Knicks to knock off Pacers on the road in Game 4 on Tuesday

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: May 27, 2025 12:00 AM
Pacers vs knicks picks
  • What: NBA Picks
  • Who: New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers
  • When: Tuesday, May 27, 8:00 p.m..

Looking dead and buried in the Eastern Conference Finals, New York staged a 20-point comeback to defeat the Pacers 106-100 on Sunday night. Karl-Anthony Towns played the hero in Game 3, scoring 20 of his 24 points in the fourth quarter.

The Knicks became the only team in NBA history to stage three 20-point comebacks in one postseason. Can they keep the magic going in Game 4? Let's look at the latest betting lines. Odds are subject to change.

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
New York Knicks+2.5 (-110)+120Ov 221.5 (-110)
Indiana Pacers-2.5 (-110)-140Un 221.5 (-110)

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Pacers vs Knicks Betting Trends

Indiana is a 2.5-point favorite at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where they are 4-2 in the postseason. Rick Carlisle's club is 20-24-3 against the spread at home in the regular season and playoffs combined, and 15-18-2 as the home favorite.

New York is 6-1 on the road this postseason following Sunday's victory. Tom Thibodeau's club has a 25-23 ATS record away from home in 2024-25, including a 10-9 mark as home dogs.

The road team has won all three games in the Eastern Conference Finals.

The over/under for Friday's game is set at 221.5 points. That total was blown out of the water in Game 1 when the two clubs combined for 273 points and narrowly exceeded in Game 2 (223). But Game 3 produced only 206 total points. The UNDER is 24-20-3 in Indiana home dates, and the OVER is 25-23 in Knicks road contests.

Bodega KAT comes through in the clutch

With his teammate Jalen Brunson in foul trouble and on the bench, Karl-Anthony Towns saved the Knicks season. Bodega KAT registered 24 points and 15 rebounds in the 106-100 win. Towns scored 20 points and grabbed 8 rebounds in the fourth quarter alone, willing his team to a 20-point comeback victory.

Tom Thibodeau finally utilized his bench in Game 3, going nine deep with Delon Wright, Landry Shamet and Mitchell Robinson all playing prominent roles.

After averaging nearly 39 minutes through his first 14 postseason contests, Brunson barely broke 30 on Sunday night. He should be fresh for Game 4.

Pacers fall apart

Tyrese Haliburton scored a team-high 20 points and six assists in Sunday's loss. The Pacers were held to a playoff-low 100 points, missing 20 of their 25 3-point attempts. Indiana is 10-0 in the postseason when they hit the 114-point mark. But that could prove difficult against a Knicks team coming off their best defensive effort of the series.

Rick Carlisle's club responded to a Game 3 home loss to the Cavaliers with a resounding 20-point blowout victory in Game 4. However, they could be missing Game 1 hero Aaron Nesmith, who suffered an ankle injury on Sunday.

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Game 4 Picks

A historical rivalry like Pacers-Knicks demands a long series with tons of twists and turns. With Jalen Brunson ready and rested after a light lift in Game 3, we like Captain Clutch to help New York pull even in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Take the Knicks to cover (+2.5) and win (+120) on the road in Game 4 with the UNDER (221.5).

New York Knicks To win vs Pacers
BetOnline
+120

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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