from start to finish.

Mucho Gusto (+550)

There should probably be a little less of a gap between Mucho Gusto and the co-favorites. This three-year-old colt, who also happens to be the son of Mucho Man, is as fast as they come relative to the field.

Mucho Gusto finished second to Maximum Security last month at Monmouth Park in convincing fashion. It wasn’t just his podium placement; it was by how much of an advantage he held by the end. The third-place horse, Spun to Run, was nearly nine lengths behind him. 

Long distance races remain Mucho Gusto’s biggest question mark. The Travers Stakes will be his longest competition in quite some time by an entire furlong. Still, given his ability to create separation, he represents great value if you can pick him up at anything around +500 or higher.

Owendale (+1200)

Dark horse bet alert! The three-year-old Owendale catches our attention because of his performance at the Ohio Derby, in which he posted a career-best time en route to picking up the victory.

Many have labeled that run fool’s gold. He just barely beat Math Wizard down the stretch, and he’s run some uninspiring races in the recent past. In hindsight, the field he beat out in Ohio was also far from impressive.

At the same time, it is not unheard of for three-year-old horses to hit their stride. The Ohio Derby could be the start of something for Owendale. Be wary of his closing kicks; he often gets outstrided. But he’s quick enough to find himself in the winner’s circle. 

Everfast (+2500)

That’s right: Another dark-horse bet. We’re not sorry. Everfast is hardly the most talented horse in this year’s field, but he’s a great value wager at +2500.

Let us not forget that he finished second at Preakness. People didn’t think much of this year’s field there, but a runner-up placement is still something.

Truth be told, we’re also kind of smitten with Everfast’s rider. He’ll be mounted by Martin Chuan, a 24-year-old Peruvian who has apparently won more than 1,000 races in his home country and is dubbed the King of South America.

Chuan’s stats may be inflated courtesy of his agent. That happens. But he is a multiple-time Group 1 winner, and he now has 24 starts under his belt at Ellis Park in Kentucky, through which he’s finished in the top three 13 times.

2019 Travers Stakes Winner Prediction

And the winner will be…Mucho Gusto!

This bet poses a little bit of a risk. Again: There remain plenty of analysts who wonder about his capacity to finish strong in longer races. Horses with better stamina, such as Tacitus or even Tax (+800), come off as safer options.

That doesn’t bother us. Mucho Gusto has posted in each of his eight career starts, and his relatively light resume should mean the best is yet to come. His owner, Michael Lund Petersen, hasn’t entered him in any races as long as the Travers Stakes in quite a while.

This might scare some away, but it could also mean he’s fresher than other horses—particularly those who, like him, have already competed in the past couple of weeks.

OSB’s Travers Stakes Prediction: Mucho Gusto (+550)

Check out our list of the top online sportsbooks below and decide which one you’d like to use for your 2019 Travers Stakes betting:

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