March Madness Favorites

March Madness Favorites

Dan Favale
By , Updated on: Oct 6, 2025 12:00 AM

In college basketball, everyone seems to swear by rankings. Recruiting classes are graded before players even step on the court, and the Top-25 poll dominates headlines all season long. Then comes the NCAA Tournament, where teams are seeded from one through sixteen — a system that, in theory, reflects who’s best and who’s not. Together, these rankings shape the perception of who the March Madness favorites really are.

But here’s the truth: rankings don’t matter as much as you think. They’re useful as media talking points, but they don’t decide championships. Games — and national titles — are won on the hardwood, not in preseason projections.

As we look ahead to March Madness 2026, this guide breaks down what truly makes a school an NCAA Tournament favorite (spoiler: it’s not just hype or historical prestige). You’ll also find key insights to help you bet smarter when the madness tips off on March 17, 2026.

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Top Sportsbooks For Betting March Madness Favorites

By and large, online sportsbooks are pretty aligned when it comes to March Madness betting favorites. That means if Duke is favored to win the national title in one betting site, you can safely assume most other bookies will follow suit closely.

Despite that shared sentiment with tourney favorites, that’s not to say all sportsbooks are one and the same. That actually couldn’t be further from the truth as they vary greatly in wagering selection, the sharpness of lines, on-site features, rewards program, and so forth.

With those variables in mind, we’ve hand-picked the “cream of the crop” sportsbooks for March Madness favorites betting. Here’s the three that deserve your hard-earned money:

March Madness Favorites at Bovada

Plain and simple, Bovada is an absolute haven for NCAAB bracket odds. All season long, you’ll find betting lines for a seemingly endless amount of college basketball games. This ranges from opening-season tournaments to conference battles to March Madness odds.

Bovada has favorites for March Madness pegged almost year-round. Heck, as soon as one NCAA champion is crowned, Bovada has NCAA March Madness odds for next year’s winner within days. The lines are also offered at very bettor-friendly places.

Outside of its huge NCAA bet selection, BetUS also wins in the trust factor. This bookie has carved out a reputable name for itself after a decade in service. It’s one of the most widely-used online sportsbooks, and obviously, that wouldn’t be the case if it wasn’t a trustworthy platform.

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MyBookie’s March Madness Favorite Picks

Earning a sign-up bonus has become a rite of passage of sorts for new bettors. Almost every sportsbook offers one in the same cookie-cutter fashion — register for an account, deposit money, and part of that deposit is matched by the bookie in free play. Yet, few of these welcome promos are as high quality as MyBookie‘s.

That’s because MyBookie’s will match initial crypto deposits dollar-for-dollar up to $1,000 (promocode CRYPTO100, 10x rollover requirement).

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This is a killer promo for those interested in gambling on March Madness favorites, which is completely doable on MyBookie. We mean, an extra $1000 in free play can really build the bankroll for the long NCAA season, especially when tournament contenders are shuffling in and out.

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BetUS March Madness Favorites

The BetUS sportsbook menu is extensive — and we mean extensive. It’s got the full gamut of sports and leagues for betting. Not surprisingly, college basketball has a huge presence in the betting catalog.

Given the quality of the BetUS sports betting app, it’s no surprise that the same thing customers keep coming back to this unique bookmaker. What’s more, the bookies focus on collegiate sports gives sports fans an extra boost when it comes to odds and the range of lines for March Madness.

Honestly, you can’t go wrong with any of the three sportsbooks above. If you’re looking for full-on site reviews and bonus details, glance at the table below. We’ve also included a few more bookie recommendations, ones that barely missed our initial cut.

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March Madness 2026 Teams

The 68 teams selected to compete in the 2026 NCAA March Madness tournament will be publicly announced on Selection Sunday, March 15, 2026.

Once the selection committee finalizes the full list of automatic qualifiers and at-large bids, the complete tournament brackets will be revealed.

Bookmark this page and check back on Selection Sunday 2026 to see which programs will officially be competing for the 2026 National Championship title.

2026 NCAA Tournament Favorites

The NCAA basketball championship picture is constantly being re-shuffled. Favorites emerge only to disappear or vice-versa. You’ll see that constant movement reflected in the future odds to win the 2026 March Madness.

Last updated on: October 6, 2025

A slew of events can influence who the tournament favorites are at the given moment. Those variables include reputation/hype, quality of recruiting class, win-loss record, injuries, and what side of the March Madness bracket they’re placed into, among many others.

