Which NFL teams have the longest odds to win the Super Bowl?

As the season nears its midpoint, seven teams are all but out of the Super Bowl picture. The Philadelphia Eagles, Miami Dolphins, Arizona Cardinals, New York Jets, Indianapolis Colts, Tennessee Titans, and Los Angeles Chargers are all at +100000. Those are the longest odds to win the Super Bowl.

Which NFL teams are the co-favorites to win the Super Bowl?

Both the Buffalo Bills and the San Francisco 49ers share the shortest current odds to win the Super Bowl at a betting line of +550. The Bills have never won the Super Bowl, losing in each of their four appearances in the big game. Although San Francisco has won five Super Bowl titles, the 49ers have lost their past three appearances in the NFL title game.

How are the past two Super Bowl winners faring this season?

If the NFL playoffs were to begin today, the past two winners of the Super Bowl wouldn’t be part of the playoff picture. The reigning champion Seattle Seahawks (5-4) are the No. 8 seed in the NFC. That would leave Seattle out of postseason play. The previous Super Bowl champions, the Philadelphia Eagles, are done like dinner. At 2-7, they are the No. 16 seed in the NFC, dead last in the conference.

Which NFL Division Features Four Teams Without Winning Records?

The NFC South was expected to be the NFL’s most dismal division, and it’s living down to that billing. The Carolina Panthers lead the group at 3-5. Next, also at 3-5, are the New Orleans Saints. Both the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3-6. The Panthers (1-3), Buccaneers (1-4), Falcons (1-4), and Saints (1-4) all have one home victory this season. In total, all four teams in the division are a combined 4-15 straight-up at home.

Which NFL division has four teams situated in the playoffs?

If the NFL playoffs began today, all four NFC North teams would be participants. The 7-2 Chicago Bears lead the division and are the No. 2 seed in the NFC. The three NFC Wild Card positions are currently occupied by the 6-2 Detroit Lions (No. 5), the 6-2 Minnesota Vikings (No. 6), and the 6-3 Green Bay Packers (No. 7). Division standings can change quickly as divisional matchups take place.

NFL Betting News This Week | NFC North a Powerhouse Division, Latest Super Bowl Line Movement & Market Watch | Mid-November 2026

By Bob Duff, Updated on: Nov 11, 2026

Table of Contents›

Biggest NFL betting storylines this month
Best NFL Over/Under Teams
Super Bowl odds movers: biggest risers, fallers and value bets
NFL previous news updates

We are nearly midway through the NFL regular season. Some teams have cleared that hurdle, already having played nine of 17 games, while other teams are only eight games deep into the season. There are no more unbeaten teams, and there are two teams sitting beside each other atop the odds as the Super Bowl co-favorites.

The Buffalo Bills (AFC) and San Francisco 49ers (NFC) are both 7-1 and sitting as the top seeds in their respective conferences. The Bills and Niners are also the +550 co-betting favorites in the latest Super Bowl future book.

Next up are the NFC North-leading Chicago Bears (+750), followed by the Jacksonville Jaguars (+850), leaders in the AFC South. They are the only other teams with a Super Bowl betting line shorter than +1000.

The preseason Super Bowl chalk, the Los Angeles Rams, have won three games in a row, playing themselves back into contention at +1200. Also at +1200 are the Kansas City Chiefs, with the Seattle Seahawks and Cincinnati Bengals both at +1500. The Detroit Lions and Denver Broncos are both showing Super Bowl betting lines of +1600.

No other team is showing a betting line shorter than +2000.

Futures markets are now reacting to roster moves, quarterback health, slow starts, and Week 9 outcomes. For all your news, views, and analysis, check out NFL betting.

Biggest NFL betting storylines this month

Rams Bouncing Back?

NFC North is even better

What to make of the Steelers?

Raiders giving up points in bunches

Can the Bills finally get it done?

Improving to 5-4 with three successive victories, the Los Angeles Rams still aren't in the NFL playoff picture, but at least things are looking up for the preseason Super Bowl favorites. Defensive lineman Myles Garrett, the club's big offseason addition, is coming back from injury. However, top WR Puka Nacua is heading to IR, so things are not entirely rosy. And then there's LA's 2-3 home record to talk about.

