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NFL Betting News This Week | Bills vs Rams Showdown, Latest Super Bowl Line Movement & Market Watch | October 13, 2026

NFL Betting News This Week | Bills vs Rams Showdown, Latest Super Bowl Line Movement & Market Watch | October 13, 2026

Bob Duff
By , Updated on: Oct 13, 2026
NFL Betting News This Week | Bills vs Rams Showdown, Latest Super Bowl Line Movement & Market Watch | October 13, 2026

Week 5 of the NFL season concluded with a showdown on Monday Night Football between the two teams that opened as favorites to meet in the Super Bowl. And both the Los Angeles Rams and Buffalo Bills came into this prime-time showdown looking to rebound.

In the case of the Bills, they were coming off their first loss of the season, a 29-26 upset at the hands of the defending AFC Champion New England Patriots. For the Rams, it was a chance to put an exclamation mark behind the thought that they are still legit contenders following a stumbling 2-2 start.

The game certainly lived up to the hype, requiring overtime to determine a victor. In the end, it was the 4-1 Bills who got it done, outscoring the 2-3 Rams by a 37-34 count.


Surprisingly, though, the Rams remain the Super Bowl co-favorites. It’s two NFC West teams, the Rams and San Francisco 49ers, who are set at +700 co-betting favorites in the latest Super Bowl betting lines. San Fran beat the Rams 27-7 in a Week 1 game that was played in Australia.

The Bills sit right on their heels. Buffalo shows the lowest odds of any AFC team at +800 to win the big game.

Next at +900 are the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs. The only other NFL teams with a Super Bowl betting line shorter than +2000 are the Seattle Seahawks and Jacksonville Jaguars. Both teams are listed at +1100.

Futures markets are now reacting to roster moves, quarterback health, slow starts, and Week 5 outcomes. For all your news, views, and analysis, check out NFL betting.

Biggest NFL betting storylines this month

Can the Rams get back on track?

How about those New York football Giants?

Sloppy play hurts bettors

Drake Maye, all is forgiven

Warren commissions attention

The season-opening pick to win the Super Bowl, it's been an up-and-down start for the Los Angeles Rams. They've gone loss-win-loss-win-loss to begin the year. An injury to former NFL Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett also put a damper on the season launch. Things hold the potential to get betting in a hurry for the Rams, though. Their next five opponents are the Arizona Cardinals (twice), Las Vegas Raiders, Los Angeles Chargers, and Washington Commanders.
At 3-1-1, the New York Giants not only lead the NFC East, they are the only team in the division with a winning record. And they've accomplished this impressive start minus QB1 Jaxson Dart, who was lost for the season to injury. Journeyman veteran Jameis Winston is the one leading the team now. But is it all smoke and mirrors? The Giants are 3-0 at home this season and a winless 0-1-1 on the road.
A week of wild finishes certainly impacted betting on several Week 5 NFL games. The Rams have a potential game-winning field goal blocked in OT against the Bills. After squandering a 10-point lead, the Commanders were positioned to boot a game-winning field goal in OT, but were unable to stop the clock to get the field-goal team out for the kick. In London, the Eagles opted to kick off into the field of play after a field goal gave them the lead with eight seconds to play against Jacksonville. That decision enabled the Jaguars to gain field position to kick a game-winning field goal of their own.
New England's slow start to the season led the experts to suggest that Patriots QB Drake Maye was a one-year wonder. These days, apologies are in order. Over his past six quarters, Maye has a 71.4% completion rate, throwing for 532 yards and six touchdowns. He carved up the Raiders in a 45-17 rout on Sunday.
Hopefully, you played the over in your Jaylen Warren player props. As the Steelers whipped the Colts, Pittsburgh RB Warren rushed for 181 yards. He also caught six passes on six targets for 87 yards. Warren was the first NFL player with a 50-yard rushing TD and an 80-yard TD reception in the same game since Herschel Walker in 1986. He's the first Steelers player to ever do it.

First NFL coach fired odds

Dan Quinn's lost weekend didn't get his team a loss, but it has oddsmakers believing that he's about to lose his job. When the Washington Commanders blundered away a 14-point lead and a chance to kick the game-winning field goal in overtime during Sunday's tie with the Giants, it left many questioning whether Quinn was long for the job as Commanders head coach.

Oddsmakers are sharing that sentiment. Quinn is the +200 favorite to be the first NFL head coach fired this season in a prop play at BetOnline.


Nick Sirianni of the 2-3 Philadelphia Eagles is the +400 second betting choice, followed by Todd Bowles of the 1-4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +450.

Next is Jim Harbaugh (+600) of the 0-5 Los Angeles Chargers and then DeMeco Ryans (+700) of the 1-4 Houston Texans.

