The biggest political battle right now is going on in a New York courtroom — it’s the Donald Trump indictment. Rather than just watch the drama unfold, how about profiting off the Trump hush-money “scandal”? If played right, it could be an easy payout as we’ll explain in this article.
Latest News On Trump Indictment
Surely, if you’re reading this, you’ve at least heard the news that Trump was indicted. However, the details of why and what’s at stake might be murky to you. We’ll offer our free betting advice shortly, but let’s quickly summarize what’s happened since April.
Out of all the investigations Trump has ever had — from his taxes to Russia collusion to overturning the election — a perceived smaller issue is what finally did him in. The allegations center around Trump falsifying business records. The records deal with “hush money” payment made to porn star Stormy Daniels about a prior relationship the two had.
This happened in the heat of the 2016 election, which he ultimately won over Hilary Clinton. His harshest critics — of which they are many — say hiding that payment potentially influenced the 2016 outcome. This led to the 34-count felony indictment in his former home state of New York.
Trump has already appeared in a Manhattan courtroom in early April to plead not guilty. It comes at a time that Trump is campaigning for the 2024 election. He’s the favorite to win the GOP nominee across the top-used betting sites for politics. Still, in a general election with more even-keeled voters, this case — and what ultimately happens — could affect Trump in a big way. With that said, let’s get into our predictions.
Best Bets On Trump Indictment
There’s a handful of Trump indictment bets. Admittedly, most of them lack betting value. Still, we’ve done our best to hone in on a few worthy bets taking — plus the strategy for doing so. Here are our three most worthy bets:
Trump To Take A Plea Deal
With an indictment, the threat of jail is ever present if convicted. And a jail sentence could throttle Trump’s chances at retaking the White House. Naturally, there’s a bet on whether Trump avoids this threat and agrees to a plea deal. But as you can see, the odds strongly favor no plea deal:
| Outcome |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | +300 | +300 | +300 |
| No | -500 | -500 | -500 |
An attorney for Donald Trump has already said there is "zero" chance he takes a plea bargain, and we have to believe it. We mean, it might be political suicide. A major part of Trump’s appeal is his non-conformist ways that go against “the establishment.” If that’s your brand, as it is for Trump, you HAVE to stand your ground here — no ifs or buts about it. We’re taking the No on this line cause it should honestly be longer.
If Found Guilty, How Long Jail Sentence Bet
Alright, this is one of the few Trump indictment bets that has actual betting value. Oddsmakers have set the over/under on jail sentence to 2.5 years. Here are the betting options both ways:
| Outcome | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Years In Prison | -135 | -135 | -135 |
| Under 2.5 Years In Prison | -105 | -105 | -105 |
Honestly, 2.5 is a small number compared to the possible 136 years he’s facing. That’s right, if convicted on all 34 counts, that 100-plus-year number is what Trump is facing.
Still, there’s no way Trump sniffs that much jail time. As a first-time offender, we think even 2.5 years is too much. We could see a few months in prison, but that’s it. Therefore, take the under here.
Will Trump Serve Jail Time Before 2026?
Here’s another simple bet with two options — yes or no on Trump serving jail time before 2026. The betting options are as follows:
| Outcome | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | +625 | +625 | +625 |
| No | -2500 | -2500 | -2500 |
One thing we have to mention is Trump is going to drag out this court case with motion after motion. Most pundits don’t expect any resolution until 2024 — possibly during the heart of election season (which Trump probably thinks works to his favor).
And even then, we can’t imagine Trump ever serving jail time. The optics of doing that to a U.S. President is bad for the whole country. Therefore, we’re going to bet no on this one.
If we were you, would strongly consider throwing these three bets into a parlay. That will be the best way to turn a profit given how lopsided the lines are.
How To Bet On American Politics?
These days, US-based politics incites fandom just as hard, if not harder, than sports do. That’s why sportsbooks have responded by adding American politics to their betting menus. Other country's politics have followed too so now any major election is bet-able at top bookies, like the ones featured below. These sites score high in our newest sportsbook reviews, like the BetOnline sportsbook Review, particularly for deep gambling menus that stretch into the political arena.
Beyond Trump, there are all types of political bets on the table right now. Of course, the bulk of them revolves around the 2024 presidential election. But there are also special bets on Hunter Biden’s own court case and Senate races at the state level. To see everything available, hit one of the bookmakers listed below.
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