Nations League Picks: Betting Predictions for Semifinals and Finals

Eric Uribe
By , Updated on: Jun 3, 2021 12:00 AM
Nations League Picks: Betting Predictions for Semifinals and Finals

Four teams remain in the hunt to win the latest Nations League tournament and qualify for the CONCACAF Gold Cup: Mexico, USA, Costa Rica, and Honduras. Like all soccer brackets, the stakes leading into the final matches are incredibly high. That's why we will waste no time dropping our Nations League picks, which include predictions for the Semifinals and Finals.

Let's get started with the lines for every team to win the Nations League outright. These soccer odds come courtesy of MyBookie:

Team to WinMyBookie
Mexico+100
USA+110
Costa Rica+400
Honduras+1100

Make sure to double-check these soccer futures, as they will shift depending on who wins in the semifinals. You'll also want to pounce on these lines as soon as possible, since the Nations League semifinals take place on Thursday night, June 3.

Nations League Betting Breakdown

Before we deliver our ultimate Nations League pick, let's break down the two remaining matches. Here are the latest odds on the upcoming tilts:

FavoriteMyBookieMyBookieUnderdog
USA-235+900Honduras
Mexico-200+625Costa Rica

USA (-235) vs. Honduras (+900)

Even though Team USA isn't the overall odds-on favorite to win the Nations League, they are the heaviest single-game favorite, a development that is both a nod to what they've accomplished and the flaws permeating Honduras' roster.

This particular United States group has done a great job generating high-quality looks by effectively passing and dribbling through the teeth of defenses. They just haven't always finished them, as we saw against Switzerland.

Still, Honduras' backline doesn't pose as much of an issue. They will struggle to keep track of Tyler Adams in the middle, and they won't be given any reprieve when he's directly flanked by Weston McKennie and Yunus Musah.

To top it all off, the United States is getting back two players who were previously fulfilling Champions League obligations: goalkeeper Zack Steffen and forward Christian Pulisic. This is a class of talent we don't see Honduras matching up with over the course of 90-plus minutes

OSB Prediction: USA (-235)

USA To beat Honduras
MyBookie
-235

Mexico (-200) vs Costa Rica (+625)

There is a reason Mexico is the favorite to win the overall Nations League Final: The breadth of their talent is overwhelming.

Stars are peppered up and down their roster. From forwards Hirving Lozano and Jesus Corona to midfielder Hector Herrera to even MLS studs, Alan Pulido and Jonathan dos Santos, this group boasts an overwhelming amount of firepower. In fact, they enter this match ranked 11th overall in all of FIFA.

Costa Rica's crew simply cannot compare. They are ranked 50th overall by FIFA and don't have enough international heavyweights on their roster. The core of their docket actually consists of MLS players like Luis Diaz of the Columbus Crew, Randall Leal of Nashville SC, Francisco Calvo of Chicago Fire FC and FC Cincinnati duo Ronald Matarrita and Allan Cruz.

Perhaps you think Costa Rica can score enough goals to hang. That's fair. But so many of Mexico's players are working on hot streaks, including Corona and Pulido, the latter of whom scored five goals alone during the month of may in MLS.

OSB Prediction: Mexico (-200)

Mexico To beat Costa Rica
MyBookie
-200

Nations League Final Prediction

Our forecasted matchup for this game features, not surprisingly, the two favorites: Team USA (+110) and Mexico (+100).

As you can tell from the odds themselves, the sportsbooks don't give anyone a decided edge in the futures department. Both teams are not only deep, but they will be wielding the full brunt of that depth now that players from MLS and the Champions League have rejoined them. 

Team USA intrigues a hair more because of their offensive ceiling. They struggled to get between the posts versus Switzerland (one goal) and Northern Ireland (two goals), but they combined for 19 total scores in their first three matches against PanamaEl Salvador, and Trinidad & Tobago

Yes, Mexico's back four, plus their goalkeeper, represent starker challenges for the United States. But this team has verged on unstoppable at creating opportunities in the middle of the pitch. Even when they were shorthanded, they teed up what should've been automatic goals against Switzerland. They won't shoot as poorly on those looks when they're at full strength.

OSB Nations League Final Prediction: USA (+110)

USA To beat Mexico
MyBookie
+110

Nations League Parlay Bet

If you're rolling with our three picks, why not parlay them? Sure, you increase your risk, but you're picking two heavy favorites to start, so it's on the safer end of three-bet combinations.

Here's what your slip should look like:

  • Team USA over Honduras (-235)
  • Mexico over Costa Rica (-200)
  • Team USA to win it all (+110)

This parlay pays out roughly 4.5-to-1. In other words, for every $100 you put on the line, you stand to win slightly more than $449—which equals more than $349 in pure profit. For anyone who is vibing Mexico over Team USA, a parlay with that scenario will pay out approximately the same. Good luck!

Check out this list of the best online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all your soccer betting:

  • EXCLUSIVE BONUS
    Bovada
    4.2/5
    50% bonus up to $250
    Copy Promocode BTCSWB750
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • BetOnline
    3.9/5
    50% bonus up to $1000
    Copy Promocode BET1000
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • EXCLUSIVE BONUS
    BetUS
    4.1/5
    125% up to $2,500
    Copy Promocode Join125
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • Xbet
    50% up to $500
    Copy Promocode XBWELCOME50
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • BetNow
    4.1/5
    100% up to $1,000
    Copy Promocode BN150
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • MyBookie
    100% bonus up to $1000
    Copy Promocode MB100
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • Bookmaker
    100% up to $400
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • Sportsbetting
    3.6/5
    50% up to $1000
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • EveryGame
    3.8/5
    $500 Sign Up Bonus
    Copy Promocode WELCOME500
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • BetNow
    4.3/5
    100% up to $450
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

Meet the author

Eric Uribe

Born and raised in Nevada, Eric was exposed to the world of sports betting at an early age. He yearned to be 21 just to hit the sportsbook, and when that day finally came, he became a regular at the smoke-filled room, sweating out bets with sketchy characters. Eric'...

Online Sports Betting may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Rest assured, we avoid biases and provide honest opinions on sportsbooks. Read our affiliate disclosure here.