2019 Kentucky Derby: Best Betting Odds and Analysis Amid Crowded Field
Anyone who hasn’t yet placed their bets for the 2019 Kentucky Derby has come to the right place. As the 145th running of this historic horse race gets closer, the odds on the favorites and field are constantly changing. Our preview will help you navigate the minefield of information by providing:
- Kentucky Derby Post Time
- Complete Kentucky Derby Odds
- Past Kentucky Derby Results
- Analysis of Top Horses
All of our Kentucky Derby Lines come via Bovada. We strongly suggest double-checking these odds before deciding on a wager, as they can and will shift leading into the post time.
2019 Kentucky Derby Betting Breakdown
When: Saturday, May 4, 2019
Where: Churchill Downs track, Louisville, Kentucky
Post Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
Track Length: 1.25 miles
Latest 2019 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds
Here are the latest betting odds for the 2019 Kentucky Derby’s field. Horses are presented in order of decreasing lines, and their information is accurate as of Sunday, April 27:
- Game Winner, Roadster (+500)
- Omaha Beach (+550)
- Improbable (+700)
- Maximum Security (+1000)
- Tacitus (+1100)
- Vekoma (+1200)
- Code of Honor (+1400)
- By My Standards, Cutting Humor, Instagrand, Tax, Win Win Win (+2000)
- Bourbon War, War of Will (+2200)
- Anothertwistafate, Haikel, Plus Que Parfait, Spinoff (+2500)
- Bodexpress, Long Range Toddy, Country House (+3300)
- Signalman (+4000)
- Sueno (+5000)
- Master Fencer (+6600)
Best Kentucky Derby Bets
Game Winnner (+500)
Odds-on favorites always earn mention in this tier. Don’t expect Game Winner to be any exception.
Trained by the legendary Bob Baffert, who has five Kentucky Derby victories to his training resume, this three-year-old Bay Colt initially enjoyed some solo time atop the betting-line field. But then he finished second in the Santa Anita Derby, which ended up hurting his stock by a little bit.
Roadster is also trained by Baffert, who has a third horse in this race as well, the third-best favorite Improbable (+700). But it is Roadster who continues to gain the most attention, because he was the one who upset Game Winner in the Santa Anita Derby.
Though his career line isn’t all that impressive (4-3-0-1), Roadster has won both races he’s participated in this year. Also not to be slept on: He is a half-brother of Ascend, a horse known for speed who set all kinds of track records.
Omaha Beach (+550)
If you’re going to grab a flier on Omaha Beach, it’s best to do so now. Oddsmakers have been reacting to a flurry of action funneled in his direction for months.
Prior to the Arkansas Derby, his Kentucky Derby line went from a +1600 to a +1200. Then, after beating out the Baffert-trained Improbable by a decided length in that former race, Omaha Beach immediately settled in around this +550 to +650 territory.
His odds aren’t going to get any more lucrative from here. Omaha Beach has entrenched himself as one of the race’s great pace-setters out of the gate. If any of the horses near the top of the field can stave off the stretch-run pushes from racers who prefer to make their moves on the late turns, it’s this one.
This is a rare case of a quasi-favorite laying dark-horse odds. Tacitus is has built a strong reputation for his ability to win races after lagging behind for the first stretch. He has followed that pattern in each of his past two races, which has prompted a ton of bettors to hop aboard his bandwagon.
You might want to consider becoming one of those people. Tacitus is trained by Hall of Famer Bill Mott, who, despite failing to win a Kentucky Derby so far, has a knack for developing horses into consistent runners.
Some will be turned off by Mott’s poor record at Churchill Downs. But you needn’t let that deter you. This track is perfect for a horse with Tacitus’ style, and we believe it’ll show.
In fact, in some ways, it already has shown. Tacitus finished his five-furlong work in 1:00 minute flat on April 25th. And this prep came amid an unexpectedly crowded track, which should only speak to the ability of the horse and his rider, Jose Ortiz, come post time on May 4th.
Cutting Humor (+2000)
Although Cutting Humor is more of a deeper long shot, he’s a horse that should intrigue. Last month, he won the Sunland Derby, finishing the one-and-one-eigth-mile track in just under 1 minute, 47 seconds—a track record at Sunland Park.
Cutting Humor is another horse that has gained acclaim for his ability to finish strong down the stretch. And while he is barely laying top-10 odds, bettors are starting to notice his appeal, and the sportsbooks have reacted accordingly. He opened the Kentucky Derby at +6000 and has already worked his way up to the +2000 bill.
It’s also worth mentioning that his trainer, Todd Fletcher, has won this race before. The 51-year-old nabbed first place in 2010 while mounting Super Saver. That experience at Churchill Downs figures to help a great deal.
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