Top Golf Betting News This Month | Scheffler Controls Markets, DeChambeau's Odds Rise | June, 2026
We have arrived in June, one of the busiest months for golf betting news with two PGA TOUR signature events and a major in store. The U.S.Open is scheduled for later this month at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club on Long Island, New York. Between The Memorial Tournament and LIV Golf Andalucia, there is plenty of golf action that could impact futures odds significantly.
There is not too much line movement at the top, but a few names we highlighted last month have seen their odds change. Results from LIV Golf Korea have prompted bookmakers to reevaluate their futures odds. On the flip side, Aaron Rai and Jake Knapp’s recent absences have put a halt to their rising odds.
This article will preview the tournaments and player dynamics most impacting futures odds in golf. Explore golf stats and analysis, as well as details on the latest golf betting trends. To learn how you can take advantage of our insights and make your own picks, check out our page on online golf betting in 2026.
A return to Philly is secured.
Congratulations to Aaron Rai on his PGA Championship victory. pic.twitter.com/HRFHkBH2kd
— U.S. Open (@usopengolf) May 17, 2026
This week’s biggest PGA Championship betting storylines
One of the major golf betting storylines resonating throughout the sport is the decay of the LIV golf league. Once touted as the future of golf with billions of dollars burned on acquiring the best talent on tour, it all looks like it’s coming to and after a few short years. Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, Dustin Johnson and other top LIV names seem to be losing their edge thanks to a lack of competition in the new division. That is forcing sportsbooks to discount their odds to win majors, events where players from both the PGA and LIV are allowed to compete.
Another storyline to consider is the tendency of longshots to win in big events the past few years. Aaron Rai’s PGA Championship win was a case of a massive underdog winning the ultimate prize over superstars in the field. It wouldn’t be a shock if we saw the same in the U.S. Open. J.J. Spaun won the event last year with a final score of just 1-under. What are some other notable longshots to win majors recently? Let’s review:
Aaron Rai
J.J. Spaun
Keegan Bradley
Brian Harman
Wyndham Clark
Biggest futures, outright and major market moves this month
The latest golf betting news regards the events leading up to the U.S. Open. Many of the PGA TOUR’s top eligible players are expected at the Nicklaus-led Memorial Tournament, a Signature Event with a limited field. The event is labeled a “signature event,” meaning it has a purse of $20 million, a limited field, and more FedExCup points on the line. The RBC Canadian Open follows right behind, giving golfers an opportunity to hone their game the week before the third major of the year.
While some golfers will opt out of that tournament, most big names attend and their outings will have a massive effect on the U.S. Open odds. As we saw in the leadup to the Masters, form was a big factor in line movement. Just in the last few weeks we have seen some subtle adjustments to the U.S. Open odds board, reflecting the dynamic strengths of each golfer as we near the summer. Take a look at some of the more notable updates:
- Bryson DeChambeau has risen up the ranks after a 3rd-placed finish in Korea, pushing his odds from (+2500) to (+2000) to win at Shinnecock
- LIV compatriot Jon Rahm took a slight dip, going from 11:1 to 12:1 after finishing 16th in Busan
- Jake Knapp fell from 50:1 to 65:1 after a sudden withdrawal from The Memorial Tournament
Other golf betting trends include the LIV golf investment situation. The company is pushing to acquire new investors after the Saudi Arabian Public Investment Fund announced it would no longer support the organization at the end of 2026. That is causing a lot of headaches for the top LIV golfers, who must answer incessant questions from media about the state of the league and where they will be playing next year. Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau have been noticeably tight-lipped on the matter, preferring to focus on their sporting endeavors and leaving the business for the businessmen. But Rahm and DeChambeau’s odds are becoming impacted by the lingering uncertainty hanging over their heads.
Field, injury and withdrawal moves impacting odds
Player movement is not a big storyline like we see in other sports, but there are some dynamics affecting odds movement. Withdrawals are always a red flag as they indicate potentially troubling injuries or an off-the-course situation developing. Viktor Hovland is one of the bigger names to receive that type of attention recently after withdrawing from the Memorial. The Norwegian is now 50/1 to win at Shinnecock later this month. He is joined on the WD list by Jake Knapp, whose beautiful swing will not be on display for another week. He has not been seen in competition since April at the RBC Heritage.
