NFL Thanksgiving Day Prop Bets We Just Can't Pass Up

Dan Favale
By , Updated on: Apr 9, 2024 08:00 PM
NFL Thanksgiving Day Prop Bets We Just Can't Pass Up

The 2023 NFL Thanksgiving Day slate is absolutely loaded. 

This Thursday, November 23, we’re being treated to Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers at 12:30 p.m. eastern standard time. Then, we get to watch the Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders at 4:30 p.m. eastern standard time. And finally, we close NFL Thanksgiving 2023 with the San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks at 8:20 p.m. eastern standard time. 

With a schedule this stacked, you just know the online NFL prop betting options will be equally as loaded. And, well, that’s exactly what they are. Naturally, we feel the need to uncork our best 2023 NFL Thanksgiving Day prop bets for you. 

But we’re dropping these NFL Thanksgiving predictions with a twist: We want to identify a couple of football prop bets that pay out at least 5-to-1. This, of course, is a challenge. But we believe that we’re up for it. Before we get started, though, here are the latest NFL Thanksgiving Day prop betting odds that fit our criteria:

NFL Thanksgiving Day PropBetOnline
Jared GoffBrock Purdy
Any 4 of T PollardC Lamb
Christian McCaffrey to score 1+ rushing TD AND 1+ receiving TD+800
The LionsSeahawks
Any 4 of C McCaffreyC Lamb
Any 4 of C McCaffreyJ Gibbs
Any 4 of J GibbsA Dillon
Jordan LoveGeno Smith
Jared GoffGeno Smith

Definitely continue checking these NFL online betting odds right up until you submit your wagers. Our NFL Thanksgiving Day 2023 prop betting odds are accurate entering Wednesday, November 22. That still gives the best NFL online betting sites time to make any necessary adjustments before the first game kicks off on Thursday afternoon. Notably, many of our props feature multi-game plays. This means you may need to submit your NFL Thanksgiving Day prop bets before the start of Packers vs. Lions

Without further ado, here are the Thanksgiving Day prop bets we’re most excited about.

Our Favorite NFL Thanksgiving Day Prop Bet Features Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy and Jared Goff

Will quarterbacks Jared Goff (Lions), Dak Prescott (Cowboys) and Brock Purdy (49ers) combine to throw eight-plus touchdowns on Thanksgiving Day? Because if they do, you’re looking at a +550 payout.

Counting on an average of fewer than three TD passes per QB from this trio feels like a no-brainer. Goff has thrown two touchdowns in each of his past two games, and that number would be higher if he didn’t chuck three interceptions last week. Facing Green Bay’s defense opens the door for a three-TD-or-more performance.

Prescott should more than hold up his end of the bargain. He has thrown 11 touchdowns over the past four weeks. And on this NFL Thanksgiving Day, he gets to square off with the Washington Commanders and their truly atrocious league-worst defense.

Purdy is more of a wild card. Though he’s tossed six touchdowns over the past two weeks, he combined for just three scores in the previous three weeks. Fortunately for him, and for us, he’s going up against the Seattle Seahawks defense in Week 12

Jared Goff, Dak Prescott and Brock Purdy To combine for 8 or more TD passes

Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns Could Make You Some SERIOUS CASH

Can Christian McCaffrey of the 49ers score at least one passing touchdown and one rushing touchdown? It’s a tall order. But the payout on this NFL Thanksgiving Day prop is +800. We believe that’s worth the risk.

Tallying a receiving and rushing touchdown in the same game is hardly foreign territory to McCaffrey. He’s done it three times this season. Most recently, he did it in Weeks 8 and 9, while the Niners were riding the struggle bus. Now, however, he’s healthier. And so are the Niners.

Wideout Deebo Samuel has returned to the fold. Ditto for offensive tackle Trent Williams. Both will command extra defense attention that frees up McCaffrey more than usual.

And to answer a question you might have: No, we’re not concerned that CMC hasn’t scored a rushing TD since Week 9. He’s been banged up himself, and San Francisco’s offensive line was worse for wear. Both he and the offensive line are now closer to being whole. That bodes well for a big-time NFL Thanksgiving Day outing.

Christian McCaffrey To score at least 1 passing TD and 1 rushing TD

Can the Seahawks, Packers and Lions All Find the Endzone Multiple Times?

Okay, this one’s relatively spicy. If the Seahawks, Packers and Lions combine for 11 or more touchdowns, you’re looking at a +700 payout. To be honest, 7-to-1 almost feels too low. The Packers offense is the mother of all wild cards, and the Seahawks offense will be facing the 49ers’ suffocating defense. A 7-to-1 payout is still too tempting to turn down.

Green Bay will go up against a fairly vulnerable passing defense in Detroit. The Lions have cut their teeth defensively on special teams and when stopping the run. The Packers will need to ratchet up the volume for QB Jordan Love, and they probably will. After all, that’s what they did when they hung 34 points on the Lions in Week 4.

Detroit’s side of the coin doesn’t take much thought here. Green Bay’s passing defense has been surprisingly stout, but only six QBs throw the ball more times per game than Goff. That volume will serve his TD total well.

Seattle’s performance is likely the diciest play here. They need to notch probably three touchdowns against the Niners defense for this NFL Thanksgiving Day prop to hit. San Francisco has given up 21-plus points just three times all season. But they have proven mortal when offenses hurry up and air it out with intense frequency. The Cincinnati Bengals and Vikings racked up 600-plus combined passing yards against them in Weeks 7 and 8. The Seahawks, for all their flaws, retain big-play potential down the field. Geno is averaging around 11 yards per completion, a number that allows Seattle to move the chains and set up scoring opportunities.

Seahawks, Packers and Lions To combine for 11 or more touchdowns

Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can find one that works for all of your 2023 NFL betting:

Meet the author

Dan Favale

Dan Favale leverages over 12 years of sports journalism expertise in his role as New York staff writer. He provides in-depth analysis across the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, tennis, NASCAR, college basketball, and sports betting. Dan co-hosts the popular Hardwood Knocks NBA podc...

Online Sports Betting may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Rest assured, we avoid biases and provide honest opinions on sportsbooks. Read more here.