Warriors to upset Timberwolves in Game 1 of Western Conference Semifinals

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: May 5, 2025 12:00 AM
Warriors vs Grizzlies Picks
  • What: NBA Playoffs.
  • Who: Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves
  • When: Tuesday, May 6, 9:30 p.m.

After dispatching LeBron James, Anthony Edwards will look to bounce another legend from the NBA postseason when the Timberwolves face Steph Curry and the Warriors in the Western Conference Semifinals.

Minnesota advanced to the second round with a 4-1 series victory over the Lakers while Golden State narrowly survived the Rockets with a 103-89 road win in Game 7.

Let's look at the latest betting lines for Game 1 of T-Wolves vs Warriors. Odds are subject to change.

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Golden State Warriors+7.0 (-110)+235Ov 208.5 (-110)
Minnesota Timberwolves-7.0 (-110)-285Un 208.5 (110)

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Timberwolves vs Warriors Betting Trends

Minnesota is a 7-point favorite at Target Center, where they finished the year with a 25-16 regular season record before winning both their home contests against the Lakers.

The Timberwolves were just 19-23-1 against the spread at home during the season. They have a 1-3 record versus the Warriors this season with an 0-2 mark at home.

Golden State went 24-17 on the road this year, including their 2 wins in Minnesota. Steve Kerr's club had the 6th-best cover percentage on the road (58.1%) with a 25-18-2 ATS mark.

The over/under for Tuesday's game is set at 208.5 points. The OVER is 26-17 in T-Wolves home games, the 4th-highest cover percentage (60.5) in the NBA. However, the UNDER is 23-22 in Warriors' road contests.

Is it Ant's time?

Anthony Edwards averaged 26.8 points, 8.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists in Minnesota's 4-1 series thrashing of the Lakers. Ahead of last season, Edwards said, "I want to play the Warriors in the playoffs. I want to get to the Warriors, wherever they’re at."

The Timberwolves superstar guard now has his shot at Curry after already eliminating Kevin Durant, Nikola Jokić, LeBron James and Luka Dončić from the playoffs in the past year.

Curry's last shot at a title?

Stephen Curry averaged 24.5 points and 6 assists in a 4-3 series victory over Houston, averaging 4.4 threes per game on 39.7% shooting. This is only the second time Golden State advanced to the Western Conference semifinals since winning the championship in 2022.

At age 37, this could be Curry's last chance at a fifth NBA title thanks to the arrival of Jimmy Butler, who averaged 18.3 points, 6.0 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 1.3 steals against the Rockets.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors NBA Picks

The Timberwolves will enjoy a huge size advantage over Golden State while Curry, Butler and Draymond Green provide the Warriors with a big edge in experience and veteran savvy.

We'll take the underdog Warriors to cover (+7) and win Game 1 outright (+235) with the UNDER (208.5).

Golden State Warriors To win vs Timberwolves
BetOnline
+235

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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