Iga Swiatek favored for back to back wins at the 2023 French Open

Dean Etheridge
By , Updated on: Jun 9, 2023 12:00 AM
French Open Women's Finals Free Betting Picks

The 2023 Women’s French Open competition is down to its final four competitors, and with the excellent form of Iga Swiatek, it’s hard to see the Polish No.1 seed not defending her title. But shocks do happen, and we’re going to tell you if we see any coming with our latest French Open tennis picks.

  • What; 2023 French Open
  • When; May 28th-June 11th, 2023
  • Where; Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France

Women’s Winner Latest Betting

Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka, Karolina Muchova, and Beatriz Haddad Maia are all still in the competition. Aryna Sabalenka is playing Karolina Muchova in the opening semi-final. And they will be followed by Iga Swiatek against Beatriz Haddad Maia immediately afterwards.

Below is the latest betting to win the French Open on our tennis odds table. This table has taken the latest odds from the best tennis betting sites, who you can read more about on our sportsbook reviews page.

2023 Women's French Open Winner BettingBovadaBetOnlineMyBookie
Iga Swiatek-240-240-240
Aryna Sabalenka+250+250+250
Karolina Muchova+1800+1800+1800
Beatriz Haddad Maia+2500+2500+2500

Now, let’s take a more detailed look at the four remaining players in the women’s draw.

Iga Swiatek -240

Swiatek started the tournament as the -120 odds on favorite, and little has happened to say that the best tennis betting sites have got that wrong. As she was so heavily favored at the start of the competition, the defending champ's odds haven’t changed much. It’s like the bookmakers have just been waiting to see if Aryna Sabalenka could make it to the final to face the Pole.

So far, Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set. In fact, she has lost just 15 games on her run to the last four, which even included a double-bagel win over the unfortunate Wang Xinyu in the 4th Round.

Wednesday’s quarter-final against the No.6 seed Coco Gauff was by far the hardest match Swiatek has faced. The American was the beaten finalist here last year, and she made Swiatek work for her 6-4, 6-2 win on court Philippe-Chatrier.

Aryna Sabalenka +250

Aryna Sabalenka started the tournament as the second favorite, and that’s exactly the position she still holds with the best online tennis betting sites. She has seen her tournament starting odds of +450 slashed to +250. But with little to compete against in her side of the draw, that was always going to be the case.

That said, Sabalenka hasn’t had things all her own way. A comfortable 1st Round win over Marta Kostyuk was followed by a tough 2nd Round match against Iryna Shymanovich, with her compatriot pushing her close in the opening set.

Sabalenka came through that match and then had a routine 3rd Round win over Kamilla Rakhimova, before a tough 4th Round tie against American Sloane Stephens. The opening set went to a tie-break, won 7-5 by Sabalenka, with the second set also close, eventually finishing 6-4.

In her quarter-final, Sabalenka defeated Elina Svitolina 6-4, 6-4, to take her place in the semi-final.

Karolina Muchova +1800

Karolina Muchova has had to battle hard to get to this stage of the French Open.

This is the furthest she has ever gone in this competition, and after hard fought wins over the likes of Maria Sakkari (7-6, 7-5), Nadia Podoroska (6-3, 0-6, 6-3), and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (7-5, 6-2) in the quarter-finals, she will want to give it her best shot against Sabalenka on Thursday.

It’s going to be a challenge for Karolina Muchova to upset the second favorite. And as we picked Sabalenka to win the competition, we have to hope the bookmakers have called it right in pricing her up at -300 to win this semi-final match.

Beatriz Haddad Maia +2500

Beatriz Haddad Maia has been the chief beneficiary of the unfortunate withdrawal of No.4 seed Elena Rybakina.

Instead of facing Rybakina in the 4th Round, the Brazilian crossed swords with Sara Sorribes Tormo. Sorribes Tormo made life difficult for Haddad Maia, taking the match to three sets. In the end Haddad Maia came out on top by a 6-7, 6-3, 7-5 scoreline. Then in the quarter-finals, the Brazilian was again taken to three sets, this time by Ons Jabeur (3-6, 7-6, 6-1).

Haddad Maia looks big at +1600 to defeat Iga Swiatek in their semi-final. And we are with the bookmakers on this and say this is where the No.14 seed's competition ends.

Our Pick

We started the competition with Aryna Sabalenka as one of our three picks at +450, as we didn’t see much value in backing Iga Swiatek at -120. But, on the evidence witnessed since the start of the competition, the bookmakers seem to have called it right with pricing the defending champion up at such short odds.

Even so, if Aryna Sabalenka can come through her semi-final against Karolina Muchova, at least we know she will have a puncher's chance against Swiatek. Along with Elena Rybakina, Sabalenka is probably the only other with a realistic chance of defeating Swiatek on clay. And at this stage of proceedings, we can’t abandon her.

We’re sticking with our selection of Aryna Sabalenka to win the French Open. But a word of warning, it is going to be very difficult for her.

Aryna Sabalenka To win the 2023 French Open
BetOnline
+250

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Meet the author

Dean Etheridge

Dean is primarily a fan of English football who regularly attends games, and combining his hobby with his job, he is now a full-time sports betting writer.  Rather than going down the educational route into sports journalism, Dean learned his trade by writing for hi...

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