Things are heating up as the NFL season enters its final stretch. The playoff picture is beginnig to take shape, and the most serious Super Bowl contenders are emerging. It's a perfect time to get in on all the action. And wouldn't you know it, that's why we're here: to deliver the NFL Week 14 picks we believe are the best moneymakers.
Before we get started, though, he's a look at the latest game lines, according to Bovada:
Week 14 Favorite | Week 14 Underdog | ||
---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Rams | -260 | +215 | New England Patriots |
Green Bay Packers | -400 | +300 | Detroit Lions |
Houston Texans | -130 | +110 | Chicago Bears |
Kansas City Chiefs | -350 | +275 | Miami Dolphins |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -290 | +240 | Minnesota Vikings |
Tennessee Titans | -360 | +280 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
Indianapolis Colts | -145 | +125 | Las Vegas Raiders |
Seattle Seahawks | -800 | +500 | New York Jets |
Atlanta Falcons | -140 | +120 | Los Angeles Chargers |
New Orleans Saints | -320 | +260 | Philadelphia Eagles |
Arizona Cardinals | -115 | -105 | New York Giants |
Pittspurgh Steelers | -200 | +100 | Buffalo Bills |
Baltimore Ravens | -120 | +100 | Cleveland Browns |
Dallas Cowboys | TBD | TBD | Cincinnati Bengals |
San Francisco 49ers | TBD | TBD | Washington Football Team |
A few things to note about these lines. First: There are odds being offered on the Baltimore Ravens-Cleveland Browns matchup even though the former has yet to play its Week 13 game at this writing. Keep an eye on how Baltimore fares against the Dallas Cowboys before making a decision on that game.
On the flip side, Dallas' Week 14 date with the Cincinnati Bengals is being held off until the former wraps up its date with Baltimore. Why isn't it the same case as the Ravens? Because they're welcoming back quarterback Lamar Jackson. The Cowboys are more banged up without their own QB, Dak Prescott, and therefore more of a wild card.
Finally, oddsmakers appear to be waiting on news about the foot injury QB Alex Smith suffered during Washington's surprising win over the Pittsburgh Steelers before delivering odds on their scheduled showdown with the banged-up San Francisco 49ers. Make sure you're double-checking the unpublished lines—and even the published ones—before deciding on any bets.
But now, without further delay, let's get to our Week 14 predictions and see if we can top Week 13's 2-2 finish.
NFL Week 14 Betting Breakdown
Green Bay Packers (-400) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (+300)
Let's not mince words: Keep riding Green Bay's offense. Especially in this matchup.
Aaron Rodgers continues to pilot what remains the NFL's best offense, even if the personnel doesn't quite match up with the Packers' standing. Sure, this game against the Lions comes on the road, and Green Bay has lost two of their three games away from home. But both letdowns came against prospective playoff squads. Detroit is not that.
Indeed, with Matthew Stafford under center, the Lions are always a threat. And they're working off an impressive victory over the Chicago Bears. But, like, that was the Chicago Bears. Green Bay is a different beast altogether, and Detroit's defense has yet to show real signs of life.
OSB Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-400)
Los Angeles Rams (-260) vs. New England Patriots (+215)
The Rams hinted at more offensive upside by hanging 38 points on the Arizona Cardinals in Week 13. Color us impressed, particularly after we picked against them.
But we're not quite ready to issue an apology to quarterback Jason Goff and crew just yet. They remain fickle on the offensive end. It's hard to trust them as heavy favorites.
Meanwhile, the Patriots just took an offensive and defensive stand against the Chargers. They didn't merely score 45 points. They shut them out. That's just absurd. And it speaks to a higher ceiling for this team on both sides of the ball. We're taking the upset.
OSB Prediction: New England Patriots (+215)
Kansas City Chiefs (-350) vs. Miami Dolphins (+275)
Patrick Mahomes. Travis Kelce. Tyreek Hill. A healthier backfield. A competent defense. The list of reasons to bet on the Chiefs is miles long.
And it just got longer.
Yes, Miami is at home. And yes, they sport a top-two defense. But this is the Chiefs we're talking about. They enter most games as -450 favorites at minimum. Anytime you can get them for this price, it's a good idea to jump on it.
OSB Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs (-350)
Seattle Seahawks (-800) vs. New York Jets (+500)
Nothing in the sports world is for sure. With that said, this game feels like a lock-in favor of the Seahawks.
Don't let Seattle's Week 13 loss to the New York Giants scare you away. It wasn't quite a fluke; the Giants are getting better. But that's sort of the point. The Giants' defense has been a monster all year long. The Jets pose no such threat. They're actively tanking. They just fired their defensive coordinator for his egregious scheme on the final play of their loss to the Las Vegas Raiders for crying out loud.
Jets QB Sam Darnold did, in fact, look better during Week 13. And the Seahawks' defense is a collective sieve. But the Jets are doomed to give up a pile of points to Russell Wilson and Seattle's still high-powered offense. We recommend parlaying this game rather than betting it outright—more on this shortly—but it's a surefire winner in our book.
OSB Prediction: Seattle Seahawks (-800)
Tennessee Titans (-360) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+280)
The Titans defense continued to show leaks during their Week 13 loss to the Cleveland Browns. We're banking on them putting it together against a Jaguars squad that ranks 29th in points allowed per game.
This might be the second-safest wager on our ledger. Tennessee's offense has been absolute fire thanks to the ball skills of running back Derrick Henry, and he's about to face one of the worst defenses against the ground in the league.
Consider the possibilities.
OSB Prediction: Tennessee Titans (-360)
Parlay Bet of the Week
Last week's parlay didn't quite pan out. We stretched it a few too many moneylines. We won't do that this time around.
Try going with a straight parlay of our aforementioned picks. Your slip should be as followed:
- Green Bay Packers (-400)
- New England Patriots (+215)
- Kansas City Chiefs (-350)
- Seattle Seahawks (-800)
- Tennessee Titans (-360)
Four fairly heavy favorites and one upset is a combination we feel fairly confident in. Of course, it helps that the prospective payout is better than 7-to-1. For every $100 you wager, you stand to win a little over $727—which amounts to more than $627 in pure profit.
If you're feeling spunky, consider adding the Browns at +100 against the Ravens, who will be working off a short week. That brings your possible payout closer to 15-to-1, though we don't feel nearly as great about that six-wager combination.
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