• What: US Politics Props
  • Where: BetUS
  • Date: August 14, 2025

One thing about the world of US politics is that there never seems to be any quiet days or downtime. That's especially true when Donald Trump is the President residing in the Oval Office. Trump's daily antics either have people on the edge or the edge of their seats.

Naturally, the ongoing instability that often reigns supreme during a Trump Presidency is the perfect storm to create a wealth of political betting props.

Online sportsbook BetUS has assembled a long list of possible outcomes relating to the US political landscape. This list covers everything from which members of the Trump cabinet are likely to be the next to go, to what outcomes might lie ahead in the 2026 midterm elections.

Let's take a look at these betting lines.

US Political OddsOutcomeOdds
Republicans to lose House Majority in 2026 Mid-TermsYes+300
House Speaker Mike Johnson to face vacate motion before 2026Yes+300
US to acquire Canadian terrirtory in 2025Yes+1800
SCOTUS Vacancy in 2025Yes+850
Congressional term limits introduced in 2025?Yes+1200
Law banning Congress trading stocks introduced in 2025?Yes+900
Mike Johnson out as House Speaker in 2026?Yes+150
Tulsi Gabbard out as National Intelligence Director in 2026?Yes+175
Pete Hegseth out as Defense Secetary in 2026?Yes+200
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State in 2026?Yes+750
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary in 2026?Yes+250
Scott Bessent out as Treasury Secretary in 2026?Yes+350

Remember to keep in mind that odds, much like the political landscape, are always subject to change.

Before Betting Any US Politics Props

Politics is a volatile field, which is why the smart bettor is going to be doing their homework prior to placing any bet involving the political arena. Check out our expert political odds page to gauge the latest betting lines on any US politics props, or perhaps on which country might be next to exit the EU.

You can keep up to date on the most recent US Presidential election odds, as well as on betting lines involving elections in other parts of the world. And when it comes time to place that political wager, check out our comprehensive online sportsbook reviews to determine at which site you'll be making that bet.

Best US Politics Props

Let's take a deeper dive into some of these US politics props to see which ones rate as the best bets to wager . . . or to avoid.

How Stable Is Trump's Cabinet?

During his first term in office, Trump went through 43 different cabinet secretaries. That included three Chiefs of Staff, three Attorneys General, three Secretaries of Defense, and two Secretaries of State. Only five cabinet secretaries who started the term were still filling the same role at the end of the Trump Presidency.

By comparison, his second-term cabinet is operating like a well-oiled machine. Eight months into this Trump Presidency, no cabinet secretary has been replaced.

Not that there haven't been concerns. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth inadvertently leaked details of a pending military strike to the media. And with the expected damage that Trump's tariffs are expected to do to the US economy, Treasusry Secetary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick could be in trouble.

If we had to pick the first cabinet secretary to walk the plank, we'd go with Bessent at odds of +350. He's also been telling the truth lately. Bessent admitted that tariffs are paid by American importers and consumers. Truth-telling isn't a treasured commodity in the Trump White House.

What About Canada?

Trump continues to take issue with Canada. He won't back off his refrain that America's neighbor would be better off as the 51st state.

However, the vast majority of Canadians, including the ruling Liberal government, have no desire to become part of the US.

Canadian travel to the US is down significantly since the start of Trump's second term. Boycotts of American goods are being staged across the country.

There's no way the US will be acquiring any Canadian territory in 2025. Don't even think about making this bet.

Time To Take Stock Trading Away From Congress?

Just this week, Treasury Secretary Bessent called for a ban on single-stock trading by members of Congress. That's a high-level push that could amp up legislative efforts to ban the practice.

Two Republican lawmakers - Florida House Representative Anna Paulina Luna and Senator Josh Hawley - are also pushing to move legislation on this matter forward. This is a rare issue that appears to have solid bipartisan support.

At odds of +900, this is a prop worth playing.

Which Party Will Win Midterms?

During any election cycle, the midterm elections are viewed as a referendum on the Presidency. If people are satisfied with the way the country is being run, then they'll generally vote to keep things as they are. However, if there's unrest in the country, that will also be expressed at the ballot box.

Oddsmakers believe that change is in the offing. Democrats are the -300 favorites to regain control of the House of Representatives during the 2026 midterm elections. Republicans are set at odds of +200 to maintain the status quo in the House beyond the 2026 vote.

Democrats To regain control of the House in Midterms
BetUS
-300
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Latest polling from Statista.com showed that 65% of Americans disapproved of the job that Congress was doing. However, that was a significant decrease from the first poll taken in 2025, which showed a 79% disapproval rating.

Perhaps Republicans can look upon those numbers as a sign of hope. While still bad, they aren't nearly as bad as the previous poll. Then again, the Cook Political Report, which analyzes Congressional races, is currently projecting a 225-219 split in favor of the Democrats in the House following the 2026 midterms.