NFL MVP 2025 – Odds to Win MVP
The 2025/26 NFL MVP winner is a burning question in the minds of fans, players, and bettors alike. This article is for the latter crowd because we’ve put together a complete guide to NFL MVP betting. From breaking down the latest NFL MVP betting odds to showing you exactly how to bet on NFL MVP markets, we’ve got it covered. You’ll find everything you need to understand the MVP betting odds NFL sportsbooks post each week, plus tips on spotting value in the odds to win MVP as the season unfolds. Stay with us for money-making advice.
2025/26 NFL MVP Odds
First things first, what are the NFL MVP odds anyway? Look, these change every week (which we’ll explain later in this article). However, for your ultimate convenience, we want to list the NFL MVP betting odds as it is mid-season. Depending on when you read this guide, things have likely changed but here’s where we have it:
| Odds to Win the NFL MVP |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +475 | +500 | +475 |
| Josh Allen | +900 | +850 | +850 |
| C.J. Stroud | +850 | +900 | +850 |
| Joe Burrow | +900 | +900 | +900 |
| Jordan Love | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
| Jalen Hurts | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
You’ll see all the usual names in the MVP NFL race. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) will be a NFL MVP front runner for as long as he’s in his prime most likely. He’s one of the most physically gifted quarterbacks we’ve ever seen and that won’t just go away so get used to Mahomes name in the mix here.
As the 2025/26 NFL season approaches, the MVP race has familiar names at the front — with Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen leading the way. Just behind them are Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes, both perennial contenders in the MVP conversation.
Rising stars are also pushing into the spotlight. Jayden Daniels, the breakout quarterback in Washington and reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year, is now firmly in the MVP mix with odds that reflect his rapid ascent.
At the same time, the field isn’t shy to highlight exceptional non-QB talent. Running backs like Saquon Barkley are drawing attention in the MVP market — proof that truly transcendent performances can still break through the quarterback-heavy bias.
How To Understand NFL MVP Odds?
Alright, let’s talk about MVP NFL odds in general. What the heck do these numbers even mean? We understand why current NFL MVP odds could seem confusing, but they’re really not.
Let’s use the latest odds as an example. Notice how all of them have a + sign in front of the line? That means they’re technically underdog bets — which is the norm with these types of bets. With so many sports betting options to choose from for MVP, most players will be longshots to win. The exception here is late in the season when a player starts running away as MVP leaders NFL.
Let’s use Josh Allen as an example to understand how odds work. Say he’s listed at +700 to win the NFL MVP award. That means a $100 bet on Allen at those odds would pay out $700 in profit if he captures the league’s Most Valuable Player award. By this alone, you can tell that the lower the plus (+) number, the more favored a player is to win. At the moment, Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes sit near the top of the board as the NFL MVP betting favorites for 2025/26.
Now let’s hypothetically say Allen moved to -150 to win. A negative line like that, while most others remain in positive territory, would signal that he’s the new frontrunner for MVP. This shift also changes the payout. At –150, you’d need to risk $150 to profit $100 if Allen ended up securing the MVP trophy.
Why Do NFL MVP Odds Change?
As we said, NFL MVP odds are never static. During the regular season, they shift every single week based on what happens on the field. If a player has a monster game, you can bet his Vegas NFL MVP odds will tighten quickly. For example, in 2025, a breakout performance by Jayden Daniels vaulted him into the conversation almost overnight.
The opposite also applies. A poor outing with multiple interceptions, or worse, an injury, can cause a player’s MVP chances to plummet. These swings are part of what makes betting the MVP NFL race so dynamic and unpredictable.
Most sportsbooks rely on the same handful of oddsmakers who set the market. That’s why you’ll often see very little variance in MVP NFL odds across different betting sites — the source of the numbers is usually the same.
What Are NFL Futures Bets?
You might hear the MVP bet called a futures. You see, a futures bet is a category of sports bets. Other categories include point spreads, over/unders, moneylines, and parlays.
Futures differ from the other types of bets because they are concerned with future outcomes, as the name hints. Most of the other bets deal with single-game outcomes, whereas futures are seasonal results.
MVP is an extremely popular futures wager in NFL betting. However, it’s not the only one. Other ones include different year-end rewards like Rookie of the Year or Offensive Player of the Year.
NFL MVP Betting Trends
Who will be the NFL MVP in 2025/26? If history is any indication, the smart money says it’s going to be a quarterback. The award is so QB-driven that many now call it a “quarterback’s trophy” — and the stats back it up.
The last time a non-quarterback won MVP was back in 2012, when Adrian Peterson carried the Vikings on his back with a 2,000-yard rushing season. Since then? Every single MVP has been a quarterback.
This QB-dominance really took off in the mid-2000s, when passing rules were relaxed and the league shifted from run-first football to an air-heavy game. Between 2000 and 2006, three running backs claimed MVP. Since then, Peterson in 2012 has been the lone exception.
Other positions have virtually no chance of taking the award. Only three non-QB, non-RB players have ever won it: Lawrence Taylor (LB, 1986), Alan Page (DL, 1971), and Mark Moseley (K, 1982) — yes, a kicker actually won, but don’t expect that to happen again.
So when betting MVP futures, be realistic. Stars like Tyreek Hill or Justin Jefferson may be phenomenal talents, but they’re far more likely to win Offensive Player of the Year than MVP. Quarterbacks touch the ball every play, and workhorse running backs may see 350–400 touches a season, giving them the volume needed to stay in the conversation.
When weighing NFL MVP betting odds, stick to QBs and occasionally RBs. It’s tempting to chase longshot value, but history shows the best NFL MVP bets are almost always under center.
NFL MVP Betting Advice
Want to know the common denominator between most NFL MVP award winners? It’s not the one who scores the most TDs. It’s not the one who gets the most passing yards. Oftentimes, the MVP award goes to the best player on the best team. It’s really that simple.
We mean, it’s almost impossible to win MVP on a team that’s not one of the contenders for a 2026 Super Bowl title. The MVP argument falls flat on its face: how can you be the most valuable player on a team that’s hardly winning? Obviously, individual numbers contribute to MVP chances — but it’s not the number-one ingredient typically. Not as much as winning at least.
More MVP betting advice: don’t make just one futures bet. If you’re betting early enough in the season, then almost every MVP candidate will have plus-money odds. This gives you a cushion to “spread the wealth” on multiple players without completely killing all your profits. Given the unpredictability of who wins MVP, you want options instead of going “all in” on one person.
Plus, the last thing you want is your MVP bet to injure himself mid-season and get shelved. You can’t win MVP if you’re not on the field. This is football, after all, so injuries will likely spring up. In the event they do, at least you have a backup bet ready.
How To Bet On NFL MVP Odds
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