Betting on props might be the best way to make money off UFC 293. We’ve dug deep into the prop market and pulled three bets most worth taking at UFC 293. Keep reading and you’ll get our betting advice completely free!
- What: UFC 293
- Where: Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia
- When: Saturday, September 10
Israel Adesanya vs. Sean Strickland Prop Bet
Maybe the only way to make money off the main event is props. That’s because the moneyline is way, way too lopsided as Australia’s own, Adesnya, is a -650 favorite to win on the moneyline. A much more reasonable bet here is who wins, and more importantly how. We’re talking about the Adesanya-Strickland extent outcome prop. The gambling options are as follows on top betting sites for UFC:
|Adesanya by Points||+130||+130||+130|
|Adesanya by KO||-110||-110||-110|
|Adesanya by Submission||+1000||+1000||+1000|
|Strickland by Points||+1200||+1200||+1200|
|Strickland by KO||+1200||+1200||+1200|
|Strickland by Submission||+2500||+2500||+2500|
We’ll be blunt and say Strickland isn’t winning this fight so you can scratch off those betting options. Strickland is a respectable fighter, but far from a championship-level one. He’s only in this position because Dricus du Plessis wasn’t ready to fight Adesanya due to injuries. In the past, Strickland has come up short against every top-flight middleweight including Alex Pereira and Jared Cannonier, both of which, Adesanya has beaten.
So if Izzy is winning (it would be a small miracle if he doesn’t), then is it by decision or KO (he's never made anyone submit)? In 13 career UFC wins for The Last Stylebender, eight have been decisions. Until recently, some fans were labeling Adesanya “boring” because of a lack of aggression inside the octagon.
But there’s reason to believe Adesanya will “go for blood” at UFC 293. He’s fresh off a highlight-reel stoppage of Pereira, he’s sworn fighting enemy. Two, he’ll be fighting in front of a partisan crowd. Three, and this is most important, Strickland’s fight style lends itself to getting dropped. The challenger is aggressive and constantly pushes forward. Adesanya, being the longer fighter, will have his chances at getting him out early. Our money says the champion does just that!
Alexander Volkov vs. Tai Tuivasa Prop Bet
Tuivasa is likely going to be the most popular fighter on the card — from the home crowd (he’s a born-and-bred Aussie) but also the fans watching. It’s hard not to like the tough-nosed Tuivasa. However, he has a tough heavyweight matchup against Volkov. In this bout, we’re inclined to take the Tuivasa-Volkov prop on who wins within the distance. The odds are as follows:
|Goes to Decision||+250||+250||+250|
So for clarification, the point is to choose which fighter wins before the final bell or just choose it goes the distance. The latter option hits if it goes to decision — no matter who wins. But we’re canceling out that bet. When it’s a pair of heavyweights with almost no ground game, as is the case here, somebody is getting knocked out before the third round ends.
To us, Volkov is winning despite the favoritism for Tuivasa. In fact, going against the crowd is what makes us more confident in this Volkov pick. He doesn’t have the fanfare, but Volkov is the more skilled and powerful hitter. Getting him on this line is a pure value play too considering his regular moneyline is -250 — so you’re getting a steal if he wins by early stoppage, which we do.
Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Prop Bet
Alright, this Tafa-Lane prop bet is admittedly a bigger gamble. The risk-reward is worth it, however. With this heavyweight clash, we’re putting money on who wins and in what exact round. There are more betting options here, and that’s reflected in the more spread-out betting odds. See below for reference:
|Tafa in Round 1||+100||+100||+100|
|Tafa in Round 2||+550||+550||+550|
|Tafa in Round 3||+550||+550||+550|
|Tafa by Points||+700||+700||+700|
|Lane in Round 1||+550||+550||+550|
|Lane in Round 2||+800||+800||+800|
|Lane in Round 3||+900||+900||+900|
|Lane by Points||+900||+900||+900|
This fight almost has to end early, as well. Both fighters are strike-based heavyweights without any wrestling or ground game to speak of. Tafa is the favorite to win. He’s younger and also fighting in front of the home Aussie crowd. But we think Lane has the potential to play spoiler. A former NFL player, Lane has more physical capacity than Tafa with strength, size, and athletic advantages.
We’re going to throw cash on Lane in the second round. Tafa might start off hot due to the Aussie homecoming but by round two, Lane will be settled. Sometime in this round, he’ll land the KO haymaker that scores him the win.
How To Bet On UFC 293 Props
There are way more UFC 293 props than any other type of bet (e.g. moneyline or over/under). What we picked above is truly only the tip of the iceberg. Between the dozen bouts on the entire card, you’re looking at 100 or so props. All those betting options can be found at one of the bookmakers listed below.
The best part? These bookmakers have huge promotional bonuses that could bankroll your UFC 293 bets. Hundreds to thousands of dollars in free play are available off these deals. Some of our favorites are also listed below so pick one to bet on UFC using “house money” in a way.