Super Bowl odds movers: biggest risers, fallers and value bets

Biggest risers

Jacksonville Jaguars (+1100)

Trevor Lawrence and company are the kings of England, winning again in London. However, the Jags are showing that they are a good bet to win just about anywhere and in any week. Jacksonville is 12-1 over the past 13 regular season games. That's the best record in the NFL over that span.

On September 8, the Jaguars were given +2933 odds of winning the Super Bowl. Today they are set at +1100.

San Francisco 49ers (+700)

Yet again, the Super Bowl futures market on the 49ers shortened. They were at +1400 to win the big game following their Week 1 dismantling of the Rams, and +1200 in Week 2. Then they lowered to +900.

They've beaten both the Rams and Seahawks, last year's NFC Championship Game opponents, while opening 5-0. WR Mike Evans is looking like the best signing of the offseason. He caught seven passes for 113 yards and a TD in Sunday's win over the Seahawks.

Biggest fallers

Cincinnati Bengals (+2800)

At 3-2, the Bengals are off to their best start to a season since 2021. That's the last time they reached the Super Bowl. However, they are 1-2 over the past three games, with a win over the winless Dolphins. Miami actually outgained Cincinnati 331-307.

Cincinnati's Super Bowl line has lengthened from +1900 to +2800.

Philadelphia Eagles (+5000)

Consecutive losses to the Bears, Rams and Jaguars scuttled Philadelphia's 2-0 start to the season. The Eagles have failed to score in the second half in two consecutive games.

In two weeks, Philly's Super Bowl odds lengthened from +1600 to +5000. At 2-3, the Eagles are showing a losing record in a season for the first time since they were 6-7 in 2021.

Houston Texans (+3000)

Last season, the Texans started 0-3 and made the playoffs. This season, they started 0-4. Only two NFL teams have ever started 0-3 and made the playoffs. Interestingly, it was the Texans in 2025 and 2018.

Houston's Super Bowl odds lengthened from +2000 to +2200 to +3000 to +3300 since the start of the season. Getting in the win column by beating the winless Titans didn't impress anyone.

Best value left on the board

Kansas City Chiefs (+900)

The Chiefs have opened a season 4-0 with Patrick Mahomes as their QB1 for the fifth time. In three of the previous four seasons when they started 4-0, Kansas City went to the Super Bowl.

The addition of RB Kenneth Walker III has given KC an elite run game for the first time in years. It's only serving to make Mahomes all the more dangerous.

Minnesota Vikings (+2000)

Another win and now the Vikings are 5-0, tied for the best record in the NFL with the 49ers. Yet they sit at +2000 to win the Super Bowl, barely ahead of the dismal 2-3 Dallas Cowboys (+2200). Minnesota is 3-0 on the road.

Vikings QB Kyler Murray had his best game of the season on Sunday. It looks as though he may finally be figuring out head coach Kevin O'Connell's offensive schemes.

NFL previous news updates

  • [October 2026]: A slow start to the season saw the Los Angeles Rams relinquish Super Bowl favorite odds to the Buffalo Bills
  • [September 2026]: Injuries to four different starting QBs are helping to reshape the Super Bowl betting lines
  • [September 2026]: Despite a devastating Week 1 loss, the Los Angeles Rams remain the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl
  • [September 2026]: The Super Bowl odds on the Los Angeles Rams shorten again; Should you bet on a first-time Super Bowl winner?
  • [August 2026]: The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks are the only NFC teams among the top nine in Super Bowl futures markets.
  • [July 2026]: NFL training camps are in full swing, and the preseason games will soon be getting underway.
  • [June 2026]: Patrick Mahomes has signed a historic extension with the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • [June 2026]: The Los Angeles Rams are the early-season favourites to win Super Bowl LXI.
  • [May 2026]: The Atlanta Falcons have emerged as one of the league’s most talked-about teams following an aggressive offseason, and their Monday Night Football clash with the Los Angeles Rams is already generating a buzz.
  • [April 2026]: The NFL Draft wrapped up, and betting boards reacted quickly. Teams that added impact talent across all seven rounds saw their futures adjust, while additional free-agent moves continued to influence the market.
  • [March 2026]: Trade activity across the NFL began moving the odds, with several major player deals creating immediate changes in division races and Super Bowl pricing.
  • [March 2026]: Free agency had a major effect on futures markets, as teams that landed top quarterbacks or key defensive stars saw their odds improve sharply, in some cases moving from around +2000 to +1200.
  • [February 2026]: Super Bowl LX brought the market to a close, with the Seattle Seahawks beating the New England Patriots 29–13 and Kenneth Walker earning Super Bowl MVP.

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Meet the author

Bob Duff

Sports betting journalist covering NFL, NBA, MLB, UFC, NHL, and major global events since 2016. Former columnist for MSNBC.com, The Windsor Star, and Postmedia. Covered the Super Bowl, World Series, Olympic Games, and FIFA World Cup. Author of 25+ books and contribut...

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