2024 NL MVP Picks: Acuna tops the odds board, eyes MVP repeat

Tony Reyes
By , Updated on: Mar 21, 2024 08:00 PM
2024 NL MVP Picks: Acuna tops the odds board, eyes MVP repeat

Ronald Acuña Jr. in the National League and Shohei Ohtani in the American League secured their MVP titles unanimously in 2023, creating a landmark moment in baseball history.

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The MLB off-season was filled with significant movements among elite players, adding further excitement to the betting landscape.

Ohtani, coming off his AL MVP win, made a notable move to the Los Angeles Dodgers, while Juan Soto, a perennial NL MVP contender, joined the New York Yankees in a headline-grabbing trade.

The dynamic movements of key players have added an extra layer of intrigue and unpredictability to the 2024 NL MVP race.

With the MLB Odds providing insights into potential front-runners and dark horses, the anticipation for this contest is at an all-time high.

Join us as we delve into the NL MVP odds, assess the top contenders, and predict who might win this closely watched battle.

2024 National League MVP Odds

Mookie Betts+500+650+600
Shohei Ohtani+500+650+700
Ronald Acuna Jr.+550+500+500
Bryce Harper+800+1000+1100
Fernando Tatis Jr.+900+1000+850
Freddie Freeman+1400+1500+800
Matt Olson+1400+1400+1200
Corbin Carroll+1600+1800+1500
Austin Riley+1600+2500+2200
Trea Turner+2800+2000+2200
Pete Alonso+2800+2800+2500

Ronald Acuna Jr.

The NL MVP race has seen a fascinating shift with Ohtani's move to the Dodgers, creating a team with three MVP-caliber players.

However, reigning MVP Ronald Acuña Jr. remains a top contender after his exceptional 40-70 season, a historic achievement in MLB.

Acuña took full advantage of recent MLB changes to base sizes and pickoff rules, resulting in a remarkable 73 stolen bases last season, a career-high.

Following a slight power dip in 2022 following ACL surgery, he bounced back impressively, achieving career highs in exit velocities.

This resurgence led to 41 home runs despite having his lowest launch angle in his career.

Despite a minor knee injury concern in the preseason, Acuña's stellar 2023 performance with a .337 average, 41 homers, 106 RBIs, and a 1.012 OPS puts him in a strong position for back-to-back MVP titles. However, his injury and current odds at +500 adds a level of uncertainty for bettors.

It's been some time since Miguel Cabrera's consecutive MVP wins in 2012-2013, but Acuña's potential for another exceptional season positions him as a captivating candidate for a repeat.

Despite formidable competition and Ohtani's impressive debut in the NL, Acuña's projected statistics indicate he could surpass his past accomplishments, possibly earning another MVP title and solidifying his place in baseball history with another remarkable season.

The recent MLB updates regarding his offseason injury are encouraging. Acuña managed around 20 at-bats towards the end of spring training, indicating positive progress and a promising start to the season.

Ronald Acuna Jr. To win NL MVP

Shohei Ohtani

No full-time designated hitter has ever captured an MVP Award in baseball history. Notable contenders who came close include Paul Molitor in 1993, Frank Thomas in 2000, and David Ortiz in 2005.

However, Shohei Ohtani stands as a unique talent who could rewrite this narrative.

If he secures the MVP title, Ohtani would join the elite company of Frank Robinson as the only players to claim this prestigious award in both the National and American Leagues (Robinson achieved this feat in 1961 and 1966).

Last September's revelation that Ohtani would undergo right elbow surgery, sidelining his pitching for the 2024 season, initially cast a shadow over his MVP prospects.

However, this setback carries a silver lining.

With Ohtani now solely focusing on his hitting prowess, unencumbered by the demands of being a two-way player, there's palpable excitement surrounding his offensive capabilities.

This narrowed focus on batting alone could lead to unparalleled results, potentially surpassing the remarkable statistics he amassed in his previous MVP-winning seasons.

A recent gambling-related scandal has emerged this week, possibly causing a dip in Ohtani's MLB betting odds.

This could present an opportunity for those seeking better value than his current odds of +650.

Shohei Ohtani To win NL MVP

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Corbin Carroll

After an impressive debut in 2022, Carroll continued to meet high expectations in 2023.

Despite already hitting 25 home runs and stealing 54 bases, the 23-year-old's potential for further growth is undeniable. His exceptional skills across multiple aspects of the game suggest room for development.

Notably, history has shown that transitioning from Rookie of the Year to MVP is achievable, as seen with players like Kris Bryant (2016), Dustin Pedroia (2008), and Ryan Howard (2006) in recent decades.

In 2024, if Carroll takes his game to new heights and helps lead the Diamondbacks into playoff contention again, he could secure both prestigious awards in consecutive seasons.

His consistent improvement and impact on the team's success may pave the way for significant accolades in his career progression.

Corbin Carroll To win NL MVP

Mookie Betts

Looking at the broader picture, Betts had an impressive season, evident from his statistics. His exceptional Wins Against Replacement (WAR) number of 8.4 speaks volumes about his impact on the field.

However, Betts' season was marked by inconsistency, which could make him a risky MVP choice for bettors.

For example, he started last April with a .235 batting average, which he gradually improved to .277 by July.

From August 11-31, he was on fire, recording at least two hits in 14 of 19 games and batting .521 with seven home runs. This stretch made him a favorite among MVP voters.

But in September, his performance took a downturn as he only batted .241 for the remainder of the season and hit just one home run in 25 games.

In the playoffs, he struggled further, going 0-for-11.

Mookie Betts To win NL MVP

Bryce Harper

Bryce Harper's potential in the NL MVP race might be underestimated due to injuries that hampered him in the last two seasons.

As the 2021 NL MVP, Harper has proven his ability to carry the Philadelphia Phillies.

Despite being limited to 126 games in 2023, Harper still posted impressive numbers with a .293/.401/.499 slash line, 21 home runs, and 72 RBIs.

His OPS+ of 146 was not far from Acuna's 168, especially considering Harper's slow start due to offseason surgery.

While Harper's health remains a concern, being the clear top player on his team could give him a better shot at the MVP award compared to the trio of Dodgers players ahead of him in the odds.

Bryce Harper To win NL MVP

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Meet the author

Tony Reyes

With years of experience as both a fan and analyst, Tony brings an expert voice to picks and predictions. His love of sports betting comes through in coverage that informs and entertains in equal measure. When not watching the games or covering them, you can find Tony s...

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