Two seasons ago, the NFC North was the best division in NFL history, posting a combined record of 45-23 (.662). Two teams won at least 14 games, and three got to 11 wins. This season, though, has the potential to be even better. The four teams are a combined 25-9 (.735). If the NFL playoffs started today, the Chicago Bears (7-2) would be division winners, while the Detroit Lions (6-2), Minnesota Vikings (6-2), and Green Bay Packers (6-3) would occupy the three NFC Wild Card positions.

They sit atop the AFC North, but should you believe in the Pittsburgh Steelers? The combination of head coach Mike McCarthy and QB Aaron Rodgers won a Super Bowl together in Green Bay - oddly enough, beating the Steelers in the big game. Pittsburgh's Super Bowl odds have shortened from +7000 to +4000 over the past two weeks. The Steelers are 4-0 at home and have won four in a row overall. They face another showdown for divisional supremacy on Sunday against the 6-2 Cincinnati Bengals.

When the Las Vegas Raiders broke from the gate 3-0, there was talk that the Silver and Black were back. Then they lost to the Chiefs, and now the Raiders are 4-5. Las Vegas has given up 30 points or more in six consecutive games. The Raiders are just the sixth NFL team to do that in a single season.

Buffalo has never won a Super Bowl. The Bills are 0-4 in the big game and, in fact, have lost all four in a row. But everything is again pointing to this being their year. QB Josh Allen became the fifth QB in NFL history with 5,000 career rushing yards. The one worry? Of all the QBs on this list - Lamar Jackson, Michael Vick, Cam Newton, Allen, and Russell Wilson - only Wilson has a Super Bowl ring.

Best NFL Over/Under Teams

If you're looking to bet on a big score, then the Las Vegas Raiders are the NFL team you should be betting. The Raiders are a league-best 7-2 on the over this season. Right behind them are the Dallas Cowboys and New England Patriots, both 6-3 on the over.

At 5-3 are a bunch of teams. They include the Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Detroit Lions, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, and Houston Texans.

At the other end of the scale, points are hard to come by in games involving the Minnesota Vikings. They may be 6-2 straight up, but the Vikings have seen seven of eight games go under.

Six of eight games played by the Los Angeles Chargers have hit on the under. The under is 6-3 when the Green Bay Packers are playing and 3-5 in games played by the Kansas City Chiefs.

Super Bowl odds movers: biggest risers, fallers and value bets

Biggest risers

Detroit Lions (+1600)

The Lions under coach Dan Campbell regressed last season, missing the playoffs. It can be argued that their 6-2 record is partially the product of getting a last-place schedule. However, that doesn't take into account that the Lions have signature divisional wins over the Minnesota Vikings (6-2) and Green Bay Packers (6-3).

Lions QB Jared Goff is quietly effective week after week and seldom gets his team beat. Jahmyr Gibbs is arguably the most elusive running back in the NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+850)

The Super Bowl futures market on the Jaguars shortened from +1250 to +850. Going back to the start of last season, Jacksonville is 11-3 in the past 14 home games.

The Jaguars have won their past two games by a combined score of 75-17. Four of their six victories this season have been earned by margins of 23+ points.

Cincinnati Bengals (+1500)

Joe Burrow and Cincinnati are traditionally slow starters. Now, though, they've won four in a row. What makes the Bengals even more dangerous is that they've only played three of nine games at home.

Shortening in Super Bowl betting lines from +1750, Cincinnati is 4-1 SU on the road.

Biggest fallers

Kansas City Chiefs (+1200)

Not so long ago, the Chiefs were 5-0, and everyone was talking about Kansas City and the Super Bowl again like it was a franchise birthright. Then successive losses to the Broncos and Texans brought thudding reality. Sure, KC won last week, but they beat the Jets. Everybody beats the Jets.

The Chiefs get the Falcons and Cardinals the next two weeks, hardly a test of their mettle. That's followed by a five-game gauntlet of the Bills, Rams, Bengals, Patriots, and 49ers. Following that stretch, we'll know better whether Taylor Swift's favorite NFL team is a legitimate contender.

Minnesota Vikings (+2400)

Like the Chiefs, people are beginning to question whether the Vikings are a mirage. Their 6-0 start was derailed by losses to the Lions and Ravens.

