FC Barcelona vs Osasuna: Close Game?

Will Chace
By , Updated on: Jan 9, 2024 07:00 PM
FC Barcelona vs Osasuna: Close Game?

FC Barcelona takes on their Northern foes Osasuna in a semi-final for the Spanish Super Cup. Set to take place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, this match should be a spectacle for Saudi Arabians as both teams hope to earn a chance at gold. Barcelona is looking to extend their record 14th Super Cup win and defend their title. Read on to access an expert FC Barcelona vs Osasuna prediction and explore stats and the latest Spanish Super Cup betting odds.

  • FC Barcelona vs CA Osasuna, Spanish Super Cup semi-final
  • January 11, 2024
  • 2 PM EST
  • Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
  • ESPN2, ESPN+

FC Barcelona vs Osasuna Betting Odds

FC Barcelona are unsurprisingly massive favorites against Osasuna despite playing in Suadi Arabia. The Catalonians are priced at (-290) to win the game, whereas Osasuna is a big (+675) underdog. A draw pays out at (+440), good for an implied probability of 18.5%. In the event of such an outcome, viewers should expect two 15-minute extra time periods prior to a penalty kick shootout to determine the ultimate winner, if the score remains tied upon conclusion.

Spanish Super CupBetOnlineBetUSBovadaBetNow

Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our online soccer betting page and learn about La Liga betting odds.

FC Barcelona Remain in Search of Dominant Win

Barcelona have been able to collect the victories they need to stay in title contention in LaLiga, but it hasn’t been pretty. A series of one-goal victories against significantly lesser opponents has brought concern to the Barca faithful. In fact, in their recent 12 wins, Barcelona has consistently secured victories by a single-goal margin. One even came against fourth-tier UD Barbastro in their latest Copa del Rey match.

Barcelona's last three wins against Osasuna have also been with just a one-goal advantage. Osasuna's consistent trend of not winning or losing by more than a single goal in their past six games may be relevant for betting, Supporting Jagoba Arrasate’s team in the +1.5 handicap market could be a smart move. The Blaugrana will be putting their Spanish Super Cup title on the line on Thursday. A win would give them their 3rd final in the past 4 seasons as well.

FC Barcelona To Defeat Osasuna

Osasuna Copa Run and Starting Lineup Prediction

CA Osasuna will look to play the role of underdog well on Thursday as they take on one of the world’s most elite clubs in FC Barcelona. In their first-ever Super Cup appearance, Osasuna don’t have much to lose in this clash. The team has earned a spot thanks to their memorable run to the Copa del Rey final. The club was inevitably defeated by Real Madrid in a close match.

Real Madrid are favored to defeat Atletico, meaning Osasuna have a chance at revenge at arguably a more prestigious trophy if they are to pull off the upset. Despite ending last season at a respectable 7th place, Osasuna has come into the 2024 calendar year sitting just 12th in LaLiga. Fortunately for the Navarre-based club, they are relatively healthy.

Argentine forward Chimy Avila has recovered from an injury sustained during the recent league victory against Almeria. Additionally, Unai Garcia is anticipated to recover from his injury concerns and take a place among the substitutes. Joining him on the bench could be Johan Mojica, who made a return to the matchday squad on Sunday following a four-game absence due to injury.

Coach Arrasate, after rotating his squad during the weekend, is expected to reintroduce more players. Sergio Herrera, Jesus Areso, Alejandro Catena, and Ruben Pena, all may be in line to play. According to Sportsmole, Jon Moncayola and Aimar Oroz are likely to rejoin the midfield, while Moi Gomez, Darko Brasanac, and Arnaiz are poised to form the front three.

Osasuna To Defeat FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona vs Osasuna Prediction and Free Betting Pick

Just four days removed from their Copa del Rey duties in Spain, both clubs will have to travel to Saudi Arabia for this Super Cup clash. Tired legs and a slower pace may come along with them on their Southern journeys.

And while Xavi's Barcelona hasn't necessarily struggled with setting goals this season, they have scored notably fewer goals compared to La Liga's top two teams, Real Madrid and Girona. In six of their last 10 league games, they've been unable to score more than once. Their upcoming match against Osasuna poses a challenge as Osasuna has maintained three clean sheets in their last four games, all concluding in 1-0 victories. Barcelona has clinched five 1-0 wins themselves this season.

I am tempted to take a flier on Osasuna, anticipating a close battle with a big plus-money attached to Los Rojillos. However, I will target the total instead. This line should be lower, and at (-105), we are getting a great number at Bovada. Osasuna has failed to score multiple goals in 7 of their last 8 matches, leaving their hopes more likely down to a 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline with a penalty shootout.

Give me under 3 goals for a typical unit size. Osasuna will be content to sit back and hope for some fortune on the counter, while Barcelona may continue to struggle on the attacking end of the pitch. I have a hard time believing this one goes over 3, so getting the flat total is even better. 

Under 3 Total Goals

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Meet the author

Will Chace

From Boston, Will's passion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. Besides rooting for his hometown teams, he follows MMA heavily and will consume just about any sports-related content. In college, Will combined his passion for sports an...

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