Patriots to stun Seahawks in Super Bowl 60 upset

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Jan 30, 2026 12:00 AM
seahawks vs patriots picks
  • What: Super Bowl 60: Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots
  • Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
  • When: 6:30 PM EST, Sunday, February 8, 2026

Seattle and New England will clash in Super Bowl 60 in one of the most unlikely title games in NFL history. The Seahawks had 60-to-1 odds to win the championship and the Patriots were as high as 100-to-1 at some books.

Who's the favorite to win the Lombardi Trophy? Let's look at the latest Super Bowl 60 betting lines. Odds are subject to change.

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Seattle Seahawks-4.5 (-115)-235Ov 45.5 (-110)
New England Patriots+4.5 (-105)+195Un 45.5 (-110)

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Seahawks open as favorites

Seattle is a 4.5-point favorite at Levi's Stadium on Super Bowl Sunday. The Seahawks survived a 31-27 shootout over the Rams in the NFC Championship Game while New England knocked off the Broncos 10-7 in a snow storm. Mike Macdonald's club has won nine straight games, and 13 of 14, while the Patriots have been victorious in 16 of their last 17.

The over/under for Super Bowl 60 sits at a lowly 45.5 points. Seattle had the NFL’s best scoring defense this season, and Mike Vrabel's squad allowed the fourth-fewest points in the league.

Super 60 betting stats

Seattle is 16-3 straight up this season and 14-5 against the spread. New England is 17-3 SU and a similarly impressive 14-6 ATS.

The last time New England was a Super Bowl underdog was in Tom Brady's first full season in 2022 (20-17 win over the Rams), breaking a streak of eight consecutive Super Bowls where the Patriots were the betting favorite.

Underdogs have covered in five straight Super Bowls and are 4-1 outright, winning the last three. And teams that won the Lombardi Trophy are 50-7-2 ATS. There's only been one instance in the past 15 years when the winning club didn't cover the spread.

Key matchups

Seattle is the sixth-best team ever charted by DVOA and the highest-ranked squad since New England went 16-0 18 years ago. Meanwhile, the Patriots have been widely derided for facing the NFL's easiest regular season schedule (a .391 combined opponent win percentage).

Does that mean Mike Vrabel's club has no chance? That likely depends on the two quarterbacks, Sam Darnold and Drake Maye. The former led the NFL with 20 turnovers in the regular season while the latter fumbled six times in the Patriots' first two playoff games.

Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl 60 Picks

While the Patriots' defense has faced questionable competition this postseason in the Chargers, Texans and Broncos, they are allowing just 5.2 yards per attempt and a 59.0 passer rating. Meanwhile, Sam Darnold had plenty of time to throw the ball versus the 49ers and Rams.

With big defensive tackles Christian Barmore and Milton Williams disrupting the pocket, we expect Super Bowl 60 to be close if Drake Maye can make plays with his legs against a Seahawks D that ranks 14th against QB scrambles.

We'll take New England to cover (+4.5) and win straight up (+195) with the UNDER 45.5 in a Super Bowl 60 upset.

New England to win Super Bowl 60
Bovada
+195

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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