The Best Brock Purdy Prop Bets for Super Bowl 58

Dan Favale
By , Updated on: Feb 8, 2024 07:00 PM
The Best Brock Purdy Prop Bets for Super Bowl 58

NFL quarterback prop betting lines are among the most popular wager types during every Super Bowl. You better believe that Super Bowl 58 is no exception. And with this in mind, we’ve decided to tackle a few Brock Purdy prop bets as the QB1 and his San Francisco 49ers get set to take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, February 11.

  • What: Super Bowl 58
  • Matchup: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
  • Date: Sunday, February 11, 2024
  • Time: 6:30 p.m. eastern standard time
  • Where: Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada
  • Point Spread: 49ers (-1.5), Chiefs (+1.5)

Of course, choosing which Brock Purdy Super Bowl 58 bets to make can be a challenge. The market for online Super Bowl 58 prop betting lines is teeming with options. To keep things simple, we’ll stick to the basics: passing yards, rushing yards and passing touchdowns. Let’s get started by looking at Super Bowl 58 alternative passing yards betting lines for Brock Purdy:

Super Bowl 58 Prop BetBovada
Brock Purdy 175+ Yards-1100
Brock Purdy 200+ Yards-440
Brock Purdy 225+ Yards-210
Brock Purdy 250+ Yards-102
Brock Purdy 275+ Yards+182
Brock Purdy 300+ Yards+320

Make sure to double-check these online Super Bowl 58 betting lines right up until you submit your wager. Our Brock Purdy prop betting odds are accurate entering Thursday, February 1. That gives the best NFL online betting sites plenty of time to make adjustments—or even entirely remove wagers from the market—prior to opening kick-off on Sunday, February 11, at 6:30 p.m. EST.

So, how many passing yards will Brock Purdy notch against a vaunted Chiefs defense? And how many touchdowns will he throw? And what do the Brock Purdy online prop betting odds look like for his rushing totals? Find out below!

Why Your Brock Purdy Prop Bets Need to Include His Passing Yards Total

The Brock Purdy prop betting lines get truly interesting when looking at his passing yards. He is considered more likely to throw for 175-plus passing yards than Patrick Mahomes (-700). However, where Mahomes’ market tops out at 325-plus passing yards (+390), Purdy prop bets stop at 300-plus passing yards. Here is the full breakdown of betting lines for Brock Purdy’s Super Bowl 58 passing yards:

  • 175+ passing yards (-1100)
  • 200+ passing yards (-440)
  • 225+ passing yards (-210)
  • 250+ passing yards (-102)
  • 275+ passing yards (+182)
  • 300+ passing yards (+320)

Through 16 regular season appearances, Brock Purdy averaged 267.5 passing yards per game. That number has largely held up in two playoff games. Purdy has totaled 519 passing yards in two postseason contests. That’s an average of roughly 260 yards per contest.

This essentially means that 250-plus passing yards should be our baseline. At the same time, the Chiefs defense is geared toward gumming up aerial attacks. Kansas City is third in net yards allowed per passing attempt. What’s more, defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo usually has them eschew interception opportunities in favor of limiting bigg-yardage gains.

We also need to factor in how rickety the Niners offense has looked at times over their past two games. Purdy is completing just over 60 percent of his passes, compared to 69.4 percent during the regular season. And this initial drop-off has occurred without facing a defense as the one getting rolled out by Kansas City.

To top it all off, this is Purdy’s first Super Bowl appearance. Mahomes went kaboom in his inaugural championship round. But experience matters in these scenarios. We find ourselves inclined to play it safer with this wave of Brock Purdy prop bets. He has finished with under 225 passing yards just once since November 23, so we’ll take that statistical block and move on.

OSB Prediction: Brock Purdy throws for 225-plus passing yards in Super Bowl 58 (-210)

Brock Purdy To throw for 225+ passing yards in Super bowl 58

How Many Passing Touchdowns will Purdy Have Against the Chiefs Defense?

Much like the Patrick Mahomes prop bets market for passing touchdowns, Brock Purdy’s line in this category is on the more conservative end:

  • Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-110)
  • Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-110)

Give it up for the Chiefs defense here. They’re the reason why these Brock Purdy Super Bowl 58 betting odds are so modest.

Granted, this 1.5-touchdown benchmark isn’t that off San Francisco QB1’s normal. Purdy has finished with fewer than two touchdown passes in nine of his 18 total appearances this year. That makes this Brock Purdy prop bet a virtual coin toss—in theory.

Covering the “over” here won’t be easy. The Chiefs are fourth in passing touchdowns allowed. Kansas City also ranks inside the top 10 of defense on third down, fourth down and in the red zone. A handful of Purdy’s one- and zero-touchdown performances have come against elite defenses, as well. Though we expect this game to be a little higher scoring than consensus, we also think that the Chiefs defense will keep Purdy’s touchdown total in check, and that the Niners will often find themselves relying on Christian McCaffrey when they’re in the red zone.

OSB Prediction: Brock Purdy will have under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-110)

Brock Purdy To have under 1.5 passing TDs in Super bowl 58

Rushing Totals Offer an Intriguing Option on Brock Purdy Prop Bets Market

Brace yourself for the toughest of the Brock Purdy prop bets in Super Bowl 58. Here are the latest odds on Purdy’s Super Bowl 58 rushing yards:

  • Over 11.5 rushing yards (-110)
  • Under 11.5 rushing yards (-110)

Purdy has cleared 12 or more rushing yards on six occasions this year. Two of those instances have come over the past two games.

That’s not enough for us to get behind the “over” here. The Chiefs defense ranks second in sacks per game and does a great job overall at containing quarterbacks in the pocket. Even if Purdy winds up running for 12-plus yards on one play, Kansas City’s defense will more likely than not offset the difference with sacks and hits for a loss.

OSB Prediction: Brock Purdy will have under 11.5 rushing yards (-110)

Brock Purdy To have under 11.5 rushing yards in Super bowl 58

Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can find one that works for all of your 2024 NFL betting:

Meet the author

Dan Favale

Dan Favale leverages over 12 years of sports journalism expertise in his role as New York staff writer. He provides in-depth analysis across the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, tennis, NASCAR, college basketball, and sports betting. Dan co-hosts the popular Hardwood Knocks NBA podc...

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