Minnesota is now third in the NFC North, and there's a quarterback controversy. It's not so much about who's better between Kyler Murray and Carson Wentz as much as it is about who's worse. The offense appeared to click more consistently when Wentz replaced the injured Murray earlier in the season. Now there's a third QB in the mix. Former Vikings QB Kirk Cousins was acquired from the Raiders at Tuesday's NFL trade deadline.

New England Patriots (+2800)

At 5-4, the Patriots are as mediocre as their record would suggest. The reigning AFC champions show a plus-four point differential (211-207). They are 2-3 on the road.

New England's Super Bowl odds slipped from +2100 to +2800.

Best value left on the board

New York Giants (+6500)

The Giants are 5-2-1 and lead the NFC East by a game and a half. They are 3-1 at home and 2-1-1 on the road. They've won two in a row and are the No. 3 seed in the NFC.

Yet, like the late, great Rodney Dangerfield, the New York Football Giants get no respect. They aren't even the NFC East team with the best betting odds to win the Super Bowl. That would be the 4-5 Dallas Cowboys at +5500. Even the 3-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6000) and the 3-5 Houston Texans (+3800) are considered better Super Bowl bets than the Giants.

NFL previous news updates

[November 2026]: The Minnesota Vikings are the NFL's last unbeaten team, but are getting little love from Super Bowl oddsmakers.
[October 2026]: Fortifying their status as Super Bowl favorites, the Buffalo Bills downed the Los Angeles Rams in the Week 6 MNF game.
[October 2026]: A slow start to the season saw the Los Angeles Rams relinquish Super Bowl favorite odds to the Buffalo Bills.
[September 2026]: Injuries to four different starting QBs are helping to reshape the Super Bowl betting lines.
[September 2026]: Despite a devastating Week 1 loss, the Los Angeles Rams remain the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl.
[September 2026]: The Super Bowl odds on the Los Angeles Rams shorten again; Should you bet on a first-time Super Bowl winner?
[August 2026]: The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks are the only NFC teams among the top nine in Super Bowl futures markets.
[July 2026]: NFL training camps are in full swing, and the preseason games will soon be getting underway.
[June 2026]: Patrick Mahomes has signed a historic extension with the Kansas City Chiefs.
[June 2026]: The Los Angeles Rams are the early-season favourites to win Super Bowl LXI.
[May 2026]: The Atlanta Falcons have emerged as one of the league’s most talked-about teams following an aggressive offseason, and their Monday Night Football clash with the Los Angeles Rams is already generating a buzz.
[April 2026]: The NFL Draft wrapped up, and betting boards reacted quickly. Teams that added impact talent across all seven rounds saw their futures adjust, while additional free-agent moves continued to influence the market.
[March 2026]: Trade activity across the NFL began moving the odds, with several major player deals creating immediate changes in division races and Super Bowl pricing.
[March 2026]: Free agency had a major effect on futures markets, as teams that landed top quarterbacks or key defensive stars saw their odds improve sharply, in some cases moving from around +2000 to +1200.
[February 2026]: Super Bowl LX brought the market to a close, with the Seattle Seahawks beating the New England Patriots 29–13 and Kenneth Walker earning Super Bowl MVP.

NFL Betting News FAQ

If the NFL playoffs were to begin today, the past two winners of the Super Bowl wouldn’t be part of the playoff picture. The reigning champion Seattle Seahawks (5-4) are the No. 8 seed in the NFC. That would leave Seattle out of postseason play. The previous Super Bowl champions, the Philadelphia Eagles, are done like dinner. At 2-7, they are the No. 16 seed in the NFC, dead last in the conference.
The NFC South was expected to be the NFL’s most dismal division, and it’s living down to that billing. The Carolina Panthers lead the group at 3-5. Next, also at 3-5, are the New Orleans Saints. Both the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3-6. The Panthers (1-3), Buccaneers (1-4), Falcons (1-4), and Saints (1-4) all have one home victory this season. In total, all four teams in the division are a combined 4-15 straight-up at home.

Meet the author

Bob Duff

Sports betting journalist covering NFL, NBA, MLB, UFC, NHL, and major global events since 2016. Former columnist for MSNBC.com, The Windsor Star, and Postmedia. Covered the Super Bowl, World Series, Olympic Games, and FIFA World Cup. Author of 25+ books and contribut...