Undercard Bets Worth Betting On At UFC Fight Night

Eric Uribe
By , Updated on: Apr 9, 2024 08:00 PM
Undercard Bets Worth Betting On At UFC Fight Night

The upcoming UFC Fight Night is stacked with fights. While most of the betting attention is going on the main and co-main event, bettors are missing out on potentially big profits in the undercard. We’ve personally found three UFC undercard bets worth putting money on. Keep reading to get our free picks!

  • What: UFC Fight Night Austin
  • When: Saturday, December 2
  • Where: Moody Center in Austin, Texas

Clay Guida vs. Joaquim Silva Betting Pick

That is right, UFC’s most famous journeyman fighter, Guida, is in action this weekend. No surprise, the almost 42-year-old is not expected to win. However, rather than just betting the moneyline, we’ve found a good prop bet in the Guida vs. Silva showdown. It’s a prop centered on not who just wins, but how so. Here’s the list of betting options at UFC’s best betting sites:

OutcomeBetUSBovadaBetOnline
Guida by Decision+550+550+550
Guida by KO+600+600+600
Guida by Submission+1600+1600+1600
Silva by Decision+205+205+205
Silva by KO+225+225+225
Silva by Submission+275+275+275
Draw+6600+6600+6600

Guida is a legend, plain and simple. It’s not easy to stay in this sport at nearly 42 years old (his birthday is in December). His career record is 38-23, which is a hell of a lot of mileage. But despite this, Guida just keeps on going and going. He’s yet to have a fight where he’s looked completely out of his element due to age. That’s not to say he’s not declining, of course he is, but he’s surprisingly staying competitive.

However, there’s no way we can confidently pick Guida to beat Silva who is eight years younger. Silva is a good heavy-handed puncher in the lightweight division. He prefers standing up to fighting on the ground despite having a jiu-jitsu background. Ten of his 16 career fights have ended in knockout — either him delivering it (seven wins) or him taking it (three losses by KO).

We fully expect this fight to be a striking war. Guida, despite his age, has a high motor and isn’t afraid to charge ahead. That’s an admirable quality, but could get him finished by Silva, who is quite dangerous. Our prediction is Silva wins by KO and that’s what we’re banking on betting-wise.

Joaquim Silva by KO over Clay Guida
+225
BetOnline

Miesha Tate vs. Julia Avila Betting Pick

We’re looking forward to this fight. Tate is also a legend among women’s fighters, that’s why it’s interesting to see her fight in the prelims. We couldn’t skip betting on it, hence why we’re here. Here’s the current moneyline odds between Tate and Avila:

FighterBetUSBovadaBetOnline
Julia Avila-145-145-145
Miesha Tate+115+115+115

Tate is the former bantamweight champion of the world — both in UFC and Strikeforce. She’s essentially fought every major name there is to fight in this division — Rounda Rousey (twice), Liz Carmouche, Amanda Nunes, etc. Now 37 years old though, her career is winding down. She’s only 1-2 in her last fights, all of which came after a five-year layoff from fighting.

Admittedly, Tate looked awful last time out, losing a decision to Lauren Murphy last July. She won one round on one scorecard, and that’s it. Tate is either just super slow nowadays or just isn’t interested in the sport anymore cause her activity was low, really low that matchup. That fight against an older competitor in Murphy too.

Avila will be the slightly younger fighter in this one as she’s 35. She’s a very balanced fighter with a 9-2 career record. Avila loves brawling so expect her to go on the offensive against Tate. We wouldn’t be surprised if Avila gets Tate out early with a KO. This is an easy bet for us, maybe one worth putting extra money on too.

Julia Avila to beat Miesha Tate
-145
BetOnline

Punahele Soriano Vs. Dustin Stoltzfus Betting Pick

A pair of middleweights get down in this bout. As it stands, Soriano is a pretty convincing moneyline favorite at -305. We’re not in love with that line hence why we’re betting the Soriano-Stoltzfus over/under instead. Here’s how the line shakes out:

OutcomeBetUSBovadaBetOnline
Over 1.5 rounds-155-155-155
Under 1.5 rounds+125+125+125

We have a sneaking suspicion this fight ends early — and quite early at that. For one, Soriano has one-punch power. In nine career wins, seven ended in the first round. He’s also coming off the first-ever KO loss of his career so perhaps his chin is more vulnerable than ever.

Then there’s Stoltzfus, who is a pretty solid grappler. He averages more takedowns 1.76 than his opponent, who is at 0.9. Half of Stoltzfus’ 14 wins have come early, more so by submission than KO so there’s finish potential. We say Soriano wins early, but there’s a chance he gets cracked too. All this makes the under bet the better play in our book.

Under 1.5 rounds in Soriano vs. Stoltzfus fight
+125
BetOnline

How To Bet On UFC Fight Night?

Betting on UFC Fight Night this weekend can be lucrative. Beyond the undercard bets we covered, the main bouts — namely Beneil Dariush vs. Arman Tsarukyan — are goodies. If you want every type of bet (moneyline, props, over/under), then you have to visit one of the betting sites below. They got you covered with a deep betting menu and good-priced odds.

What’s more is if you leverage a promotional bonus, you could even bet on UFC for free. That’s right, there is free play available in the hundreds to thousands of dollars range. See the table for a list of our favorite promotions. Pick one to redeem and boom, free UFC betting all weekend long!

Meet the author

Eric Uribe

Eric has been passionate about sports since he was 10 years old. He brings over 10 years of sports journalism experience to his expert coverage of sports betting. Hailing from the US, Eric leverages his diverse expertise covering sports at all levels – from high schoo...

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