Novak Djokovic the only pick to win 2023 Wimbledon Championship

Dean Etheridge
By , Updated on: Dec 19, 2023 07:00 PM
Novak Djokovic the only pick to win 2023 Wimbledon Championship

Novak Djokovic starts Wimbledon 2023 as the odds-on favorite, and with no Roger Federer anymore, Novak is now the undisputed king of grass. Carlos Alcaraz is his closest rival in the betting, and in our latest tennis betting picks, we’re going to tell you if Alcaraz can prevent the Serbian from creating history and winning yet another Grand Slam event.

  • What; The Championships Wimbledon 2023 Men’s Singles
  • When; July 3rd-16th, 2023
  • Where; All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London, England
  • Surface; Grass

Who is the betting favorite to win the men’s singles at Wimbledon 2023

Let’s get straight into the betting, and the best online tennis betting sites make Novak Djokovic the favorite at -160. The Serbian's nearest - and only - betting rival is Carlos Alcaraz who is +375.

Behind the two favorites is Jannik Sinner at +2000. That is some gap in the odds between the leading two players and the guy who is third in the betting.

After Sinner is Daniil Medvedev at +2500, with Alexander Zverev, Sebastian Korda, and Nick Kyrgios, all on +4000.

Wimbledon 2023; Men's Singles Winner BettingBovadaBetOnlineMyBookie
Novak Djokovic-160-160-160
Carlos Alcaraz+375+375+375
Jannik Sinner+2000+2000+2000
Daniil Medvedev+2500+2500+2500
Alexander Zverev+4000+4000+4000
Sebastian Korda+4000+4000+4000
Nick Kyrgios+4000+4000+4000
Holger Rune+4500+4500+4500
Taylor Fritz+6000+6000+6000
Frances Tiafoe+6600+6600+6600
Andy Murray+6600+6600+6600
Stefanos Tsitsipas+8000+8000+8000
Alex De Minaur+8000+8000+8000
Alexander Bublik+8000+8000+8000
Andrey Rublev+9000+9000+9000
Cameron Norrie+10000+10000+10000
Casper Ruud+12500+12500+12500

Djokovic vs Alcaraz

Just when Novak Djokovic has seen off the threat of Federer, Nadal, and Murray, along comes the challenge of Carlos Alcaraz to prevent the Serbian from having a free run at all the Grand Slams.

Okay, so the 23-time Grand Slam winner put the young upstart in his place in Paris. But to all tennis observers, it’s only a matter of time before Alcaraz gets Novak’s number, and when he does, Novak's race is run.

We’re not quite at that stage yet though, and Wimbledon is one tournament that Djokovic excels at. He has won the championship on seven occasions. That puts him one behind Federer on eight and level with Pete Sampras.

Of his 23 Grand Slam wins, seven have been at Wimbledon, 10 at the Australian Open, three at the French Open, and three at the US Open. Along with the Australian Open, Wimbledon is one of Djokovic’s favorite tournaments.

Alcaraz Wins Queen’s

But what of Carlos Alcaraz? The 20-year-old is the World Number 1 and is also seeded 1 at Wimbledon. He hasn’t got the best track record at this competition, although he has only played here on two occasions. Last year he got to the 4th Round, and in 2021, he only made it as far as the 2nd Round.

The young Spaniard has just won the prestigious Queen’s Club Championship, defeating Alex de Minaur to win his first-ever grass title. The win saw Alcaraz return to the top of the world rankings and also saw his odds to win Wimbledon slightly trimmed to +375.

But as impressive as the win was, it’s still not enough to suggest he will be able to beat Djokovic on the grass just yet.

How is Nick Kyrgios progressing?

Last year’s runner-up Nick Kyrgios looks a good price on paper at +4000. But since reaching last year’s final, the Australian has had a frustrating year.

He followed up his good showing at Wimbledon by making the last eight at the US Open, where he lost a five-set thriller to Karen Khachanov. But at the start of 2023, Kygrios had to withdraw from the Australian Open due to a knee injury that required surgery.

The same injury kept him out of the recent French Open, so the Aussie enters Wimbledon short of match practice, and probably match fitness. The chances of him going five sets against a guy like Djokovic would seem very slim at this stage.

But if Kyrgios can progress through the rounds, he will gradually be building his form and fitness. But at this stage, +4000 would seem about right.

Our Picks

We’re not convinced Alcaraz can beat Djokovic on grass. And the Serb has shown over the years that he can keep his concentration in the early rounds, and avoid early exits. He’s won six of the last eight Wimbledon competitions. The last time he didn’t win here was in 2017 when he went out in the last eight, while in 2016, he lost in the 3rd Round.

Apart from those two underperforming years, Djokovic has reached the final every year since 2012, when he lost in the semi-finals. The Serb has an outstanding record at SW19, and we make him our pick to win the 2023 Wimbledon Championship.

Novak Djokovic To win Wimbledon 2023

There can only be one pick to win the competition outright, but there are some alternative best Wimbledon 2023 bets to be made. So moving onto our alternative pick, BetUS is offering a series of head-to-head matchups. One matchup we like the look of is who will go further out of American Taylor Fritz (+100) and Alexander Zverev (-140).

Neither player has ever really excelled on the grass at Wimbledon. Fritz made it to the last eight last year, which was the first time he made it to the second week in six attempts. As for Zverev, he wasn’t here last year. But the best he has managed in six visits to SW19 is two 4th Round appearances in 2017, and 2021.

We feel that odds of +100 on Fritz outperforming Zverev is a good value bet.

Taylor Fritz To go further than Alexander Zverev

Make sure you check out our top-rated sportsbooks below. These are our recommended betting partners that you can read more about on our sportsbook reviews page:

Meet the author

Dean Etheridge

Dean Etheridge brings decades of sports knowledge and betting insights to his writing. Hailing from Coventry, England, he offers an engaging British perspective on everything from soccer to cricket. Dean has established himself as a reputable voice on English Premier L...

Online Sports Betting may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Rest assured, we avoid biases and provide honest opinions on sportsbooks. Read more here.