Seasonality also plays an important factor in determining favorites. In the preseason or at the start of the campaign, since there’s still little to no sample size of games to be judged on, you’ll see hype drive the NCAA pecking order. But once the season wages on, a team’s win-loss mark becomes the focal point. The more victories a school can string together, the more its March Madness title hopes swell in the mind of bookmakers.

If there’s something to glean from the ebbs and flows of an NCAA hoops season, it’s this — don’t put all your eggs into one basket. For example, many analysts currently see Duke as an early frontrunner for the 2026 NCAA Tournament, opening near the top of most March Madness futures boards. But what happens if one of their key freshmen doesn’t live up to the hype or, worse, gets injured?

That’s why it pays to spread the wealth when betting on March Madness favorites. Not just across different teams, but also across different points in the season. Maybe your preseason pick, Duke, slips midyear — but if Houston, Kansas, or UConn catch fire before Selection Sunday, there’s still time to pivot and adjust your wagers.

In college basketball, momentum shifts fast. Staying flexible with your bets gives you a better shot at capitalizing when the next true contender emerges.

After all, there’s no shame in changing your mind based on new events. The true shame lies in “sticking to your guns” per se even when evidence mounts that you initially picked wrong.

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The Do’s And Dont’s Of NCAAB Rankings

Let’s circle back to the point we made at the get-go about rankings not really mattering that much. The keyword in the last sentence is “that much.” Look there actually is a time and place for these rankings. Here’s what we mean:

When Rankings Don’t Matter: Top-25 Polls

Every week, the 25 best basketball schools in the country are voted upon by Associated Press journalists and college coaches. Given the weekly nature of the poll, it’s more about which program is the “flavor of the week” at the time than anything else.

A single loss — even against a quality opponent or by a last-second shot — will topple a team in the poll. On the flip side, a non-Power 5 conference team can run through its so-so schedule and earn a high position based on win-loss record alone, despite the easier schedule.

At the end of the day, teams don’t gain anything from a top-25 poll besides media talk. The Selection Sunday committee that sorts out the NCAA Tournament concern themselves more with “quadrant 1” wins or RPIs than any poll.

When Rankings Do Matter: Tournament Seeding

Unlike a top-25 ranking, teams actually do benefit from earning a higher seed in the March Madness tournament. In theory, higher-seeded teams have an easier path to the championship game since they’re facing off against lower-seeded teams. But does that theory hold up? Well, sort of.

The NCAA Tournament didn’t have one through 16 seedings until 1985 when it expanded the event field to 64 teams. Since then, the national champions have mostly been top seeds. Here are the exact numbers:

  • #1 seeds — 26 titles (≈ 62 %)
  • #2 seeds — 5 titles (≈ 12 %)
  • #3 seeds — 4 titles (≈ 10 %)
  • #4 seeds — 2 titles (≈ 5 %)
  • #5 seeds — 0 titles (0 %)
  • #6 seeds — 1 title (≈ 2 %)
  • #7 seeds — 1 title (≈ 2 %)
  • #8 seeds — 1 title (≈ 2 %)

While you shouldn’t blindly bet on favorites based on seeding alone, there is proof top seeds can back up that ranking, at least more so than a top-25 team or another less useful ranking system.

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Other March Madness Betting Resources

Of course, March Madness betting is a meaty topic outside of tournament favorites. Here are some additional NCAA Tournament resources that can help you win the big bucks this time around:

  • March Madness odds: Moneylines, spreads, over/unders, props, futures — this a deep dive on all the ways to bet on the “Big Dance.”
  • March Madness bracket predictions: We do our best to be fortune-tellers and predict the March Madness bracket. Unfortunately, no one can correctly pick every game correctly, hence the one to multiple quintillion odds of a perfect tournament bracket.
  • March Madness futures: We touched on it briefly, but here’s a more in-depth look at betting on NCAA Tournament future wagers.
  • March Madness locations: All 67 games of the NCAA Tournament are spread throughout the country. Here’s the lowdown on this year’s hosts and what that means for your betting picks.
  • March Madness tickets: For those that want to bet on the tourney AND be there live to witness it, this guide is tailor-made for you!

March Madness 2026 FAQs

Meet the author

Dan Favale

Dan first began writing about sports back in 2011. At the time, his expertise lied in the NBA and NFL. More than one decade, that remains the case. But he's also expanded his catalog to include extensive knowledge and analysis on the NHL, MLB, tennis, NASCAR, college ba...

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