Netherlands vs. Argentina Betting Tips and Picks

Karl Rasmussen
By , Updated on: Dec 19, 2023 07:00 PM
Netherlands vs. Argentina Betting Tips and Picks
  • What: Netherlands vs. Argentina, 2022 FIFA World Cup - Quarterfinals
  • When: Friday, December 9, 2022, at 2:00 p.m. EST
  • Where: Lusail Iconic Stadium in Qatar
  • How to watch: Peacock (ESP), Fox Sports (EN), Telemundo

Only eight teams remain in the FIFA 2022 World Cup. We've arrived at the quarterfinals in Qatar, where the Netherlands will take on Argentina in one of the most intriguing matchups of the current stage of the tournament. The Netherlands picked up a 3-1 win over the USA in the knockout stages, while Argentina advanced via a 2-1 victory over Australia. Ahead of Friday's matchup, we're going to make some Netherlands vs. Argentina World Cup picks.

Before we take dive into some Netherlands vs. Argentina World Cup picks for the quarterfinal round, make sure to take a look at our soccer betting guide in order to get all the tips and tricks you need. Additionally, take a look at our useful World Cup betting guide which has plenty of information.

Netherlands vs. Argentina Odds

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal
Netherlands+0.5 (-150)+245O 2.0 (-128)
Argentina-0.5 (+125)+125U 2.0 (+108)

The Netherlands enter Friday's matchup as slight underdogs vs. Argentina. Heading into the clash at Lusail Iconic Stadium, Argentina (+125) is the favorite to defeat the Netherlands (+245) during the first 90 minutes of regulation. A draw comes in at  (+220) odds for the first 90 minutes. The spread is set at Argentina -0.5 (+125) indicating the books are expecting a close battle between the two teams. The goal total is low, set for 2.0 total goals (-128).

Netherlands Best Bets

The Netherlands is bouncing back in a big way after missing out on the 2018 World Cup. With just two goals conceded in four games, the Dutch look like a formidable force once again and will look to carry on their strong form into the matchup against Argentina. The Netherlands is coming off its strongest offensive performance of the tournament, during which the team scored three goals against the USA. In total, the Netherlands has scored eight goals in Qatar while conceding two.

Argentina's offense will present a vastly more formidable challenge than any team the Netherlands has faced during the 2022 FIFA World Cup. Virgil Van Dijk and Co. will have their hands full with Lionel Messi as he looks to guide Argentina to a deep run in the tournament during what may be his final World Cup stint.

The books are envisioning a low-scoring game between two of the better defensive teams in the tournament. The Netherlands has conceded two goals in Qatar while Argentina has surrendered three. Despite that, I'm not expecting the defense to dictate this game quite so heavily. Both teams have been sharp in the attacking third and have plenty of talent up top. Cody Gakpo has been one of the tournament's breakout stars, while Messi has been his usual dominant self.

I think this game will be close, as the books predict, but I believe both teams are going to be able to get a goal past their opponent. While solid defensively, neither side is impenetrable, and both have capable finishers on the attack. Because of that, the first pick for this game is Both Teams To Score (+102). 

Netherlands vs. Argentina Both teams to score

Argentina Best Bets

This could very well be Lionel Messi's last chance to achieve World Cup glory with Argentina, and the squad looks determined to do just that. The shocking defeat to Saudi Arabia feels a distant memory at this point, and Argentina has rebounded with three straight victories, during which they've conceded just one goal. In that three-game span, Argentina has outscored its opposition (Mexico, Poland, and Australia) by a margin of six goals to one. 

A matchup between these two teams is rare. In fact, Argentina and the Netherlands have only faced off twice since 2006, both coming at different World Cups. They met in the group stages back in 2006 and again at the semifinals in 2014. Their first match was a goalless draw, while Argentina won 4-2 in their more-recent meeting. Lionel Messi scored a goal in that game, and already has three goals under his belt in Qatar.

While the Netherlands has been impressive thus far, I think this is where their World Cup run ends. Messi and Argentina are simply too formidable a foe and have been in excellent form since their loss vs. Saudi Arabia. With a spot in the semifinals hanging in the balance, I'm expecting Lionel Messi to deliver a world-class performance and lift Argentina into the semis.

There are two picks I'm targeting for this game. The first pick is Argentina Money Line (+125). I expect Argentina to not only win this game, but to get the job done within the first 90 minutes. They are the better team from top to bottom and shouldn't have too much trouble breaking down the Netherlands' defense.

Argentina To beat the Netherlands

In addition to the Argentina win, I think Lionel Messi will get back on the scoresheet with his fourth goal of the tournament. He's been excellent at the World Cup thus far, a trend I anticipate will continue even against the tough Dutch defense. Messi to score a goal at (+155) is the second pick here. 

Netherlands vs. Argentina Lionel Messi anytime goalscorer

Before diving into the World Cup betting action, make sure to check out our top sportsbook reviews in order to find the best site that matches all of your betting needs.

Meet the author

Karl Rasmussen

Karl Rasmussen leverages his journalism degree and passion for sports in his expert coverage of Major League Soccer (MLS) and fantasy leagues. Hailing from Denmark but a longtime resident of the Pacific Northwest, Karl brings an international perspective to his analysis...

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