Parsons and Packers to steamroll Cowboys on Sunday Night Football

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Sep 26, 2025 12:00 AM
Cowboys vs Packers Picks
  • What: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys
  • Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX
  • When: Sunday, September 28th, 2025

Micah Parsons will make his return to Dallas on Sunday Night Football. The star edge rusher said his team "s--- the bed" in a 13-10 loss to the Browns in Week 3. However, the Packers offense should bounce back against a Cowboys defense that's been torched through the air in the past two contests.

Let's look at the Week 4 betting lines for Cowboys vs Packers. Odds are subject to change.

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Green Bay Packers-7.0 (-110)-330Un 47.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys+7.0 (-110)+265Ov 47.5 (-110)

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Packers favored on the road

Green Bay is a 7-point road favorite on Sunday night. Jordan Love is coming off a horrific performance in a 13-10 defeat to Cleveland. After not throwing an interception in the first 11 quarters of the year, the 26-year-old QB tossed a game-changing pick in the fourth quarter. Josh Jacobs also saw his 11-game TD streak come to an end in the Week 3 loss, being held to 30 yards on 16 carries.

The OVER/UNDER is set at 47.5 points. While the Packers defense is allowing the fewest points per week (14.7) in the NFL through three games, the Cowboys' D has given up 30.7 PPG without Micah Parsons.

Disaster on defense

One week after being lit up by Russell Wilson for 450 yards and three scores, Dallas allowed Caleb Williams to pass for 298 yards and four TDs in a 31-14 loss on Sunday.

In the first three weeks, the Cowboys have permitted 92 points. Matt Eberflus' historically bad defense has allowed the most completions (13) and passing touchdowns (5) of 25 yards or more through three games in the past 45 years.

Meanwhile, Parsons' arrival in Green Bay has freed up edge rusher Rashan Gary, who has already racked up 4.5 sacks.

Injury concerns

CeeDee Lamb could miss the next 3-4 weeks after suffering a high ankle sprain in Sunday's loss to Chicago. That will put extra pressure on George Pickens, who has recorded 13 receptions for 166 yards and 2 TDs in his first three games with the Cowboys. Dallas' first-round rookie guard Tyler Booker is also expected to miss four to six weeks with a high ankle sprain.

Green Bay will be without two starting offensive lineman, Zach Tom and Aaron Banks, but tight end Tucker Kraft should be back at full health following last week's injury scare.

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers Picks

Jadeveon Clowney is expected to make his debut in Week 4 versus Green Bay, but his presence likely won't make a difference. Coming off a rough outing against Cleveland, we expect the Packers offense to explode on Sunday night in an easy win over the Cowboys.

Take Green Bay (-7) on the road with the OVER 47.5 points.

Green Bay Packers to cover vs Cowboys
Bovada
-7.0

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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