Matt Pitt | Mon 22/05/2017 - 19:08 EDT

Europa League Final Betting Predictions

Can Ajax upset Manchester United?

All odds brought to you by Bovada.

Ajax feature in a European club competition final for the first time in 21 years and while bookmakers do not fancy them to lift the Europa League trophy, Ajax’s young and vibrant squad is hopeful of winning what would be the Amsterdam club’s ninth major European title.

This match against Manchester United could be seen as a “David and Goliath” clash. Ajax’s starting 11 cost a mere €19.6 million to assemble, midfielder Hakin Ziyech costing €11 million. Compare that to Manchester United who spent a staggering €105 million on Paul Pogba alone.


Ajax finished second in the Dutch Eredivisie, one point adrift of Feyenoord. The team won 25 of its 34 games, drew six and lost only three times, scoring 79 goals and conceding a division-best 23.

In the Europa League, Ajax’s record is 8-3-3, with all three defeats coming from games on the road. The Amsterdam outfit lost 2-1 away at Copenhagen, 3-2 away to Shalke and 3-1 on the road at Lyon. Seeing how this fixture is at a neutral venue you can see why bookmakers are favoring Manchester United.

One bet to look for if you’re wanting to wager on Ajax is backing Davy Klaassen to score at anytime at +300. The 24-year-old midfielder has 21 goals this season and is going to be a key player for the Dutch team.

Manchester United finished sixth in the Premier League and have to win the Europa League final if they want to play in the UEFA Champions League next season. 

Jose Mourinho’s team has a 9-2-3 record in this season’s competition, with both defeats coming away from Old Trafford. A 1-0 loss at Feyenoord and a 2-1 defeat at Fenerbache are the only blemishes on United’s record.


United will be without top scorer Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who is denied a swansong in his native Sweden along with the suspended central defender Eric Bailly. He inexplicably got himself sent off in the Red Devils’ last European game while Chris Smalling and Marouane Fellaini are both slight injury doubts.

Marcus Rashford is likely to start up front and the youngster is the +450 favorite to open the scoring and +150 to find the back of the net before the 90 minutes are up.

I like these odds, but this game is surely set up for Paul Pogba to shine; he loves the big stage and what a way to repay the faith shown in him than by firing United into the Champions League. Back Pogba to score at anytime is +300.

Either team will be a worthy champion but I think it will be United who lift the coveted trophy and do so within regulation time. United to win inside 90 minutes is priced at -135 with Bovada pricing a United win including extra time and penalties at -225.

With both teams having solid defenses, I wouldn’t be surprised to see United win to nil at +200 or by one goal at +260. 

Pick: Manchester United to win the Europa League in regulation time at -135

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