The tumultuous campaign of the Red Devils continues against Luton this weekend. Erik ten Hag and Co. will make their first appearance at Kenilworth Road since a League Cup tie back in September of 2020. The Hatters hope to put a halt to Manchester United’s strong run of form as of late. Read on to access an expert Luton Town vs Man United prediction and explore stats and tips for Manchester United odds.
- Luton Town FC vs Manchester United FC, English Premier League
- February 18, 2024
- 11:30 AM EST
- Kenilworth Road, Bury Park, Luton, Bedfordshire, England
- USA Network, Fubo, Peacock
Luton Town vs Man United Betting Odds
Bookmakers are predicting a Manchester United celebration on Sunday, but without much confidence. The Red Devils are odds-on favorites at (-125) for an implied win percentage of 55.6%. A draw or a Luton home win are essentially equal in terms of probability, with BetOnline offering (+320) odds for both outcomes.
Premier League 
Luton Town +320 +306 +300 +306 +300 Man United -127 -127 -125 -127 -125 Draw +320 +308 +310 +308 +300
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Manchester United Recent Form and Team News
Manchester United injected vitality into their somewhat aimless campaign with a notable 3-2 comeback triumph against Aston Villa on Boxing Day. Under Ten Hag's management, the team has embarked on a six-game unbeaten streak in all competitions at the start of 2024. This resurgence in the new year has propelled the Red Devils to the sixth position in the Premier League table.
Against newcomers, Erik ten Hag boasts a perfect record, having won all nine of his Premier League matches against newly promoted clubs. This remarkable 100% win ratio stands as the best in Premier League history against such opponents. Only José Mourinho, who won his first 15 games against newly promoted clubs, and Roberto Mancini, with the first 12 victories, have achieved longer streaks in this regard.
The awakening of ten Hag’s attacking forces can be mainly attributed to one young Dane. Despite not finding the net in his initial 14 Premier League appearances, Manchester United's Rasmus Højlund has now scored in each of his last five matches. If he scores in the upcoming game, he would set a record as the youngest player ever to score in six consecutive matches, currently held by Joe Willock at 21 years and 272 days.
Manchester United will be without their defensive stalwart, Lisandro Martinez. Martinez is set to endure a prolonged absence due to a knee injury. In addition to Martinez, the team will miss the contributions of Mason Mount, Anthony Martial, and Tyrell Malacia, all of whom are still grappling with their individual injury concerns.
Luton Town Recent News
The hosts experienced a setback last weekend as they missed out on what they considered a golden opportunity. They suffered a significant 3-1 defeat at home against Sheffield United, which proved to be a costly setback. As a result, Luton now finds themselves deeply entrenched in a relegation battle.
Currently positioned a point above the relegation zone with a game in hand, Luton faces a crucial weekend fixture. A result could provide vital breathing space from Everton and potentially propel them up the table. Luton trails Nottingham Forest by just one point in 16th place.
However, dropping points could see Everton pushing them back into the bottom three. Despite a recent home loss to Sheffield United, Luton has encouraging form. The club secured four points against Newcastle and Brighton. This offers a realistic prospect of securing a second consecutive season in the Premier League.
Manchester United has maintained an undefeated record in their recent 12 encounters with Luton across all competitions (winning 10 and drawing 2). Their last loss at Kenilworth Road dates back to March 1987 in a 2-1 defeat.
Luton Town vs Man United Prediction and Free Betting Pick
I love betting overs in spots when a road team is a considerable favorite. I like it even better when both sides have a full week off. Traditionally, home teams facing unfavorable odds often participate in high-scoring matches, benefiting from the home advantage that usually results in increased goal-scoring. Yet, the difficulty of defending against a markedly superior opponent can also result in conceding goals.
We are witnessing a bit of a renaissance on the front line for Luton. In their most recent seven Premier League fixtures, Luton Town has seen a notable uptick in offensive performance. The Hatters are averaging 15.1 shots per game compared to the 10.3 shots per game in their initial 16 matches. Additionally, their on-target shots have significantly increased, reaching 5.9 per game in the last seven matches, a substantial rise from the 2.6 per game recorded in the first 16 games. Consequently, Luton Town is also currently on an 11-game scoring streak in Premier League matches, second only to Tottenham (36 games) among the present teams.
Unsurprisingly, I like this over a lot from a betting perspective and will make a rare recommendation to go a full unit on a total play. This match should be lined at 3.5 total goals, so an over 3 at pick’em odds is very generous. United has been a low-scoring club for most of the season, but have caught on fire lately, and I don’t think the bookmakers have rightly adjusted.
Odds are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change.
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