Alabama to outlast Oklahoma in College Football Playoff rematch

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Dec 10, 2025 12:00 AM
Oklahoma vs Alabama Picks
  • What: #9 Alabama Crimson Tide at #8 Oklahoma Sooners
  • Where: Memorial Stadium in Norman, OK
  • When: Friday, December 19th at 8pm EST

Alabama made the College Football Playoff despite a 28-7 shellacking at the hands of Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. The No. 9 Crimson Tide will travel to Norman for a rematch with the No. 8 Sooners, who upset them 23–21 in Tuscaloosa back in November.

Let's look at the latest betting lines for Oklahoma vs Alabama with the winner set to advance to face undefeated No. 1 Indiana. Odds are subject to change.

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Alabama +1.0 (-110)-110Ov 40.5 (-110)
Oklahoma -1.0 (-110)-110Un 40.5 (-110)

Boost Your College Football Picks

Before getting your wagers down on Oklahoma vs Alabama, check out these resources for betting on NCAAF college football online to ensure you are getting the best bets available. You can also use sportsbooks reviews 2025 to find a betting site for your college football betting picks. And if you're new to the world of online sports betting, don't fret about being in over your head. There are plenty of how-to tips in our handy sports betting guide.

Sooners vs Crimson Tide

Oklahoma is a slight 1-point favorite on Friday night. The Sooners upset the Crimson Tide 23-21 in Tuscaloosa in November, ending Alabama's 17-game home winning streak. Brent Venables' club turned three turnovers into 17 points, including an 87-yard interception return for a touchdown.

However, OU generated only 212 yards of offense  - its fewest since 2022. That likely explains why the OVER/UNDER is set at 40.5 points for Friday's rematch.

Quarterback battle

Ty Simpson passed for 3,268 yards with 26 touchdowns and five interceptions for Alabama this season. The junior quarterback struggled in a 28-7 loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, completing 19 of 39 passes for 212 yards, a TD and an INT. Simpson performed better in the 23-21 defeat to the Sooners, throwing for more than 300 yards with a score and a pick.

John Mateer put together pedestrian statistics in 2025, passing for 2,578 yards, 12 TDs and 10 INTs. The Sooners' junior QB only passed for 138 yards the last time these two clubs met.  In his last game versus LSU, he passed for more than 300 yards for only the second time all season but he was also intercepted three times in the 17-13 victory.

Keys to victory

Oklahoma is top 10 nationally in points per game (13.9), yards per game (273.6) and run defense (81.4). Exactly what you would expect from a Brent Venables' coached team. However, there is some question if star defensive lineman R Mason Thomas will be healthy for this one after missing the Sooners' final three games.

Most pundits don't believe Alabama belongs in the tournament. But the Crimson Tide has shown they can beat anyone on a given day with quality wins over Georgia,  Vanderbilt, Missouri, Tennessee and LSU.

Oklahoma vs Alabama Picks

Although Oklahoma has defeated Alabama in back-to-back years, it is troubling that they were out-gained 406 to 212 yards in their last victory in Tuscaloosa. Unless the Sooners' opportunistic defense creates another three turnovers, we like the Crimson Tide to make everyone eat their words about their playoff worthiness.

Take Alabama to win (-110) with the OVER 40.5.

Alabama to win vs Oklahoma
Bodog
-110

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

Online Sports Betting may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Rest assured, we avoid biases and provide honest opinions on sportsbooks. Read our affiliate disclosure here.