• What: Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Picks
  • When: March 5th-8th, 2026
  • Where: Bay Hill Club
  • TV: The Golf Channel; NBC, Peacock

If Scottie Scheffler is in the field for a PGA Tour event, you can also bet on him being the favorite to win, and that's again the case with this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. Scheffler is set as the +325 pick in the golf betting odds.

Beyond his status as the world's top-ranked player, there are other significant reasons for Scheffler to be the betting pick in this event. He's won two of the past four Arnold Palmer Invitational tournaments.

Before we get into the odds and predictions for this event, make sure to take a look at our top golf betting sites. And don't forget to check in regularly with the golf betting odds to ensure you're staying on top of the latest line movement for this week's PGA Tour stop. Remember, odds are always subject to change.

Arnold Palmer Invitational OddsBovadaBetOnlineBetUS
Scottie Scheffler+325+330+300
Rory McIlroy+900+1000+950
Tommy Fleetwood+1800+2000+1750
Matt Fitzpatrick+2200+2000+2400
Xander Schauffele+2200+2500+2250
Collin Morikawa+2500+2500+3100
Russell Henley+3000+3500+2900
Hideki Matsuyama+3000+3500+3000
Cameron Young+3500+3500+3200
Patrick Cantlay+3500+5000+3300
Robert MacIntyre+3500+4500+3300
Si Woo Kim+3500+3500+3200

Rory McIlroy is the +900 second choice in the golf betting lines. Tommy Fleetwood is third in this betting market at +1800. No other golfer in the field is being given opening odds shorter than +2200.

There are several ways to get a bet down on PGA Tour events like the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Among the most popular methods is via your mobile device. If you are someone who lives life on the go, check out the best mobile sports betting apps to ensure you can always make a wager whenever you desire.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Best Bets

It's a deep field, including the top 20 players in the World Golf Rankings and the top 10 players in the FedEx Cup standings.

There's a $20 million purse up for grabs, along with 700 FedEx Cup points, as the players compete on the par 72, 7,466-yard Bay Hill layout.

Let's have a look at the top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational golf picks for this year's tournament.

Scottie Scheffler (+325)

Scheffler won this tournament in 2022 and 2024. In five starts at Bay Hill, he's never wound up outside the top 25.

Scheffler's streak of top-10 PGA Tour finishes came to a halt at 18 when he was 12th at The Genesis Invitational.

Rory McIlroy (+900)

A winner here in 2018, McIlroy also finished second at Bay Hill in 2023.

He finished second earlier this year at Riviera.

Tommy Fleetwood (+1800)

The FedEx Cup winner has two top-10 finishes this year. He was fourth at Pebble Beach and seventh in The Genesis Invitational. He's shot in the 60s in seven of his eight rounds this season.

Xander Schauffele (+2200)

Schauffele is coming off his best finish of the season. He was tied for seventh at the Genesis Invitational.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200)

Si Woo Kim is the only player to gain more strokes ballstriking this season than Fitzpatrick. The reigning US Open champion prefers putting on fast Bermuda surfaces like the greens at Bay Hill. And he was runner-up when McIlroy won this event in 2018.

Collin Morikawa (+2500)

Morikawa was the runner-up in last year's tournament. He lost the title by one stroke.

Russell Henley (+3000)

Henley is the defending champion. He beat Morikawa by one shot last year. No one has repeated as Arnold Palmer Invitational champion since Matt Every in 2014-15.

Hideki Matsuyama (+3000)

Matsuyama is currently eighth in the FedEx Cup standings. He's finished in the top 10 in two of his past three tournaments.

PGA Tour Longshots To Consider

Justin Thomas (+5500) is playing his first PGA Tour event since undergoing a microdiscectomy in November to correct a disc issue that was causing him nagging hip pain. However, the best finish for the 16-time PGA Tour winner at the Arnold Palmer Invitational was a tie for 12th in 2024.

Last week's Cognizant Classic winner, Nico Echevarria (+7000), is in the field, as are runners-up Adam Smotherman (+15000) and Taylor Moore (+15000).

Kurt Kitayama (+4500) won this tournament in 2023. Harris English (+4000) was runner-up in 2023, while Victor Hovland (+4000) and Billy Horschel (+35000) tied for second in the 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Keegan Bradley (+6000) was the second-place finisher in 2014.

Tournament Prop Bets

In the golf prop bets on the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the odds are -250 that the eventual tournament winner will be playing in the final pairing on Sunday. It's +700 that the tournament will feature a wire-to-wire winner. There's +1600 odds that a player will record a round with 18 consecutive pars on his scorecard.

One stroke is set as the +225 chalk in a winning margin prop play. The betting line is +150 that a player will score a hole-in-one during the tournament. It's +400 that a playoff will be required to determine the tourney winner.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Pick

It would be easy to go with world-class players and past winners of this event, such as Scheffler or McIlroy, to come out on top in the Arnold Palmer Invitational. They certainly possess the required repertoire to make it happen. However, we're going to choose to think outside the box for this year's winner

Matt Fitzpatrick To win Arnold Palmer Invitational
Bovada
+2200
Bet Now!

Fitzpatrick was runner-up here and has four top-10 showings over his last seven times playing Bay Hill. He always putts well on these greens, which could prove vital. Among all players in the event, no one has gained more strokes on approach over the past 12 rounds than Fitzpatrick. Bet on Fitzpatrick to win in the Arnold Palmer Invitational golf betting picks.