- When: Thursday, May 9 at 1:10 PM ET
- Who: Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds
- Starting Pitchers: Slade Cecconi and Hunter Greene
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Cincinnati Reds are set to clash in the final game of their three-game series.
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It's time to delve into our MLB breakdown with a prediction and pick for this game.
Game Preview
Hunter Greene has been living up to expectations for the Cincinnati Reds since his rookie days.
| Moneyline |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | +114 | +110 | +105 |
| Cincinnati Reds | -124 | -120 | -120 |
He's been effectively minimizing hard hits while striking out several batters.
Although his ground-ball rate and walk rate aren't exceptional, his fastball prowess has been the key to his success.
On Thursday, Greene will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks, with Slade Cecconi taking the mound for Arizona.
While Cecconi may not have entered the league with the same hype as Greene, he's shown proficiency in limiting walks and avoiding hard contact.
Considering both teams' struggles against right-handed pitchers and in relief pitching, siding with the superior starter in Greene appears to be the logical choice. However, a closer examination is warranted.
Going Greene.
The @Reds will turn to Hunter Greene for the series finale with the Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday before heading out on a three-city, 10-game West Coast trip. pic.twitter.com/eTKipThwrh
— Bally Sports Cincinnati (@BallySportsCIN) May 9, 2024
Despite his 4.94 ERA, Cecconi has been performing better than his numbers suggest, but key injuries hamper the Diamondbacks' lineup.
Although Arizona's relief pitching has been slightly better, Cecconi's potential early exit from the game could negate any advantage.
On the other hand, Greene boasts impressive stats, including a 3.12 ERA and exceptional fastball performance.
Despite some concerns about his walk rate, he's likely to stifle the struggling Diamondbacks lineup.
While the Reds haven't been dominant against right-handed pitching, their top batters can capitalize on Cecconi's vulnerabilities.
Moreover, Greene's ability to pitch deep into games alleviates pressure on the bullpen, giving the Reds an edge.
In conclusion, with Greene on the mound and considering both teams' current form, backing the Reds at home seems like a wise choice.
Greene's consistent performance deserves more recognition, making the Reds a favorable pick at -120 odds at BetUS.
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Total Runs
In the series' first game, the Diamondbacks emerged victorious with a solid performance, led by Corbin Carroll's impressive offensive display.
| Total Runs | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9 Runs | -115 | -115 | -115 |
| Under 9 Runs | -105 | -105 | -105 |
However, the Reds will look to bounce back in this crucial game.
Secured the series win.
Going for the sweep bright and early tomorrow! pic.twitter.com/64ns9iOxjg
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) May 9, 2024
The Diamondbacks have shown strength in their batting lineup, ranking fifth in the majors in runs scored, with Christian Walker and Ketel Marte leading the charge.
Meanwhile, the Reds have struggled to find consistency in their offense, especially in recent games, with Spencer Steer being one of the few bright spots.
However, their pitching, particularly with Hunter Greene on the mound, has been solid, providing hope for a competitive matchup.
Considering the recent struggles of both teams' offenses and the strength of their pitching, the under appears to be the most favorable play for this game.
I would bet Under 9 Runs in this one as both teams have struggled with offense lately.
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