• What: Elon Musk America Party props
  • Where: BetUS
  • Date: July 16, 2025

Should you be taking the America Party seriously? The on-again, off-again bromance between US President Donald Trump and Tesla and X owner Elon Musk appears to have permanently gone off the rails. Musk is proposing to form the so-called American Party to run as a third party in US elections.

Online betting sites certainly are serious about the chance of Musk going rogue and trying to dethrone Trump and the Republican Party. There are betting lines being offered on several prop wagers relating to the proposed America Party.

For instance, Republican Senator Thomas Massie is listed at even money to be the first to join the America Party.

First To Join America Party OddsBetUSBetOnline
Thomas MassieEven+100
Rand Paul+300+300
Lisa Murkowski+500+500
Dean Phillips+600+600
Brian Fitzpatrick+1600+1600
Cornel West+1600+1600
Marjorie Taylor Greene+2500+2500
Susan Collins+2500+2500

Fellow Republican Senators Rand Paul (+300) and Lisa Murkowski (+500) are next in this betting market. Each of these three members of the Senate has found themselves at odds with Trump over major issues in recent weeks regarding Trump's so-called Big Beautiful Bill.

Massie has already indicated he doesn't plan to run again in the next election. While speaking out against some of Trump's actions and decisions, both Murkowski and Collins always eventually come around and toe the party line.

Greene could prove to be the wild card in this prop wager. Common sense isn't her long suit. She has always sought to portray herself as a rebel. This could offer her the chance to really step into a role of leadership in American politics.

Marjorie Taylor Greene To be first to join America Party
BetUS
+2500

You can also place a straight-up yes/no play on whether any GOP Senate or House member will make the move to join Musk's proposed party. No is the -2000 chalk on this prop. Yes is at +700 in this betting market.

Before Betting On Musk America PartyProps

Politics is a volatile field, which is why the smart bettor is going to be doing their homework prior to placing any bet involving the political arena. Check out our expert political betting page to gauge the latest betting lines on anything from Musk America Party prop wagers to which country might be next to exit the EU.

You can keep up to date on the most recent US Presidential election odds, as well as on betting lines involving elections in other parts of the world. And when it comes time to place that political wager, check out our comprehensive online sportsbook reviews to determine at which site you'll be making that bet.

Best Musk America Party Props

Let's take a look at some of the other popular prop bets involving the man who runs X and his proposed political party to determine whether they are worthy of a wager.

Will Musk Officially Form His Party?

Betonline is offering a wager on whether Musk will formally register his new political party during 2025.

No is the betting favorite at -150 odds. You'll get a betting line of +110 if you go with yes on this bet.

What Will Happen In 2026?

Another prop wager is asking whether the America Party will field 25+ candidates for the House in the 2026 midterm elections.

Oddsmakers aren't sold on this outcome. If you bet no on this prop, you'll be getting the favorite's odds of -900. Go with yes as your play and the betting line is set at +500.

What Will Happen In 2028?

Supposing all this talk comes to fruition and the America Party does indeed field a candidate for the Oval Office in the 2028 US Presidential election. Can this newly formed political party also win the election and form the next government?

Well, if you think yes is the answer to that question, you're going to like the odds you'll be getting on this prop wager. That's because the America Party is given a betting line of +10000 to win the 2028 US Presidential election.

Will Elon Run For President?

Ultimately, one question must be asked when considering this proposed new political party. Who will be the fearless leader of the America Party, should it come to be? There seems to be only one logical choice, and that would be Elon Musk.

After all, it's his party. He should try if he wants to. Of course, that's assuming any of this comes to be, or ends up being nothing more than the drama of political theater. After all, the US has operated with a two-party system for centuries.

Elon Musk Prop BetsBetUS
To declare as Presidential candidate+800
To rejoin Trump Administration+800
To be deported from USA+1000

Let's suppose for a moment that Musk does run with this idea and forms the America Party. Shouldn't he also be the one running for office? Musk seems a perfect candidate to put his name alongside other outrageous Presidential candidates like Ralph Nader, Pat Paulson, and Ross Perot.

The betting line is +800 that Musk will declare himself a candidate to run for the Oval Office in 2028. He must announce his candidacy by the end of this year for the wager to cash.

Of course, there's also a prop offering odds of +1000 that Musk will be deported. And it's +800 that he patches things up with the Donald and rejoins the Trump Administration.