Underdog Pacers to push Thunder to the limit in 2025 NBA Finals

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Jun 3, 2025 12:00 AM
Thunder vs Pacers Picks
  • What: NBA Finals Picks
  • Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers
  • When: Game 1, Thursday, June 5, 8:30 p.m..

The Thunder and Pacers will face off in a small-market NBA Finals that will produce a 1st-time NBA Champion. After heating up at the midway point of the season, Indiana cruised through the Eastern Conference with series victories over Milwaukee, Cleveland and New York. However, they'll be in tough against an Oklahoma City squad that dispatched the Grizzlies, Nuggets and Timberwolves in the playoffs.

What team will win the Larry O'Brien Trophy? Before Game 1 tips off on Thursday, let's look at the latest series prices and props. Odds are subject to change.

NBA Finals SeriesBovadaBetOnlineMyBookie
Indiana Pacers+460+460+460
Oklahoma City Thunder-675-675-675
Pacers 4-0+5500+5500+5500
Pacers 4-1+3500+3500+3500
Pacers 4-2+1100+1100+1100
Pacers 4-3+1200+1200+1200
Thunder 4-0+300+300+300
Thunder 4-1+210+210+210
Thunder 4-2+410+410+410
Thunder 4-3+475+475+475

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Thunder vs Pacers NBA Finals Series Prices

Oklahoma City is a heavy -675 favorite to win the 2025 NBA Finals. Mark Daigneault's club will enjoy home-court advantage after finishing the regular season with a league-best 68-14 record. The Thunder are 8-1 at Paycom Center this postseason, and are 9-point home favorites over the Pacers in Game 1 on Thursday.

Indiana is a heavy +460 underdog to capture the franchise's first NBA championship. Rick Carlisle's club is a remarkable 6-2 on the road in the playoffs. Before losing Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals in New York, Indiana had won six straight contests away from home. This includes winning all three road games against the No. 1 seeded Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18).

SGA vs Haliburton

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was recently named league MVP and Western Conference finals MVP after averaging 31 points, 8 assists, 5 rebounds and 1.8 steals versus Minnesota. The Pacers will attempt to slow him down with Aaron Nesmith. However, he averaged four fouls per game this postseason and could quickly find himself in foul trouble.

Tyrese Haliburton dominated Game 4 against the Knicks with 32 points, 15 assists, 12 rebounds, four steals and zero turnovers. But the 25-year-old guard will have his work cut out for him against a Thunder squad that led the NBA in defensive efficiency in both the regular season and playoffs.

2025 NBA Finals Series Props

If you like OKC to capture its first title, you'll find better value betting on series props. Thunder to win the series 4-1 (+210) is the chalk pick followed by 4-0 (+300), 4-2 (+410) and 4-3 (+475).

Indiana is almost 5-to-1 (+460) to pull off an NBA Finals upset. A Pacers sweep is +5500, and a 4-1 series victory is +3500, while Pacers 4-2 (+1100) and Pacers 4-3 (+1200) seem like the more realistic options.

OKC Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Series Picks

Every NBA expert is predicting Oklahoma City to cruise to their first championship. But the Pacers deserve their due after eliminating the Eastern Conference-leading Cavaliers in just 5 games.

Bullish on Indiana, we'll hedge our bets, taking the Pacers to hoist the title (+475) and Thunder to win in 7 (+475), banking on a long series between the NBA's two best teams.

Indiana Pacers to win NBA Finals
BetOnline
+475

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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