Back Daniil Medvedev to beat Jannik Sinner in China Open Final

Dean Etheridge
By , Updated on: Apr 9, 2024 08:00 PM
Back Daniil Medvedev to beat Jannik Sinner in China Open Final

Daniil Medvedev (-168) will be looking to win his sixth title of the season when he takes on Jannik Sinner (+148) in the final of the 2023 China Open on Wednesday. Medvedev is the favorite to win, and as his recent run to the final of the US Open has shown, he is in good form. Can Jannik Sinner stop him? We tell you in our latest tennis betting picks.

  • What; 2023 China Open Final
  • Who; Daniil Medvedev (2) vs. Jannik Sinner (6)
  • When; Wednesday, October 4th, 2023
  • Where; Beijing, China
  • Surface; Outdoor Hard Court

Medvedev vs. Sinner China Open Final Betting

In the latest tennis betting odds, Daniil Medvedev is the favorite to win the 2023 China Open. Medvedev is -168 with the best tennis betting sites. His Italian opponent, Jannik Sinner, is +148.

Sinner has just pulled off one of the biggest wins of his career. If not his biggest-ever win. He has just beaten world number two, Carlos Alcaraz, in their semi-final by two sets to nil. The Italian won an edgy first set on a tiebreak (7-4) and then completed the victory in style by winning the second set 6-1.

As a result, Sinner will come into the final full of confidence. But it would be dangerous to assume that just because Sinner has defeated Alcaraz, he will also beat Medvedev. Daniil Medvedev is the world number three, and only last month defeated the Spanish wunderkind 3-1 in the semi-final of the US Open.

Medvedev is a class act on the court and has turned himself into a consistent performer. He already has five wins on the ATP Tour this season, and it would be a brave punter who backs against him making it six.

Below we have more odds on the China Open final from some of the best tennis betting online sites.

2023 China Open FinalBetOnlineBovadaBetUS
Daniil Medvedev-168-166-166
Jannik Sinner+148+150+150

Solid Performer Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev (-168) has a 55-12 record on the ATP Tour this season. This includes five tournament wins.

The wins were in the ABN AMRO Open (500), the Qatar ExxonMobil Open (250), the Dubai Duty-Free Tennis Championship (500), the Miami Open (1000), and the Rome Masters (1000).

The victories in Miami and Rome were both in Masters 1000 events, and they helped Medvedev return to the top three in the world after he had dropped out of the top 10 following his early exit from the Australian Open.

The grass season doesnโ€™t suit the big-serving Russian. But since the season switched to the American hardcourts, he has found his range again. Medvedev has recently consolidated his world ranking of three with a run to the US Open final. He sits third in the rankings, well clear of Holger Rune, who is fourth. If Medvedev can beat Sinner today, he will further close the gap on Carlos Alcaraz, who is second in the rankings.

Can Sinner finally score a win against Medvedev?

Jannik Sinner +148 has won two titles in 2023 and has an overall season record of 44-13. His official ranking is seven, but after his semi-final win over Carlos Alcaraz, he will rise to a career-high ranking of four. The 7-6 (7-4) 6-1 win over the world number two also sees Sinner take a 4-3 in head-to-heads against Alcaraz.

So far this season, the Italian has won the Open Sud de France (250) in February and the National Bank Open (Canadian Open) 1000 Masters event in August. The Canadian Open win was his biggest tournament win of the season. He defeated Alex de Minaur 6-4 6-1 in the final.

But it will surely be the semi-final win over Carlos Alcaraz that gives him the most confidence. Sinner trailed by a break twice in the first set. In the third match of the first set, he had to fight off two break points to avoid going 3-0 down and two breaks behind.

To keep Alcaraz at bay in such a manner and then hammer him 6-1 in the second set is a remarkable achievement.

Our Pick to win the 2023 China Open

The bad news for Jannik Sinner is that he has a 0-6 head-to-head record against Daniil Medvedev. Furthermore, Medvedev has beaten Sinner in two finals this season already.

In Rotterdam, Medvedev beat Sinner in three sets in the final of the ABN AMRO Open. And then in the Miami Open final, Medvedev was a convincing 7-5 6-3 winner over the Italian.

The omens donโ€™t look great for Jannik Sinner. And we are thinking the same. We expect a close match. But we feel that Daniil Medvedev is playing too well at the moment and are making him our pick to win in three sets at +260.

Daniil Medvedev To beat Jannik Sinner 2-1 in China Open Final

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Meet the author

Dean Etheridge

Dean Etheridge brings decades of sports knowledge and betting insights to his writing. Hailing from Coventry, England, he offers an engaging British perspective on everything from soccer to cricket. Dean has established himself as a reputable voice on English Premier L...

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