- When: Tuesday, July 11 at 8:00 PM ET
- Who: National League at American League
- Starting Pitchers: Zac Gallen and Gerritt Cole
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
For sports enthusiasts and betting fans alike, the 93rd MLB All-Star Game is shaping up to be a real humdinger.
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Riding on a nine-game winning streak, the American League will be squaring off against their arch-rivals, the National League, at Seattle's T-Mobile Park this Tuesday.
And if you're looking for a hot take, buckle up because we're about to ride against the current. Let's take a look at the odds for this matchup.
Game Preview
 |  |  | |
|---|---|---|---|
| American League | -120 | -120 | -120 |
| National League | +105 | +105 | +105 |
Your average Joe might be leaning toward the American League. After all, they're the favorites with a money line of -120. But if you're here, you're not your average Joe.
You're here for sharp insights, in-depth analytics, and contrarian perspectives. And that's precisely why I'm backing the National League.
Now, I can already hear the naysayers. "But the American League has been steamrolling their competition!" Yes, but remember the old sports adage: streaks are meant to be broken. You can only ride the wave so long until you wipe out.
Best on best. Great on great. Baseball’s biggest stars take the field TONIGHT.
Don’t miss the #AllStarGame on @MLBONFOX at 8 pm ET. pic.twitter.com/KyVQxLcCMq
— MLB (@MLB) July 11, 2023
The National League, despite being the underdogs with a money line of +105, have a lot going for them. Their roster is peppered with talent, including local-boy-turned-MLB-star Corbin Carroll of the Arizona Diamondbacks, and they're hungry for a win.
Corbin Carroll is an MVP candidate and will make his All-Star Game debut in his native Seattle. Those who grew up with Carroll knew he was special a long time ago ⬇️@Jake_Mintz | @CespedesBBQ
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) July 11, 2023
Now, this isn't just a hunch. Let's dig into the stats. Since 2010, the National League has outscored the American League in four out of the thirteen matches.
Yes, the American League has been dominant recently, but the National League has shown it can hold their own.
Those picking the American League are choosing to back the more talented team. It's difficult to pick against a team that's fielding the best baseball player of all time in Shohei Ohtani.
Unfortunately, due to a blister and broken fingernail Ohtani is not going to be able to pitch in this game.
Moreover, the underdog status can be a powerful motivator. The pressure is off, and the National League can play with a certain freedom that could upset the apple cart.
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Total Runs
And speaking of upsets, let's talk runs. The Over/Under total runs line is currently set at 7. But if we look at the recent history of the All-Star Games, it leans towards a low-scoring affair.
| | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7 Runs | -120 | -120 | -120 |
| Under 7 Runs | -110 | -110 | -110 |
In the last five games, four ended with seven runs or fewer. Even with the offensive firepower on both sides, the All-Star Game often turns into a pitcher's duel, and I expect this year to be no different.
So, there you have it. I'm backing the National League to clinch a win at +105 odds, and I'm also leaning towards an Under 7 Runs play at -110 odds.
Sure, it's a contrarian perspective, but sometimes you've got to zag when everyone else is zigging.
Remember, in sports betting, there's no such thing as a 'sure thing.' This is a game of odds, probabilities, and educated guesses.
So, take this advice with a grain of salt, do your research, and always bet responsibly.
And as always, may the odds be ever in your favor.
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