Navigating injuries to key players is part and parcel of the NBA regular season. But the Dallas Mavericks will be especially shorthanded when they host the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night. And with their odds to make the 2023 NBA playoffs already coming under siege, it raises the question: Is Dallas on the verge of falling outside of postseason contention?
We will address this issue while making our Warriors vs. Mavericks picks. But first, here's a look at the latest NBA online betting odds for this matchup:
| To Win |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | -120 | -125 | -125 |
| Dallas Mavericks | +100 | +110 | +115 |
Always remember to double-check these online NBA betting odds until you actually submit your wager. Our Mavericks vs. Warriors betting odds are accurate as of all games played on Tuesday, March 21. That gives linemakers plenty of time to implement adjustments prior to tip-off on Wednesday, March 22, at 7:30 p.m. EST. And in this case, you will want to brace yourself for a ton of potential changes. The Mavericks could be without both Kyrie Irving and Luka Dončić on Wednesday night. The odds for Golden State vs. Dallas will shift immediately once we learn their statuses, which remain in flux as of now.
Granted, you don't have to worry about missing any tweaks to these Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks betting odds if you link up with a top-tier sportsbook. That's why we suggest checking out our reviews of all the top online sportsbooks. The in-depth information we provide should help you find the best online NBA betting sites in 2023without breaking a sweat.
Given all we know at this second, what are the best bets for Mavericks vs. Warriors on Wednesday night? Let's find out.
Dallas Doesn't Have the Talent to Fend Off Golden State
Dončić is currently listed on the Mavericks' injury report for Wednesday with the thigh injury that has been dogging him the past couple of weeks. That will be a blow right off the bat. But Kyrie is also listed on the report. He aggravated his ankle in a Monday night loss to the Memphis Grizzlies and was seen wearing a boot afterward.
If neither star is able to suit up on Wednesday night, the Mavericks have virtually no chance of winning. Indeed, the Warriors have been tumultuous on the road this year; they just picked up their first victory away from home in more than a month with Monday's win over the Houston Rockets. As much as they have struggled, though, it's tough to envision them faltering against a Dallas squad that won't have Dončić or Irving when Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson are all slated to play.
Of course, Golden State is still missing Andrew Wiggins, who remains away from the team due to personal reasons. Gary Payton II is also on the shelf and hasn't yet debuted since they re-acquired him at the trade deadline. The Warriors' defense is feeling the effects of their absences; they rank 17th in points allowed per possession since the trade deadline, during which time they actually have the league's worst defense when playing on the road.
This would be more of an issue if Dallas had both of their stars, or even if they had one of their stars. At best, though, we anticipate them playing with a banged-up Kyrie and no Dončić. That's not enough to compete with a Warriors offense currently on fire. Golden State will win back-to-back road games for just the second time all season.
OSB Prediction: Golden State Warriors (-120)
Who Has the Point Spread Edge in Warriors vs. Mavericks?
Here are the latest NBA point spread betting odds for the Warriors vs. Mavericks matchup on Wednesday:
- Golden State Warriors, -1.5 (-110)
- Dallas Mavericks, +1.5 (-110)
Anyone investing in the Warriors might as well opt for their point spread over the moneyline. Only two of their games have been decided by fewer than two points, and none of them were victories. You might as well angle for the slightly better payout at -110 compared to their moneyline of -120.
We would, however, recommend jumping on these odds posthaste. Golden State will be favored by waaaay more than 1.5 points if it's announced that both Dončić and Kyrie won't be playing.
For any Mavericks supporters out there, you're better off just taking their moneyline rather than consigning yourself to such a small margin for error with a tiny payout. Dallas' moneyline pays out +100. Failing that, you should wait to see if the point spread moves any further. We have a hunch the Mavericks will be getting significantly more than 1.5 points from oddsmakers leading into the opening tip-off.
OSB Prediction: Golden State Warriors, -1.5 (-110)
How the Potential Absences of Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving Impact the Over/Under for the Mavs and Dubs
Below you can see the latest NBA over/under betting odds for the Mavericks vs. Warriors game:
- Over 221.5 (-110)
- Under 221.5 (-110)
The "over" has cashed in 71.4 percent of all Warriors road games this season–the highest mark in the NBA. Typically, the Mavericks have the talent to help prop up that trend. Without Dončić or Kyrie, however, we're not so sure. Golden State's road defense has been bad, but they won't struggle to defend a team whose primary ball-handler is suddenly Jaden Hardy.
To wit: The Mavericks have an offense that rates in the 24th percentile when neither Dončić nor Kyrie is on the court. Then again, their defense is also terrible during those stretches, and they're facing a Warriors squad that has cleared 115 points in five consecutive games and six times over their past seven tries.
Given how fast Golden State likes to play overall, along with their defensive struggles away from home, we're rolling with the "over" despite the potential for Dallas to come out star-less.
OSB Prediction: Over 221.5 (-110)
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