- What: US Politics Props
- Where: BetUS
- Date: December 12, 2025
During his first term in office, US President Donald Trump went through 43 different cabinet secretaries. That included three Chiefs of Staff, three Attorneys General, three Secretaries of Defense, and two Secretaries of State.
Only five cabinet secretaries who started the term were still filling the same role at the end of the Trump Presidency.
By comparison, his second-term cabinet is operating like a well-oiled machine. Nearly a year into this Trump Presidency, no cabinet secretary has been replaced. But recent scandals plaguing his administration are leading to suggestions that this situation could be about to change.
Online sportsbook BetUS has put together a long list of possible departures from the Trump Administration. This list takes into account everyone, from which members of the Trump cabinet are likely to be the next to go, to what outcomes might lie ahead for other members of the President's administration, such as FBI Director Kash Patel or Press Secretary Katherine Leavitt.
Let's take a look at these betting lines.
| Trump Administration Next To Go Odds | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth | +125 | -200 | +125 |
| Kristi Noem | +250 | OFF | +250 |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | +800 | EVEN | +800 |
| Pam Bondi | +800 | EVEN | +800 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | +1800 | +200 | +1800 |
| Scott Bessent | +2500 | OFF | +2500 |
| Marco Rubio | +3300 | OFF | +3300 |
| John Ratcliffe | +3300 | OFF | +3300 |
| Linda McMahon | +5000 | OFF | +5000 |
| Lee Zeldin | +5000 | OFF | +5000 |
| Kash Patel | OFF | -150 | OFF |
| Karoline Leavitt | OFF | +150 | OFF |
| Howard Lutnick | OFF | +200 | OFF |
Remember to keep in mind that odds, much like the political landscape, are always subject to change.
Before Betting Any US Politics Props
Politics is a volatile field, which is why the smart bettor is going to be doing their homework prior to placing any bet involving the political arena. Check out our expert political odds page to gauge the latest betting lines on any US politics props, or perhaps on which country might be next to exit the EU.
You can keep up to date on the most recent US Presidential election odds, as well as on betting lines involving elections in other parts of the world. And when it comes time to place that political wager, check out our comprehensive online sportsbook reviews to determine at which site you'll be making that bet.
Best US Politics Props
Let's take a deeper dive into some of these US politics props on the Trump Administration to see which ones rate as the best bets to wager . . . or to avoid.
Pete Hegseth (+125)
Recent facts emerging that are backed by video evidence show that the boat strikes that US Secretary of War Hegseth ordered off the coast of Venezuela against supposed drug dealers involved what's known in military circles as a double tap. That means a second strike was made to eliminate any survivors.
Officially introduced H.Res.935, Articles of Impeachment against Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth pic.twitter.com/vQdmihKZKz
— Congressman Shri Thanedar (@RepShriThanedar) December 9, 2025
During wartime, this is classified as a war crime. If there's no declaration of war, then it's murder. Either way, losing his job might be the least of Hegseth's worries. Congress is expecting to launch an investigation into the allegations facing Hegseth.
Previously, Hegseth inadvertently leaked details of a pending military strike to the media.
Kristi Noem (+250)
The Trump Administration is denying speculation that Homeland Security head Noem might be on the chopping block. The growing unpopularity of her organization's ICE raids around the country isn't helping her case.
There's apparently concern over the role her right-hand man Corey Lewandowski is playing in Homeland Security operations. Noem and Border czar Tom Homan are also reportedly butting heads.
It could be that Noem will take the graceful way out and leave of her own accord.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (+800)
Whether it's ending vaccine mandates or spouting debunked conspiracy theories, Health Secretary Kennedy continues to take a wrecking ball to established medical norms.
Medical leaders around the country have been calling for Kennedy to resign for several months.
Pam Bondi (+800)
It's easy to forget that Bondi was the second choice for Attorney-General, after it was determined that Matt Gaetz was too toxic even for the Trump administration.
Bondi's future may rest on her handling of the Epstein Files. If she can't deflect public opinion that continues to believe that the administration is orchestrating some sort of Trump cover-up with the files, the clock may be ticking on Bondi's future.
Tulsi Gabbard (+1800)
Amazingly, the usually controversial Gabbard is keeping a low profile amidst all the unrest among Trump cabinet secretaries. Trump's Director of National Intelligence is a loyal soldier who is happy to do the President's bidding.
Scott Bessent (+2500)
Treasury Secretary Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have butted heads in the past. However, of late, Bessent is towing the company line when it comes to the administration's spin on why tariffs are a good thing.
Marco Rubio (+3300)
No Trump cabinet secretary is as pliable as Secretary of State Rubio.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio ordered the State Department to stop using Calibri and go back to Times New Roman, reversing a Biden administration policy intended to help employees who are visually impaired or have low-vision issues. https://t.co/qmBzrER8Wv pic.twitter.com/laK753WdzN
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) December 11, 2025
He recently ordered that the font for all official correspondence be switched back to Times New Roman from Calibri, which he described as a DEI initiative.
US Politics Props Best Bet
Some polls are suggesting that Hegseth has a 32% chance of being the first Trump cabinet secretary to lose his job. Oddsmakers at online sportsbook Betonline are setting a betting line of -180 that Hegseth won't be the Secretary of War come January 1, 2027.
It's also easy to make a case for the ouster of Noem or Bondi, depending upon how scandals surrounding them evolve. However, it's hard to look past Hegseth. He seems to be the owner of a self-destructive personality. Go with him to be the first Trump Administration member to lose his job in US politics props.
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