The US Open Women’s singles title has now reached the semi-final stage. Only one of the top four seeds has made it this far, Aryna Sabalenka (+135), and she is the favorite to win her first-ever US Open, and second-ever Grand Slam when the final is decided on Saturday. In our latest tennis betting picks, we tell you if Sabalenka is worth betting on, or if home favorite Coco Gauff can land her first Grand Slam in front of her adoring home fans.
- Only four women remain. Madison Keys, Aryna Sabalenka, Coco Gauff and Karolína Muchová
- Keys takes on Sabalenka in the first semi-final, with Gauff facing Muchova in the second match
- Aryna Sabalenka is the favorite to win the final, which is at the Arthur Ashe Stadium on Saturday, September 9th
What a competition it has been so far. Already the world No.1, Iga Swiatek has gone out, losing in three sets to the 20th seed, Jelena Ostapenko at the Round of 16 stage.
Jelena Ostapenko knocks Iga Swiatek out of the #USOpen pic.twitter.com/VHjswwMIkm
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) September 4, 2023
Also exiting early was the No.3 seed, Jessica Pegula, who lost in straight sets to Madison Keys in the Round of 16. And Elena Rybakina is also gone, after losing to Sorana Cirstea in the 3rd Round.
Betting to win the Women’s US Open
Aryna Sabalenka is the highest seed (No.2) remaining in the competition and the favorite to win in the latest US Open odds. The 2023 Australian Open winner is +135 to add the US Open to her growing list of career titles.
According to the best online tennis betting sites, the biggest threat to Sabalenka is Coco Gauff at +185 to win her first-ever Grand Slam title.
Karolína Muchová (+550) and Madison Keys (+550) make up the rest of the betting odds. Full betting is below on our US Open tennis odds betting table.
| Players |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +135 | +135 | +135 |
| Coca Gauff | +185 | +185 | +185 |
| Karolina Muchova | +550 | +550 | +550 |
| Madison Keys | +550 | +550 | +550 |
Keys vs. Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Chinese 23rd seed Zheng Qinwen 6-1 6-4 to take her place in the semi-final. As well as reaching her fourth Grand Slam semi-final this year and her third successive US Open semi-final, the 25-year-old is set to take over as the new World No.1 when the rankings are updated on Monday.
Sabalenka will take on Madison Keys in their semi-final after the No.17 seed knocked out the No.9 seed, Markéta Vondroušová, in their quarter-final on Wednesday night. Keys made light work of the higher seed, seeing off Vondroušová in two sets, 6-1 6-4.
Keys goes into her semi-final clash with Sabalenka as the underdog. Sabalenka starts the match as the -270 favorite with the bookmakers. Madison Keys is +230 to pull off a shock win to reach her second-ever US Open final and possibly set up an all-American final against Coco Gauff on Saturday.
Keys does have a chance. Aryna Sabalenka has lost five of the six semi-finals she has played in. This includes her last two at the US Open. Along with Wimbledon and the French Open this year.
But we feel that Sabalenka is in a good place at the moment, and she will come through this matchup and take her place in the final.
Thursday is set!
Who's playing on Saturday? pic.twitter.com/bJvOxkvgIu
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) September 7, 2023
Gauff vs. Muchová
In the other sem-final, home favorite Coco Gauff takes on Karolína Muchová, with Gauff looking for her first-ever Grand Slam title. Gauff has been in scintillating form lately, winning 16 of her last 17 matches. In her latest win, she made light work of Jelena Ostapenko in their last-eight match, beating the Latvian 6-0 6-2 in just 68 minutes.
Attempting to stop Gauff from reaching the US Open final for the first time is Karolína Muchová. Muchová is the no.10 seed and has largely had an untroubled run to the last four, only being taken to three sets on one occasion.
The 27-year-old will have her work cut out against Gauff though. The American is now not only starting to fulfill her potential but will also have the crowd on her side, making the task for Karolína Muchová all the more difficult.
In the betting to win the match, Coco Gauff is the favorite at -190, with Karolína Muchová the outsider at +165. It will take some performance to stop Gauff, and we feel it will be beyond Muchová.
US Open Winner Pick
At the start of the competition, we suggested hedging Aryna Sabalenka at +500 and Jessica Pegula at +1000. We went with Pegula as she was a home favorite and had been in good form. Sadly for us, mainly because Pegula was the better odds, the home favorite is out of the competition.
Madison Keys after beating Jessica Pegula at US Open:
“It’s always tough playing a friend. We’ve been doing it basically our whole lives. When we’re on court it’s all business. When we’re off court, we go back to being friends.” ❤️ pic.twitter.com/BWvRq7X39N
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) September 4, 2023
But, we are still standing to profit from the women’s competition if Sabalenka wins.
There is a slight temptation to have a few dollars on Coco Gauff and hedge our bets. But we are sticking to our original pick. Aryna Sabalenka has looked like one of the strongest players in the competition, and we are remaining loyal and are happy with our betting pick.
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