You don’t want to miss betting on the 2022 US Open tournament — the final Grand Slam of 2022. Due to the event’s significance, popular tennis betting sites have rolled out a bevy of prop bets on the tourney, both on the men’s and women’s side. We’ve hand-picked three props you should wager on and we’re giving them to you below so read on for expert advice!
Free US Open Prop Bet Picks
When researching US Open prop bets, we were extra selective. While there’s many worth wagering on, the three chosen below are the MOST deserving of your money. After all, getting “bang for your buck” is one of the keys to a successful betting strategy. Here’s the three bets we chose:
Player To Reach Men’s Final
There’s a new “big three” in the world of men’s tennis. The three biggest favorites to win the singles bracket are (in order) Medvedev, Rafael Nadal, and Carlos Alcaraz. Nadal was one of the original “big three”, alongside Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic. And spoiler alert: this new big three isn’t nearly as dominant as the prior one, which makes the bracket much more wide-open.
Because of the wide-open nature of the singles tourney, we’re skipping out on the regular outright winner bet. Instead, we’re betting on which player advances to the Finals. Of course, there’s two ways to win this prop, which shortens the betting odds across the board. But that mitigates the risk of this unpredictable bracket. Here’s the top players favored by oddsmakers to go to the finals:
You’ll notice the above list is missing several top names — including the aforementioned Djokovic and Federer, but also Alexander Zverev. Injuries or unvaccinated status are keeping the trio out of Flushing Meadows. With that out of the way, let’s turn our attention to the top names that are participating.
The 22-time Grand Slammer winner (most of all time) Rafael Nadal is in the mix, but at what capacity? Nadal notably pulled out of the Wimbledon semis with an abdominal tear — the worst possible timing as a third Grand Slam win in 2022 felt within reach for the Spaniard. He returned to action for the first time at the recent Cincinnati Open, but was defeated in his first match by the eventual event winner, Borna Coric. We’re not quite sure the 36-year-old Nadal is fit enough to win a five-set tournament, which is why we’re passing on him.
And then there’s Carlos Alcaraz, who some believe is an heir apparent to Nadal (both are Spaniard). The 19-year-old shot up the world rankings (currently No. 4) with four titles this season but has gone cold in this North America stretch. First he was bounced in the Round of 32 at the Canadian Open, then the quarters of Cincinnati Masters. Alcaraz is just not playing well enough the past few weeks to warrant a Finals appearance bet.
That leaves us with Medvedev — not only a new “big three” player, but the reigning US Open champion (he shockingly beat Djokovic in three sets here last year). Medvedev drew the bracket’s number-one seed and we’re betting he survives until the very end. All the injuries to top contenders, plus his own history of success at Flushing Meadows (Medvedev also went to the 2019 Finals) makes Medvedev the “safest” choice in a bracket that is shaping up to be wildly unpredictable.
Men’s Big Three Vs. The Field
We mentioned the new “big three” in our previous pick because there’s a whole prop bet centered on them. You can wager on whether or not any of the trifecta of Alcaraz, Medvedev, and Nadal will win the 2022 US Open. Here’s the current betting odds:
We’ll be completely blunt and say we’re betting on the field — as in any of the other 125 players participating winning the US Open over the big three. We’ve already told you where our doubts lie with Alcaraz and Nadal so no need to repeat ourselves. And while we think Medvedev can advance to the Finals, we’re not so confident he’ll repeat as champion. Let’s not forget he’s won only one title in 2022 and has had much of his playing season affected by external factors (his native country, Russia, going to war). Expect a longshot player in the field to end up as the US Champion winner.
Iga Swiatek Round Reached
2022 has been the year of Iga Swiatek. No player, male or female, has dominated the sport more than the 21-year-old phenom. She’s been ranked No. 1 overall for five months now — a stretch that included a 37-match winning streak and six titles, including the French Open. There’s a whole prop bet on Swiatek and how long she lasts at Flushing Meadows. The betting options are as follows:
Swiatek’s streakiness has cooled significantly the last month. In her previous three events, she’s been eliminated twice in the round of 16 and another time in the quarters. Furthermore, the furthest she’s ever advanced at the US Open in three career tries is Round 4. We wouldn’t be surprised to see Swiatek bounced in the quarters, which is where we’re throwing money on here.
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