Timberwolves take down Thunder in Game 4 to even Western Conference Finals

What: NBA Picks
Who: Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves
When: Monday, May 26, 8:30 p.m.

Oklahoma City is favored to win Game 4 in Minnesota on Monday night despite suffering the fourth-worst loss in conference finals history on Saturday. Anthony Edwards scored a game-high 30 points in the Timberwolves 143-101 victory, cutting the Thunder's lead in the series to 2-1.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander bounce back after being held to just 14 points in Game 3? Let's look at the latest betting lines for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. Odds are subject to change.

	Spread	Money Line	Total Points
OKC Thunder	-3.5 (-110)	-150	Un 218.5 (-110)
MIN Timberwolves	+3.5 (-110)	+130	Ov 218.5 (-110)

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Timberwolves vs Thunder Betting Trends

Minnesota is a 3.5-point underdog at Target Center, where they are 5-1 this postseason. The Timberwolves are just 22-24-1 against the spread at home in the playoffs and regular season combined, but they're 4-1-1 as a home dog.

Oklahoma City is 3-3 on the road in the postseason. However, Mark Daigneault's club has a 23-18-2 ATS record as the away favorite in 2024-25.

The over/under for Monday's game is set at 218.5 points. Both Games 2 and 3 would've hit the OVER on that total with 221 and 244 points, respectively, while Game 1 would've went UNDER with 202 points.

The OVER is 29-18 in Minnesota home dates in the regular season and playoffs combined, and 29-19-1 in OKC road contests.

ANTHONY EDWARDS IS LOCKED IN. 🥶

pic.twitter.com/hApGSfIPSJ

— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral) May 25, 2025

Anthony Edwards vs SGA

Anthony Edwards registered 30 points, nine rebounds and six assists in Game 3 despite sitting out the entire fourth quarter of Minnesota's 143-101 blowout win. The 23-year-old superstar went 5-for-8 from 3-point land after shooting just 1-of-9 in Game 2.

After posting 38 points and eight assists in OKC's Game 2 win, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander struggled on Saturday. The newly-minted NBA MVP finished with just 14 points, ending his run of five consecutive 30-point playoff performances. SGA finished an ugly 4-for-13 shooting with four turnovers while going more than 13 minutes of game time between buckets.

Can OKC bounce back?

Teams with a 2-0 lead in the NBA Conference Finals are 60-6 all-time, finishing off the series 90.9% of the time. That bodes well for the Thunder, who are -1000 at some sportsbooks to advance to their first NBA Finals since 2012. Additionally, 12 of the last 18 NBA champions have suffered a 20+ point playoff defeat during their run to the title.

OKC went just 12 for 40 in the first half in Game 3. But they made exactly half of their attempts from the floor over the first two contests.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Put On A Masterclass In Being The Most Unwatchable NBA Super Star Perhaps Ever https://t.co/PiNXk2Qkso pic.twitter.com/UmkUZ6UKhY

— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) May 21, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs OKC Thunder Game 4 NBA Picks

The first three games of the Western Conference Finals have not delivered with margins of victory of 26 points, 15 points and 42 points. However, Game 4 should be the best one yet with OKC looking to rebound from a dreadful performance and Minnesota desperate to even the series before heading back on the road.

Take the Timberwolves to cover (+3.5) and win (+130) at home in Game 4 with the OVER (218.5).

Minnesota Timberwolves To cover vs Thunder