Thunder to strike down Pacers in tight Game 3 NBA Finals victory

What: NBA Picks
Who: Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers
When: Wednesday, June 11, 8:30 p.m.

Indiana will host its first NBA Finals game in 25 years on Wednesday night with the series tied at one game a piece. After Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacers stole Game 1 at the buzzer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points to lead his Thunder to a runaway 123-107 victory on Sunday.

Which team will bring their best in Game 3? Let's look at the latest betting lines. Odds are subject to change.

	Spread	Money Line	Total Points
Oklahoma City Thunder	-5.5 (-105)	-210	Ov 228.5 (-105)
Indiana Pacers	+5.5 (-115)	+175	Un 228.5 (-115)

Boost Your NBA Picks

Before getting your wagers down on the NBA Playoffs, don't forget to check out these resources for betting on the NBA Finals online to ensure you are getting the best bets available. You can also use sportsbooks reviews 2025 to find a betting site to service your needs in NBA betting picks. And if you're new to the world of online sports betting, don't fret about being in over your head. There are plenty of how-to tips that you can peruse in our handy sports betting guide.

Pacers vs Thunder Betting Trends

Indiana is a 5.5-point home underdog at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where they are 6-2 in the postseason. The Pacers are 22-24-3 against the spread on their home court in the regular season and playoffs combined. That includes a 5-6-1 ATS mark as home dogs.

A huge favorite entering the NBA Finals, Oklahoma City has now won 81 of 100 games this season. The Thunder are 4-3 on the road this postseason. As away favorites, they are 23-19-2 ATS in the regular season and playoffs combined.

The over/under for Wednesday's game is set at 228.5 points. Game 1 went under that total (221 combined points) while Game 2 went well over (230 points). The OVER is 26-23 in Indiana home games, and 24-22-1 in Thunder road contests.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander now has 9 straight home games with 30+ PTS this postseason.

That’s the longest streak in a single playoff run in NBA history. pic.twitter.com/w2ZGLN10gQ

— Real Sports (@realapp_) June 9, 2025

SGA is unstoppable

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registered 34 points, eight assists, five rebounds and four steals in OKC's 123-107 win over Indiana on Sunday night. The Canadian point guard's 72 points in Games 1 and 2 combined is the most anyone has scored in their first two NBA Finals games.

Looking to lead the Thunder to the franchise's first championship, the 2024-25 NBA MVP has now scored at least 30 points in 13 of 18 playoff games, including 30+ in nine of his past 10 contests.

Can Pacers hit their 3's?

Indiana drained 18 three-pointers in Game 1's 111-110 victory to rally back from 15 points down in the fourth quarter. But after shooting 47% (18 for 39) from deep in the series opener, Rick Carlisle's club only converted 14 of 40 threes (35%) in Game 2's 123-107 defeat.

With OKC's swarming defense making it near-impossible to get into the paint, the Pacers must shoot better from the outside in Game 3. They'll also need to limit their turnovers after being forced into 19 in Game 1 and another 15 in Game 2.

“Damn, my phone is stupid right now. I guess people actually watch the Finals, huh?”

— Tyrese Haliburton. 🤣

(h/t @ohnohedidnt24)

pic.twitter.com/sgmFm8BelL

— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral) June 8, 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 3 Picks

Looking at recent trends, Oklahoma City lost Game 3 on the road to both Denver and Minnesota, while Indiana dropped Game 3 at home against both the Cavaliers and Knicks.

While we like the Pacers to cover (+5.5) at home, we think OKC (-210) will prevail in a tight game with the OVER 228.5.

Indiana Pacers To cover vs Thunder