Iasmin Lucindo vs. Amanda Lemos is the headlining women’s matchup at UFC 313. And if the initial impressions from fans and analysts are any indication, we could be in for an undercard classic.
- What: UFC 313
- When: Saturday, March 8, 2025
- Start Time: 7 p.m. EST (preliminary bouts), 10 p.m. EST (main card)
- Where: Paradise, Nevada
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
- Where to Watch: ESPN+ (subscription required)
- Main Event: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Lucindo comes to UFC 313 with a lifetime record of 17-5-0 and working on a four-match winning streak. Her last loss came all the way back in August 2022, when she fell by unanimous decision to Yazmin Jauregui.
Since then, Lucindo won against Brogan Walker (April 2023), Polyvana Viana (August 2023), Karolina Kowalkiewicz (May 2024) and Marin Rodriguez (October 2024). In that most recent victory, Lucindo picked up the W on a split decision. She was almost even in striking with Rodriguez, but her ability to shine with three takedowns made all the difference.
Lemos will take an overall record of 14-4-1 to Nevada. At the moment, though, she’s slogging through a rough patch. Lemos has lost two of her past three matches, including her most recent one, in which she fell to Virna Jandiroba by second-round submission.
Before that, in February 2024, Lemos beat Mackenzie Dern by split decision, winning the striking battle 41-21. However, the preceding match saw her fall to Zhang Weili by another unanimous decision.
UFC 313 Strawweight Bout: Iasmin Lucindo vs Amanda Lemos Betting Lines
Lemos vs. Lucindos is yet another UFC 313 matchup without a super-heavy favorite. The latest online UFC betting odds give an across-the-board edge to Lucindo. But as you can see below, it isn’t a huge lead:
Do not forget to keep double-checking these UFC 313 betting odds right up until you actually submit your wager. Our UFC 313 online betting lines are accurate entering Thursday, March 6. This gives the best online UFC betting sites more than enough time to make adjustments ahead of the opening bell on March 8.
This may be among the fights you want to monitor, too. The odds for Iasmin Lucindo vs. Amanda Lemos have withstood a healthy amount of movement since the opening. Changes have so far favored Lucindo, but underdogs like Lemos can often get last-minute bumps closer to fight times.
The Case for Iasmin Lucindo to Beat Amanda Lemos
The 23-year-old UFC 313 favorite, Isamin Lucindo, is renowned for the way she seamlessly blends striking and takedowns. That meld can sometimes come at the expense of offensive accuracy, but she’s still managing to land 3.52 strikes per minute while completing 2.40 takedowns per 15 minutes.
Lucindo has often shown the canny ability to ward off powerful strikes, making her potential foil for Lemos. Opponents are landing just 34 percent of their striking attempts when facing her in the octagon.
Overall, better functional versatility and stamina coupled with superior defense is the bedrock upon which Lucindo can build her victory lap.
The Case for Amanda Lemos to Beat Iasmin Lucindo
Even though Lemos isn’t a super-underdog, she still doesn’t seem to be getting enough credit in the lead-up to UFC 313.
Sure, she could deliver better quickness on punches. But she’s also connecting on 54 percent of strikes, which is well above The Company average of around 47 percent. And while her quest for power or submissive positioning can overexpose her, the trade-off is frequently worth it. Lemos has KO’d or submitted Marina Rodriguez, Michelle Waterson-Gomez, Montserrat Conejo-Ruiz, Livinha Souza, Miranda Granger and others.
Plus, she has the capacity to ratchet up the quickness versus certain opponents. She handedly won the striking-volume battle against Dern.
Make no mistake, though, Lemos’ best path to victory is to hit Lucindo hard.
UFC 313 Picks for Lucindo vs Lemos
This is a fight in which we find ourselves gravitating toward the underdog.
Lemos is working through an iffy stretch. The age gap may also matter. She is nearly 15 years older than Lucindo, which will put her at a mobility deficit, even when she’s operating at her fastest.
Still, Lemos can really crack.
The power he generates on her strikes should not be underestimated. And the way she preserves that power while extending her reach is incredible. It absolutely matters that she toppled Marina Rodriguez by KO while it took Lucindo a split decision to emerge victorious. Lemos also owns the record for the fastest knockout in UFC women’s strawweight history.
Lucindo has the defensive chops to fend off Lemos for spells. But she handles speed and audibles better than pure power. One of Lemos’ full-bore punches—or kicks—will find the body at some point. If and when it does, Lucindo has not needed to withstand that kind of firepower.
Of course, pulling off the upset will require Lemos to wait out an opening on Lucindos’ defense. She will need to be at the top of her striking-deflection game to make that happen. Because the longer this fight lasts, the more likely Lucindo is to win it. We just don’t expect it to last all that long.
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