Prop Bets That Will Cash At UFC Fight Night

Eric Uribe
By , Updated on: May 18, 2023 08:00 PM
Prop Bets That Will Cash At UFC Fight Night

Perhaps the most lucrative way to make money off the next UFC Fight Night event is through props. The top fights on the card have multiple of them available and we’ve hand-picked the three best UFC props to make in this article. Stick with us to get our betting advice completely free or cost!

  • What: UFC Fight Night
  • When: Saturday, May 20
  • Where: Las Vegas, Nevada at UFC Apex

Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Prop Betting Pick

Dern vs. Hill was originally scheduled for last week’s show as a three-rounder. It was moved to this event to beef up the card, and in the process, became a five-rounder. That’s a big change as we’ll discuss shortly. With this Dern-Hill fight, we have our eyes on the exact outcome wager. The following options are available at the best UFC betting sites:

Hill By Stoppage+800+800+800
Hill By Decision+200+200+200
Dern By Stoppage+130+130+130
Dern By Decision+190+190+190

Let’s throw out one outcome right now — Hill by early finish. That’s probably not going to happen. Hill has always been a pillow puncher, and that doesn’t change now that she’s 38 years old. Her path to victory is by decision, and that’s really about it.

Hill is hurt more by the change to five rounds than the much younger Dern is. Stamina does diminish with age, plus Dern has always been known for endurance. Getting an extra two rounds improves her chances at victory. We do believe Dern wins, but how is the question — decision or stoppage?

Unlike Hill, Dern does have serious stoppage potential. She is a jiu-jitsu expert through and through, making her lethal on the ground. Seven of her 12 career wins have been by stoppage so finishes are actually the norm with Dern. We’ll bet that career mark becomes eight in this one. As the fight wears on, and Hill likely fades, she’ll be even more more to Dern’s submission holds. Our money says it ends in round four or so.

Dern to win by stoppage vs. Hill

Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Anthony Hernandez Prop Betting Pick

Here again, our eyes are lighting up on the Shahbazyan vs. Hernandez prop around who wins and how. Same betting options as the main event, and they are as follows:

Shahbazyan By Stoppage+270+270+270
Shahbazyan By Decision+550+550+550
Hernandez By Stoppage-105-105-105
Hernandez By Decision+215+215+215

As you can see above, the belief here is that Hernandez stops him within the three rounds. That makes sense given the fight styles. Despite being nicknamed “Fluffy”, Hernandez is anything but soft. He has a strong appetite for takedowns. Hernandez’s takedown average is 6.49 with an accuracy of 64 percent.

Last time out, Hernandez took down André Barriault eight times before making him submit late. Impressive, but here’s another way to look at that: Barriault was able to escape seven times, which also says Hernandez's control on the ground isn’t all that great.

But back to Shahbazyan, while he prefers to stand up and strike, his takedown defense isn’t bad. He blocks 65 percent of takedown attempts, which could keep him out of trouble in this one. So while we think Hernandez does win, it’ll come off of points (mainly those successful takedowns) and not from submission or any other finish.

Hernandez to win by decision vs. Shahbazyan

Emily Ducote vs. Lupita Godinez

Ducote was originally scheduled to fight Polyana Vian on this card, but the latter was forced out, setting up this short-notice bout instead. With the new Ducote vs. Godinez fight, we’re eyeing the go-the-distance prop. It’s a simple yes-or-no option:


Anytime you got a fight on this short notice (two weeks in this instance), you introduce chaos into the equation. Neither fighter is prepared to their full extent, which opens the door for a fatal mistake. That’s especially plausible with these two fighters that have opposite styles. Ducote is a striker, while Godinez is a grappler.

Our money says this one gets stopped early. We favor Ducote to win slightly because at least she’s been in full-on camp, but we’re not confident enough to bet her decision line either. It’s best just to wager on the fight not going the distance.

Not go the distance fight between Ducote and Godinez

How To Bet On UFC Fight Night?

There are all types of UFC bets available for this card — classic moneyline and over/under, plus props we didn't cover in this article. The entire card has 13 different fights so you can probably do the math on all the possibilities to make a profit off this show. If you're looking for a complete list of UFC Fight Night bets, hit one of the bookmakers featured underneath. That goes for this show, plus any other in the UFC going forward.

If that wasn't enough, these same sites are offering an array of betting promotions right now. Deals will vary from site to site, but you could get as much as $2500 in free play at the "right" place. All money earned could effectively bankroll your sports bets, including this show, for the next couple of weeks. The best bonuses are listed in the table. Pick one and boom, you got free money to gamble with!

Meet the author

Eric Uribe

Eric has been passionate about sports since he was 10 years old. He brings over 10 years of sports journalism experience to his expert coverage of sports betting. Hailing from the US, Eric leverages his diverse expertise covering sports at all levels – from high schoo...

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