Four teams remain in the hunt to win the latest Nations League tournament and qualify for the CONCACAF Gold Cup: Mexico, USA, Costa Rica, and Honduras. Like all soccer brackets, the stakes leading into the final matches are incredibly high. That's why we will waste no time dropping our Nations League picks, which include predictions for the Semifinals and Finals.
Let's get started with the lines for every team to win the Nations League outright. These soccer odds come courtesy of MyBookie:
| Team to Win |  |
|---|---|
| Mexico | +100 |
| USA | +110 |
| Costa Rica | +400 |
| Honduras | +1100 |
Make sure to double-check these soccer futures, as they will shift depending on who wins in the semifinals. You'll also want to pounce on these lines as soon as possible, since the Nations League semifinals take place on Thursday night, June 3.
Nations League Betting Breakdown
Before we deliver our ultimate Nations League pick, let's break down the two remaining matches. Here are the latest odds on the upcoming tilts:
| Favorite | | | Underdog |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | -235 | +900 | Honduras |
| Mexico | -200 | +625 | Costa Rica |
USA (-235) vs. Honduras (+900)
Even though Team USA isn't the overall odds-on favorite to win the Nations League, they are the heaviest single-game favorite, a development that is both a nod to what they've accomplished and the flaws permeating Honduras' roster.
This particular United States group has done a great job generating high-quality looks by effectively passing and dribbling through the teeth of defenses. They just haven't always finished them, as we saw against Switzerland.
Still, Honduras' backline doesn't pose as much of an issue. They will struggle to keep track of Tyler Adams in the middle, and they won't be given any reprieve when he's directly flanked by Weston McKennie and Yunus Musah.
To top it all off, the United States is getting back two players who were previously fulfilling Champions League obligations: goalkeeper Zack Steffen and forward Christian Pulisic. This is a class of talent we don't see Honduras matching up with over the course of 90-plus minutes
OSB Prediction: USA (-235)
Mexico (-200) vs Costa Rica (+625)
There is a reason Mexico is the favorite to win the overall Nations League Final: The breadth of their talent is overwhelming.
Stars are peppered up and down their roster. From forwards Hirving Lozano and Jesus Corona to midfielder Hector Herrera to even MLS studs, Alan Pulido and Jonathan dos Santos, this group boasts an overwhelming amount of firepower. In fact, they enter this match ranked 11th overall in all of FIFA.
Costa Rica's crew simply cannot compare. They are ranked 50th overall by FIFA and don't have enough international heavyweights on their roster. The core of their docket actually consists of MLS players like Luis Diaz of the Columbus Crew, Randall Leal of Nashville SC, Francisco Calvo of Chicago Fire FC and FC Cincinnati duo Ronald Matarrita and Allan Cruz.
Perhaps you think Costa Rica can score enough goals to hang. That's fair. But so many of Mexico's players are working on hot streaks, including Corona and Pulido, the latter of whom scored five goals alone during the month of may in MLS.
OSB Prediction: Mexico (-200)
Nations League Final Prediction
Our forecasted matchup for this game features, not surprisingly, the two favorites: Team USA (+110) and Mexico (+100).
As you can tell from the odds themselves, the sportsbooks don't give anyone a decided edge in the futures department. Both teams are not only deep, but they will be wielding the full brunt of that depth now that players from MLS and the Champions League have rejoined them.
Team USA intrigues a hair more because of their offensive ceiling. They struggled to get between the posts versus Switzerland (one goal) and Northern Ireland (two goals), but they combined for 19 total scores in their first three matches against Panama, El Salvador, and Trinidad & Tobago.
Yes, Mexico's back four, plus their goalkeeper, represent starker challenges for the United States. But this team has verged on unstoppable at creating opportunities in the middle of the pitch. Even when they were shorthanded, they teed up what should've been automatic goals against Switzerland. They won't shoot as poorly on those looks when they're at full strength.
OSB Nations League Final Prediction: USA (+110)
Nations League Parlay Bet
If you're rolling with our three picks, why not parlay them? Sure, you increase your risk, but you're picking two heavy favorites to start, so it's on the safer end of three-bet combinations.
Here's what your slip should look like:
- Team USA over Honduras (-235)
- Mexico over Costa Rica (-200)
- Team USA to win it all (+110)
This parlay pays out roughly 4.5-to-1. In other words, for every $100 you put on the line, you stand to win slightly more than $449—which equals more than $349 in pure profit. For anyone who is vibing Mexico over Team USA, a parlay with that scenario will pay out approximately the same. Good luck!
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