Best UFC 316 Bets: Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix

Chris Wassel
By , Updated on: May 26, 2025 12:00 AM
OSB Best UFC 316 Bets Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix

Mario Bautista vs. Patchy Mix will be on the main card at UFC 316 this upcoming June 7. Yes, the Men's Bantamweight bout could be as entertaining as the championship fight in the same weight class. Bautista vs Mix best bets expects to feature plenty of action and a little flair for the dramatic maybe.

Who will win as the UFC comes back to New Jersey? What excitement waits for us at the home of the New Jersey Devils? Let’s find out! But first, here is some needed information.

  • What: UFC 316
  • When: Saturday, June 7, 2025
  • Start Time: 6pm EDT (early prelims), 8 p.m. EDT (preliminary bouts), 10 p.m. EDT (main card)
  • Where: Newark, New Jersey
  • Venue: Prudential Center
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+ and ESPN (subscription required) for Prelims and Early Prelims, 10pm (PPV+) for main card
  • Main Event: Mario Bautista vs. Patchy Mix

Bautista vs Mix Could Be Different

This is one of those classic short notice fights heading into UFC 316. Mario Bautista carries a lifetime record of 15-2-0 and trying to improve his place in the Bantamweight division. His ability to fight with purpose is well documented. However, there are a few weak points. Though he has not lost since 2021, Bautista can get caught by some punches. His defense can allow up to four significant strikes a minute and sometimes more.

The good thing for Bautista is his significant strike rate is high at 5.31. Add in the almost two takedowns per fight and ability to grapple when needed, and one can see why Bautista may be an attractive underdog here. The Jose Aldo split decision was a bit perplexing. Bautista looked off in that fight and could not garner a takedown despite 10 attempts. Is there something to exploit there? The fear is the American fighter may try to press too much at UFC 316 after his UFC 307 dud.

Then, there is Patchy Mix. Yes, the American UFC fighter made his mark in Bellator where he was the defending Bantamweight champion. Mix figured it was time to make the jump and recently, UFC officially signed him to the roster. Now, it was probably the worst-kept secret. However, Mix has some considerable talent. How does that translate from Bellator to UFC will be interesting. Add in the short notice of the bout (about 12-14 days) and this will make things intriguing.

Mix's biggest wins start with Magomed Magomedov. He beat him twice. The second time was probably a bit suspect but actually 80% of the cards had him winning easily from the media. However, the judges were not so sure. Anyway, with lots to digest here, let us dive into the bout.

UFC 316 Main Card: Mario Bautista vs. Patchy Mix Betting Lines

This UFC 316 main card battle marks an important match here. Most times, there is the online UFC betting odds which favor the more experienced UFC fighter. However, early numbers turn to the newcomer because of his undeniable panache and some talent. Here are those numbers to examine for yourself:

UFC Main Card BoutBovadaBetOnlineBetUS
Mario Bautista+165+170+160
Patchy Mix-200-210-190

Please keep an eye on any movement in these UFC 316 betting odds right up until you actually make your bet. Our UFC 316 online betting odds are accurate entering Monday, May 26. This gives the best online UFC betting sites time to adjust ahead of this pay-per-view on Saturday, June 7th.

For this fight, specifically, do not expect too many significant changes. With less than two weeks until the matchup, the lines do not figure to move much. For example, watch the round props. The UFC 316 betting lines could trend even more toward the a decision here.

Does Mario Bautista Have What It Takes?

Does Mario Bautista have what it takes? Could a submission or knockout happen? It is possible but not all that likely. Since the fighter has climbed up into the upper echelon of bantamweights, decisions have been the verdict in his past three fights. Bautista has shown the ability to hold his own but has had some trouble here and there offensively. What else is there for Bautista vs Mix best bets?

Normally being one of the UFC’s better takedown merchants, the elusiveness of Mix could prove some trouble for Bautista. Also, Mix is going to hit back a little harder as opposed to an aging Jose Aldo. People sometimes forget Aldo is 38 and will be 39 in early September. The sunset is near there. Meanwhile, Bautista is 31 and believes he has several years left at least.

Bluntly, Bautista must get in his shots first and show an ability to get back into his takedown and pound game. If he has any tentativeness in this fight, there may be trouble. Furthermore, that trouble may come early. With this only being a three-round bout, expect a lot of energy expended from both fighters. Bautista wins this if he stays inside because of that 2.5 inch reach disadvantage and leg reach deficit of two inches.

Mario Bautista To beat Patchy Mix at UFC 316
BetOnline
+170

Can Patchy Mix Debut In Style?

Bautista vs Mix bets ask THE question. Can Patchy Mix debut in style? Controversy stalks Mix. The talent is there but his parting of the way with Bellator was not pleasant even if it was mutual. He has made his bed and his flamboyant style will rub the wrong way. If he does not win next Saturday, there will be more problems for him. Mix took a risk but his speed and energy may be enough to carry him against Bautista.    

Simply, if Bautista is indecisive in any way, Mix takes advantage, pounces, and can grind his way to a decision victory on June 7th.

Patchy Mix To beat Mario Bautista at UFC 316
BetUS
-190

UFC 316 Wager For Bautista vs. Mix

Look at the odds from the best online UFC betting apps. Bautista vs. Mix bets carries one more wager.

Yes, let's take a leap on the unanimous decision which is now -125 early on. That could change.

Patchy Mix To win by unanimous decision at UFC 316
Bovada
-125

Check the top online sportsbooks and find one that works best for you.

Meet the author

Chris Wassel

Chris Wassel AA, AAS CURRENTLY Sports Writer and Journalist RESIDES IN Rahway, NJ EDUCATION Union County College, Montclair State University EXPERTISE Business, Writing, Sports, Food, Grilling, Olympics, Injuries, Politics, and Baking Cookies Summary A long s...

Online Sports Betting may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Rest assured, we avoid biases and provide honest opinions on sportsbooks. Read our affiliate disclosure here.