Aaron Rodgers and Steelers to cover spread against Packers on Sunday night

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Oct 22, 2025 12:00 AM
Steelers vs Packers Picks
  • What: Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Where: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA
  • When: Sunday, October 26th, 2025

Aaron Rodgers will play his first game against his former team when the NFC North leading Packers come to Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football. The 41-year-old Hall of Famer forced his way out of Green Bay two years ago before suffering through a miserable stint with the New York Jets.

Now 4-2 and atop the AFC North, Rodgers is coming off a four-touchdown performance in a loss to the Bengals last Thursday. Can he keep up his spectacular play in prime time? Let's look at the Week 8 betting lines for Steelers vs Packers. Odds are subject to change.

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Green Bay Packers-3.0 (-120)-175Un 44.5 (-110)
Pittsburgh Steelers+3.0 (+100)+150Ov 44.5 (-110)

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Micah Parsons arrives

Green Bay is a 3-point home favorite on Sunday Night Football with an OVER/UNDER of 44.5 points. The Packers narrowly escaped Arizona with a 27-23 victory on Sunday. Jordan Love led a game-tying TD drive before Josh Jacobs punched in the go-ahead score late.

Matt LaFleur's club hasn't looked dominant over the past month, losing to the Browns and tying the Cowboys before squeaking out wins over the Bengals and Cardinals. However, Micah Parsons is coming off his best game of the season, registering three sacks on Sunday.

Aaron Rodgers returns

Aaron Rodgers threw for 249 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in Thursday's 33-31 loss to Cincinnati. He also passed Ben Roethlisberger for the fifth-most career passing yards in NFL history.

On Sunday, the man who spent his first 18 seasons in Green Bay will have the chance to become just the fifth quarterback in NFL history to defeat all 32 teams. Rodgers would join Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning and his Packers predecessor Brett Favre.

Pittsburgh's putrid defense

Pittsburgh allowed a season-high 470 total yards and 33 points to Cincinnati last Thursday in what defensive tackle Cameron Heyward called an "unacceptable" performance. T.J. Watt failed to register a QB pressure until late in the third quarter and the Steelers secondary was carved up by Ja'Marr Chase (16/161/1) and Tee Higgins (6/96/1).

Can Mike Tomlin right the ship? Jordan Love's Packers are averaging the seventh-most points per game (26.3) and might be getting receiver Christian Watson back from injury on Sunday night.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers Picks

Green Bay is one of only three teams with fewer than three losses thanks to their tie with Dallas. However, the Steelers could be a tough out at home on 10 full days of rest.

While Aaron Rodgers might not secure the victory over his former club, we like Pittsburgh to cover (+3) at home on Sunday night with the UNDER 44.5.

Pittsburgh Steelers to cover vs Packers
Bovada
+3.0

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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