- When: Thursday, Sept 14 at 8:05 PM ET
- Who: Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles
- Starting Pitchers: Aaron Civale and Kyle Bradish
- Where: Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
The stage is set for an explosive clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Baltimore Orioles, and if you're looking for a savvy wager, look no further. The over 8.5 runs at -110 odds are looking like a sweet spot in the betting market.
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In the upcoming MLB game featuring the Tampa Bay Rays against the Baltimore Orioles, the savvy play is to target the total runs in the matchup.
Game Preview
Before discussing the total, let's look at the moneyline odds in this matchup.
| Money Line |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | +117 | +120 | +125 |
| Orioles | -140 | -130 | -140 |
First off, let's talk about the Rays' battalion. Arozarena, the outfielder with 22 long balls this season, has recently shown signs of regaining his form after launching a stunning 448-foot home run in their last game. This substantially threatens the Rays' offensive lineup, which could boost the total runs in the game.
There's raking... and then there's RAKING@RandyArozarena to the THIRD deck pic.twitter.com/Db5na2CPqp
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) September 13, 2023
Next, we've got Diaz, who is back in the lineup despite a recent injury scare. A quick recovery from a testicular contusion speaks volumes about his grit, and we can expect him to bring his A-game to the park.
I would have to agree with the oddsmakers favoring the Orioles in this one. They are priced at -140 on the moneyline, indicating an implied probability of around 58%. If you were targeting the moneyline in this matchup, picking the Orioles to win would be your best bet.
On the Orioles' side, Civale is slated to be their starting pitcher. While he's had an impressive run since the All-Star break with a 7-3 record, his recent outing against the Mariners allowed four earned runs. This hiccup, coupled with the Rays' powerful lineup, makes the over 8.5 runs wager all the more sensible.
It's also worth noting that both teams have had their share of home run hitters, with Pinto and his four home runs this September for the Rays and Royce Lewis for the Orioles.
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Total Runs
While we are leaning toward over 8.5 runs in this game, let's take a look at the odds for the total.
| Total Runs | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 Runs | -120 | -115 | -120 |
| Under 8.5 Runs | -100 | -105 | -100 |
However, it's not just about the players. The stats are also singing the same tune. The Orioles have been involved in high-scoring games lately, while the Rays have shown their ability to post big numbers on the scoreboard.
Civale, the Rays' pitcher, has allowed 1.9 HR/9 over his last seven appearances, which could play in favor of the over 8.5 runs bet.
It's something different every night. pic.twitter.com/8pj4uSbGXO
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) September 13, 2023
Let's not ignore the fact that the Rays are dealing with some injury woes. With Siri out due to a hand fracture, the Rays are running short on center field options, which could affect their defensive game, leading to more runs conceded.
Given the players' current form, recent performances, and the unpredictable nature of baseball, betting over 8.5 runs at -120 odds is an enticing prospect.
As we all know, there's no such thing as a 'sure thing' in sports betting, but this wager offers a solid opportunity for those looking to make an informed bet.
So, grab your popcorn, sit back, and watch the runs pile up as the Rays and Orioles battle it out on the diamond. May the odds be ever in your favor!
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