Tiger Woods’ continued absence is less of a weekly betting factor, but it still matters for major-market framing. Without Woods in the 2026 majors, books lose a public-liability name who often influences attention even when he is not a realistic favorite.
On the LIV side, there are plenty of whispers of players defecting back to the PGA Tour at the end of this 2026 season. Joaquin Niemann has openly admitted he would consider a return back to the US.-based league if LIV folded. While it still appears LIV Golf is planning on continuing operations in 2027, some players could opt out once their contract is up regardless. That could include Bryson DeChambeau, but he has stated his return is dependent on if “the players want [him] back.” Jon Rahm quietly settled his lengthy dispute with the DP World Tour, now agreeing to participate in five events to complete his contract.
Futures market check
Scottie Scheffler is the leading candidate to win the U.S. Open with odds of (+400). Those odds have barely budged since opening and are a testament to the perceived strength of Scheffler despite going winless in his last 10 starts. I’d be remiss not to mention his three runners-up finishes in April, however, including the Masters.
Back-to-back Masters champion Rory McIlroy is the second-biggest favorite at odds of (+800). He also has seen little line movement this year, with only one major adjustment after his win at Augusta. Scheffler and McIlroy now combine for over 30% of the win equity.
It should be noted there are some golfers who are drifting away from the title picture. Viktor Hovland’s WD from the Memorial, together with his woeful start at the PGA Championship (a MC), has placed the sanguine star at 50/1 to win the U.S. Open. LIV players outside of Jon Rahm and DeChambeau are also far away from the shortlist of top contenders at Shinnecock. Niemann is the next most likely candidate to hoist the trophy at 45:1.
One name that could pick up momentum heading into the U.S. Open is Xander Schauffele. Schauffele finished T7 at the PGA Championship after picking up a top-10 finish at the Masters. Another strong showing at the Memorial and the American could see his 20:1 odds get a bit shorter.
Betting trends we’re watching this month
The Scheffler tax is a real thing and bettors should be aware of it. Golf betting analysis indicates Scheffler is one of the most popular picks week in and week out, inflating his odds past what he really should be worth. Backing Scheffler successfully requires some creativity and cleverness, as Scottie’s reliability makes him a strong floor guy but without a victory in his last 10, it’s hard to say his outright odds are accurately weighted.
Another trend to watch is LIV-to-major pricing. LIV players are notoriously difficult to price due to a lack of real competition in the league. Strong LIV form does not always translate perfectly and statistics like strokes gained are dependent on the league average which can be unharmonious with a mixed PGA-LIV event like the U.S. Open.
Some overreactions to Aaron Rai’s shocking PGA Championship victory could be playing a role in his odds movement. While certainly deserving of his major victory back in May, there is no real reason to believe he can replicate his success at Shinnecock. Rai is yet to compete since winning at Aronimink and any confidence gained from his signature win has not been put to the test. If he can't win at the U.S. Open, he will have another chance to win two majors this year at The Open Championship in July. To prep for that tournament, check out our page on British Open betting in 2026.
What could move odds before next month’s update
The Memorial Tournament should force some adjustments from sportsbooks depending on the outcome. A win by Scheffler or Rory will likely only affect the top of the odds board, but another surprise and things could shake up. Defending U.S. Open champion J.J. Spaun just finished 6th at the Charles Schwab Challenge after missing the cut at the PGA Championship. If he plays well at the Memorial, he could solidify his strong run of form and make a case to be moved lower than his current 60:1 price tag.
The RBC Canadian Open may create one final form signal before Shinnecock, but it remains unclear who will participate at the event. Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka and Collin Morikawa have already committed to playing at TPC Toronto, but a full list is to be determined. LIV Golf Andalucia will also play a factor in the U.S. Open odds as Rahm and DeChambeau look to cement their status as tier 1 favorites. Explore top 2026 U.S. Open betting sites to learn more.
Previous golf betting news updates
[Late March]: Cameron Young’s PLAYERS win made him a legitimate contender.
[Masters week]: McIlroy defended Augusta, but Scheffler stayed the PGA favorite.
[April 16]: Young shortened from +3000 to +2200 for the PGA Championship.
[May 2026]: DeChambeau fell from opening (+900) to (+2500) to win the U.S. Open after two bad major starts.
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